The School of Odds

Plymouth Argyle v Exeter City

2026-08-08 16:00 — EFL Cup

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Plymouth Argyle (Local)

1.5365.36%Min
1.5664.25%Mean
1.5564.52%Median
1.6062.50%Max
58.23%1.717Min
60.81%1.644Max
59.52%1.680Mean
59.52%1.680Median
59.52%1.680IQM
59.73%1.674Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.60 under the IQM model: 59.52%

EV -4.77%Edge -2.98%Kelly -7.95%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Exeter City (Visit)

4.7021.28%Min
4.8220.75%Mean
4.7021.28%Median
5.3018.87%Max
17.55%5.697Min
19.20%5.207Max
18.38%5.441Mean
18.38%5.441Median
18.38%5.441IQM
18.24%5.481Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.30 under the IQM model: 18.38%

EV -2.59%Edge -0.489%Kelly -0.602%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

4.0025.00%Min
4.0724.58%Mean
4.0025.00%Median
4.3023.26%Max
21.64%4.622Min
22.56%4.432Max
22.10%4.525Mean
22.10%4.525Median
22.10%4.525IQM
22.02%4.540Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.30 under the IQM model: 22.10%

EV -4.97%Edge -1.16%Kelly -1.51%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

BookmakerPlymouth Argyle (Local) ▼Exeter City (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.60I 62.50% NM 60.13%EV -4.77% E -2.98% K -7.95% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 17.49%EV +1.09% E +0.197% K +0.241% G +0.003%4.30I 23.26% NM 22.37%EV -4.97% E -1.16% K -1.51% G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-26 11:49
1xBet1.60I 62.50% NM 58.61%EV -4.77% E -2.98% K -7.95% G +0.000%4.92I 20.33% NM 19.06%EV -9.57% E -1.95% K -2.44% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.33%EV -7.18% E -1.71% K -2.24% G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-26 18:48
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29% NM 59.63%EV -5.96% E -3.77% K -10.27% G +0.000%5.25I 19.05% NM 17.94%EV -3.51% E -0.668% K -0.826% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.43%EV -7.18% E -1.71% K -2.24% G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 02:59
SportsBet1.57I 63.69% NM 59.25%EV -6.55% E -4.17% K -11.50% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.60%EV -8.10% E -1.62% K -2.03% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.15%EV -7.18% E -1.71% K -2.24% G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 11:49
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69% NM 59.25%EV -6.55% E -4.17% K -11.50% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.60%EV -8.10% E -1.62% K -2.03% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.15%EV -7.18% E -1.71% K -2.24% G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 11:48
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69% NM 59.25%EV -6.55% E -4.17% K -11.50% G +0.000%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.60%EV -8.10% E -1.62% K -2.03% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.15%EV -7.18% E -1.71% K -2.24% G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 14:29
William Hill1.57I 63.69% NM 57.43%EV -6.55% E -4.17% K -11.50% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.04%EV -17.29% E -3.84% K -4.94% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.54%EV -11.60% E -2.90% K -3.87% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 14:00
888sport1.57I 63.69% NM 57.43%EV -6.55% E -4.17% K -11.50% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.04%EV -17.29% E -3.84% K -4.94% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.54%EV -11.60% E -2.90% K -3.87% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 14:09
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69% NM 57.43%EV -6.55% E -4.17% K -11.50% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.04%EV -17.29% E -3.84% K -4.94% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.54%EV -11.60% E -2.90% K -3.87% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 14:09
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69% NM 57.43%EV -6.55% E -4.17% K -11.50% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.04%EV -17.29% E -3.84% K -4.94% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.54%EV -11.60% E -2.90% K -3.87% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 14:19
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52% NM 59.25%EV -7.74% E -5.00% K -14.08% G +0.000%4.80I 20.83% NM 19.13%EV -11.78% E -2.45% K -3.10% G +0.000%4.25I 23.53% NM 21.61%EV -6.07% E -1.43% K -1.87% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-02 10:20
BetRivers1.55I 64.52% NM 58.23%EV -7.74% E -5.00% K -14.08% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.20%EV -13.62% E -2.90% K -3.68% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.56%EV -11.60% E -2.90% K -3.87% G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX1.55I 64.52% NM 58.23%EV -7.74% E -5.00% K -14.08% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.20%EV -13.62% E -2.90% K -3.68% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.56%EV -11.60% E -2.90% K -3.87% G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52% NM 58.23%EV -7.74% E -5.00% K -14.08% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.20%EV -13.62% E -2.90% K -3.68% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.56%EV -11.60% E -2.90% K -3.87% G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52% NM 58.23%EV -7.74% E -5.00% K -14.08% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.20%EV -13.62% E -2.90% K -3.68% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.56%EV -11.60% E -2.90% K -3.87% G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52% NM 58.23%EV -7.74% E -5.00% K -14.08% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.20%EV -13.62% E -2.90% K -3.68% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.56%EV -11.60% E -2.90% K -3.87% G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52% NM 58.23%EV -7.74% E -5.00% K -14.08% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.20%EV -13.62% E -2.90% K -3.68% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.56%EV -11.60% E -2.90% K -3.87% G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52% NM 58.23%EV -7.74% E -5.00% K -14.08% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.20%EV -13.62% E -2.90% K -3.68% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.56%EV -11.60% E -2.90% K -3.87% G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52% NM 58.23%EV -7.74% E -5.00% K -14.08% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.20%EV -13.62% E -2.90% K -3.68% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.56%EV -11.60% E -2.90% K -3.87% G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo1.55I 64.52% NM 58.23%EV -7.74% E -5.00% K -14.08% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.20%EV -13.62% E -2.90% K -3.68% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.56%EV -11.60% E -2.90% K -3.87% G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52% NM 58.23%EV -7.74% E -5.00% K -14.08% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.20%EV -13.62% E -2.90% K -3.68% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.56%EV -11.60% E -2.90% K -3.87% G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52% NM 58.23%EV -7.74% E -5.00% K -14.08% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.20%EV -13.62% E -2.90% K -3.68% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.56%EV -11.60% E -2.90% K -3.87% G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch1.55I 64.52% NM 58.23%EV -7.74% E -5.00% K -14.08% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.20%EV -13.62% E -2.90% K -3.68% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.56%EV -11.60% E -2.90% K -3.87% G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet1.55I 64.52% NM 58.23%EV -7.74% E -5.00% K -14.08% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.20%EV -13.62% E -2.90% K -3.68% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.56%EV -11.60% E -2.90% K -3.87% G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:39
FanDuel1.53I 65.36% NM 60.81%EV -8.93% E -5.84% K -16.86% G +0.000%5.30I 18.87% NM 17.55%EV -2.59% E -0.489% K -0.602% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 21.64%EV -4.97% E -1.16% K -1.51% G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 14:39
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36% NM 58.06%EV -8.93% E -5.84% K -16.86% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 19.74%EV -17.29% E -3.84% K -4.94% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.21%EV -11.60% E -2.90% K -3.87% G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-27 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerPlymouth Argyle (Local)Exeter City (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39