Plymouth Argyle v Exeter City

2026-08-08 16:00 UTC — EFL Cup

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Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

58%

19%

23%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Plymouth Argyle (Local)

Prediction 58.23%1.72fair odd

EV -9.74%

Edge -6.28%

Kelly -17.71%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.23%58.23%58.23%58.23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.551.551.551.5565%65%65%65%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Exeter City (Visit)

Prediction 19.20%5.21fair odd

EV -9.74%

Edge -2.07%

Kelly -2.63%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

19.20%19.20%19.20%19.20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

4.704.704.704.7021%21%21%21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 22.56%4.43fair odd

EV -9.74%

Edge -2.44%

Kelly -3.25%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

22.56%22.56%22.56%22.56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

4.004.004.004.0025%25%25%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
BetRivers	1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -9.74%E -6.28%K -17.71%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -9.74%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX	1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -9.74%E -6.28%K -17.71%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -9.74%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)	1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -9.74%E -6.28%K -17.71%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -9.74%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)	1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -9.74%E -6.28%K -17.71%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -9.74%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)	1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -9.74%E -6.28%K -17.71%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -9.74%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor	1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -9.74%E -6.28%K -17.71%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -9.74%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet	1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -9.74%E -6.28%K -17.71%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -9.74%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet	1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -9.74%E -6.28%K -17.71%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -9.74%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo	1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -9.74%E -6.28%K -17.71%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -9.74%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)	1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -9.74%E -6.28%K -17.71%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -9.74%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel	1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -9.74%E -6.28%K -17.71%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -9.74%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch	1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -9.74%E -6.28%K -17.71%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -9.74%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet	1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -9.74%E -6.28%K -17.71%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -9.74%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)	1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -9.74%E -6.28%K -17.71%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -9.74%E -2.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -9.74%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-07-16 14:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.