The School of Odds

Rotherham United v West Bromwich Albion

2026-08-08 16:00 — EFL Cup

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Rotherham United (Local)

5.4018.52%Min
5.7017.56%Mean
5.4018.52%Median
6.7514.81%Max
14.04%7.123Min
16.66%6.003Max
15.85%6.308Mean
16.26%6.152Median
16.26%6.152IQM
15.70%6.370Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 6.75 under the IQM model: 16.26%

EV +9.73%Edge +1.44%Kelly +1.69%Growth +0.165%

Option 2: West Bromwich Albion (Visit)

1.4071.43%Min
1.4370.01%Mean
1.4369.93%Median
1.4568.97%Max
62.72%1.594Min
65.51%1.526Max
63.52%1.574Mean
63.06%1.586Median
63.06%1.586IQM
63.73%1.569Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.45 under the IQM model: 63.06%

EV -8.57%Edge -5.91%Kelly -19.04%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

4.2023.81%Min
4.4322.56%Mean
4.4022.73%Median
4.7021.28%Max
19.48%5.134Min
20.99%4.764Max
20.63%4.848Mean
20.69%4.834Median
20.69%4.834IQM
20.57%4.860Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.70 under the IQM model: 20.69%

EV -2.76%Edge -0.588%Kelly -0.747%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

