La escuela de los momios

Rotherham United v West Bromwich Albion

2026-08-08 16:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rotherham United (Local)

Predicción 16.26%6.15momio equitativo
EV +0.818%
Ventaja +0.132%
Kelly +0.157%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.86%16.26%16.18%17.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.705.575.506.2021.28%17.94%18.18%16.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

West Bromwich Albion (Visitante)

Predicción 61.90%1.62momio equitativo
EV -5.30%
Ventaja -3.46%
Kelly -9.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.36%61.88%61.97%63.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.471.481.5371.43%68.19%67.80%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.84%4.58momio equitativo
EV -3.90%
Ventaja -0.886%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.44%21.85%21.85%23.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.254.304.4025.64%23.51%23.26%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)6.20I 16.13%NM 14.86%EV +0.818%E +0.132%K +0.157%G +0.001%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.67%EV -9.01%E -6.13%K -19.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-15 08:44
1xBet6.06I 16.50%NM 15.47%EV -1.46%E -0.241%K -0.288%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.48%EV -7.15%E -4.77%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -7.17%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-23 10:39
Marathon Bet6.05I 16.53%NM 15.42%EV -1.62%E -0.268%K -0.321%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.62%EV -7.77%E -5.22%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -7.17%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-23 10:39
Betr (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.77%EV -2.43%E -0.406%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.23%EV -5.92%E -3.89%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.00%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-13 17:54
SportsBet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -2.43%E -0.406%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -8.39%E -5.67%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -3.90%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 17:34
FanDuel6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -2.43%E -0.406%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -8.39%E -5.67%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -3.90%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 17:35
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -2.43%E -0.406%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.15%E -4.77%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-13 05:15
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -2.43%E -0.406%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -10.87%E -7.55%K -24.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -5.43%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-11 17:33
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -2.43%E -0.406%K -0.487%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -10.87%E -7.55%K -24.70%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -5.43%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-11 17:35
Pinnacle5.81I 17.21%NM 16.01%EV -5.52%E -0.951%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.00%EV -7.15%E -4.77%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 21.99%EV -7.61%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 18:59
Coral5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -6.50%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.97%EV -5.30%E -3.46%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -3.90%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -6.50%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.97%EV -5.30%E -3.46%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -3.90%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-21 21:55
BetMGM5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -6.50%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.97%EV -5.30%E -3.46%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -3.90%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-22 02:39
betano_uk5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -6.50%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.15%E -4.77%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 09:04
Bet Victor5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -6.50%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.15%E -4.77%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 09:05
888sport5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -6.50%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.15%E -4.77%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 18:10
888sport (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -6.50%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.15%E -4.77%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 18:14
Mr Green (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -6.50%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -7.15%E -4.77%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -8.94%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -5.92%E -3.89%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -7.17%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -8.94%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -5.92%E -3.89%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -7.17%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 21:55
Bovada5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -8.94%E -1.60%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.77%E -5.22%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-21 19:20
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.56%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.83%EV -8.39%E -5.67%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -7.17%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 14:30
LeoVegas5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -10.56%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.15%EV -9.01%E -6.13%K -19.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -6.08%E -1.41%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-13 22:05
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -10.56%E -1.92%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.67%EV -8.39%E -5.67%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-23 14:35
BetRivers5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -12.19%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -11.49%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -3.90%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -12.19%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -11.49%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -3.90%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -12.19%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -11.49%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -3.90%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -12.19%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -11.49%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -3.90%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -12.19%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -11.49%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -3.90%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -12.19%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -11.49%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -3.90%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -12.19%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -11.49%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -3.90%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -12.19%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -11.49%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -3.90%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -12.19%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -11.49%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -3.90%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -12.19%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -11.49%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -3.90%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -12.19%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -11.49%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -3.90%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -12.19%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -11.49%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -3.90%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -12.19%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -11.49%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -3.90%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.66%EV -12.19%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.90%EV -11.49%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -3.90%E -0.886%K -1.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-16 14:05
NetBet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.18%EV -12.19%E -2.26%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 61.97%EV -12.72%E -9.02%K -31.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-25 09:05
LowVig.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 17.53%EV -17.07%E -3.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.40%EV -8.39%E -5.67%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.07%EV -11.54%E -2.85%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-12 17:44
BetOnline.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 17.53%EV -17.07%E -3.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.40%EV -8.39%E -5.67%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.07%EV -11.54%E -2.85%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-12 17:44
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -18.70%E -3.74%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.87%E -7.55%K -24.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-11 19:19
Winamax (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 17.79%EV -20.32%E -4.15%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 60.95%EV -11.49%E -8.03%K -26.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.26%EV -10.45%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-22 15:39
Winamax (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 17.98%EV -23.57%E -5.02%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 60.36%EV -13.34%E -9.53%K -33.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.67%EV -14.82%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-22 15:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.87%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.01%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%5.1%2026-07-26 03:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.87%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.01%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%5.1%2026-07-26 03:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.87%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.01%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%5.1%2026-07-26 03:15