BookmakerRotherham United (Local) ▼West Bromwich Albion (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet7.00I 14.29% NM 13.70%EV +13.79% E +1.97% K +2.30% G +0.317%1.45I 68.97% NM 66.12%EV -8.57% E -5.91% K -19.04% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 20.18%EV -1.73% E -0.364% K -0.461% G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 11:49
Betr (AU)6.75I 14.81% NM 14.04%EV +9.73% E +1.44% K +1.69% G +0.165%1.45I 68.97% NM 65.36%EV -8.57% E -5.91% K -19.04% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.60%EV -4.83% E -1.05% K -1.34% G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 02:59
SportsBet6.50I 15.38% NM 14.31%EV +5.66% E +0.871% K +1.03% G +0.058%1.43I 69.93% NM 65.03%EV -9.83% E -6.87% K -22.86% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.66%EV -6.90% E -1.53% K -1.97% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 21:25
FanDuel6.50I 15.38% NM 14.31%EV +5.66% E +0.871% K +1.03% G +0.058%1.42I 70.42% NM 65.48%EV -10.46% E -7.37% K -24.91% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.21%EV -4.83% E -1.05% K -1.34% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 21:25
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38% NM 14.11%EV +5.66% E +0.871% K +1.03% G +0.058%1.40I 71.43% NM 65.51%EV -11.72% E -8.37% K -29.31% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.38%EV -6.90% E -1.53% K -1.97% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-02 21:25
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38% NM 14.11%EV +5.66% E +0.871% K +1.03% G +0.058%1.40I 71.43% NM 65.51%EV -11.72% E -8.37% K -29.31% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.38%EV -6.90% E -1.53% K -1.97% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-02 21:24
1xBet6.25I 16.00% NM 14.99%EV +1.60% E +0.256% K +0.305% G +0.005%1.44I 69.44% NM 65.07%EV -9.20% E -6.39% K -20.91% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.94%EV -2.76% E -0.588% K -0.747% G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 14:50
LeoVegas5.70I 17.54% NM 16.06%EV -7.34% E -1.29% K -1.56% G +0.000%1.42I 70.42% NM 64.46%EV -10.46% E -7.37% K -24.91% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.48%EV -2.76% E -0.588% K -0.747% G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 09:20
William Hill5.50I 18.18% NM 16.42%EV -10.59% E -1.93% K -2.35% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 62.72%EV -9.20% E -6.39% K -20.91% G +0.000%4.33I 23.09% NM 20.86%EV -10.42% E -2.41% K -3.13% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 14:00
888sport5.50I 18.18% NM 16.42%EV -10.59% E -1.93% K -2.35% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 62.72%EV -9.20% E -6.39% K -20.91% G +0.000%4.33I 23.09% NM 20.86%EV -10.42% E -2.41% K -3.13% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 14:09
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18% NM 16.42%EV -10.59% E -1.93% K -2.35% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 62.72%EV -9.20% E -6.39% K -20.91% G +0.000%4.33I 23.09% NM 20.86%EV -10.42% E -2.41% K -3.13% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 14:09
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18% NM 16.42%EV -10.59% E -1.93% K -2.35% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 62.72%EV -9.20% E -6.39% K -20.91% G +0.000%4.33I 23.09% NM 20.86%EV -10.42% E -2.41% K -3.13% G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-30 14:19
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18% NM 16.03%EV -10.59% E -1.93% K -2.35% G +0.000%1.40I 71.43% NM 62.98%EV -11.72% E -8.37% K -29.31% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 20.99%EV -13.11% E -3.12% K -4.10% G +0.000%13.4%2026-06-27 15:10
BetRivers5.40I 18.52% NM 16.66%EV -12.22% E -2.26% K -2.78% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 62.90%EV -9.83% E -6.87% K -22.86% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.44%EV -8.97% E -2.04% K -2.64% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX5.40I 18.52% NM 16.66%EV -12.22% E -2.26% K -2.78% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 62.90%EV -9.83% E -6.87% K -22.86% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.44%EV -8.97% E -2.04% K -2.64% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)5.40I 18.52% NM 16.66%EV -12.22% E -2.26% K -2.78% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 62.90%EV -9.83% E -6.87% K -22.86% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.44%EV -8.97% E -2.04% K -2.64% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)5.40I 18.52% NM 16.66%EV -12.22% E -2.26% K -2.78% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 62.90%EV -9.83% E -6.87% K -22.86% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.44%EV -8.97% E -2.04% K -2.64% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52% NM 16.66%EV -12.22% E -2.26% K -2.78% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 62.90%EV -9.83% E -6.87% K -22.86% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.44%EV -8.97% E -2.04% K -2.64% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor5.40I 18.52% NM 16.66%EV -12.22% E -2.26% K -2.78% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 62.90%EV -9.83% E -6.87% K -22.86% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.44%EV -8.97% E -2.04% K -2.64% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet5.40I 18.52% NM 16.66%EV -12.22% E -2.26% K -2.78% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 62.90%EV -9.83% E -6.87% K -22.86% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.44%EV -8.97% E -2.04% K -2.64% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet5.40I 18.52% NM 16.66%EV -12.22% E -2.26% K -2.78% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 62.90%EV -9.83% E -6.87% K -22.86% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.44%EV -8.97% E -2.04% K -2.64% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo5.40I 18.52% NM 16.66%EV -12.22% E -2.26% K -2.78% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 62.90%EV -9.83% E -6.87% K -22.86% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.44%EV -8.97% E -2.04% K -2.64% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)5.40I 18.52% NM 16.66%EV -12.22% E -2.26% K -2.78% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 62.90%EV -9.83% E -6.87% K -22.86% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.44%EV -8.97% E -2.04% K -2.64% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel5.40I 18.52% NM 16.66%EV -12.22% E -2.26% K -2.78% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 62.90%EV -9.83% E -6.87% K -22.86% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.44%EV -8.97% E -2.04% K -2.64% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch5.40I 18.52% NM 16.66%EV -12.22% E -2.26% K -2.78% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 62.90%EV -9.83% E -6.87% K -22.86% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.44%EV -8.97% E -2.04% K -2.64% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet5.40I 18.52% NM 16.66%EV -12.22% E -2.26% K -2.78% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 62.90%EV -9.83% E -6.87% K -22.86% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.44%EV -8.97% E -2.04% K -2.64% G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerRotherham United (Local)West Bromwich Albion (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39