默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Plymouth Argyle v Exeter City

开赛时间: 2026-08-08 16:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Plymouth Argyle (主队)

预测 58.80%1.70公平赔率
EV -5.92%
优势 -3.70%
Kelly -9.87%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.60

博彩公司预测分布
57.43%58.93%58.34%60.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.561.551.6065.36%64.16%64.52%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Exeter City (客队)

预测 18.83%5.31公平赔率
EV +3.57%
优势 +0.648%
Kelly +0.792%
增长率 +0.028%

假设最高赔率为 5.50

博彩公司预测分布
17.49%18.81%19.24%20.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.504.784.705.5022.22%20.92%21.28%18.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 22.37%4.47公平赔率
EV -3.81%
优势 -0.885%
Kelly -1.15%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.30

博彩公司预测分布
21.61%22.26%22.42%22.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.074.004.3025.00%24.58%25.00%23.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Plymouth Argyle (主队):58.80%;Exeter City (客队):18.83%;平局:22.37%。 对于“Exeter City (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.31。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.50,对应+3.57%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.13%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.49%EV +3.57%E +0.648%K +0.792%G +0.028%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.37%EV -3.81%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-26 11:49
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -10.04%E -6.56%K -18.94%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -0.201%E -0.038%K -0.047%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -3.81%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 14:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -7.10%E -4.49%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -1.14%E -0.218%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.04%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 02:59
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.69%E -4.90%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.85%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.04%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 11:49
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.69%E -4.90%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.85%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.04%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 11:48
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.69%E -4.90%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -5.85%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.04%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 14:29
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.61%EV -5.92%E -3.70%K -9.87%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.06%EV -7.36%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -6.04%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-26 18:48
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.25%EV -8.86%E -5.72%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.62%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -4.92%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-02 10:20
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -8.86%E -5.72%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -11.50%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -10.52%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 05:19
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -8.86%E -5.72%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -11.50%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -10.52%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -8.86%E -5.72%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -11.50%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -10.52%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -8.86%E -5.72%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -11.50%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -10.52%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -8.86%E -5.72%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -11.50%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -10.52%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -8.86%E -5.72%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -11.50%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -10.52%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -8.86%E -5.72%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -11.50%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -10.52%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -8.86%E -5.72%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -11.50%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -10.52%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -8.86%E -5.72%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -11.50%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -10.52%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -8.86%E -5.72%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -11.50%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -10.52%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -8.86%E -5.72%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -11.50%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -10.52%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:29
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -8.86%E -5.72%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -11.50%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -10.52%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:39
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -8.86%E -5.72%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -11.50%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -10.52%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 08:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -8.86%E -5.72%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -11.50%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -10.52%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-16 14:05
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -7.69%E -4.90%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -15.26%E -3.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.52%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 14:00
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -7.69%E -4.90%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -15.26%E -3.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.52%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 14:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -7.69%E -4.90%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -15.26%E -3.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.52%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 14:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -7.69%E -4.90%K -13.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -15.26%E -3.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.52%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 14:19
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -10.04%E -6.56%K -18.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -15.26%E -3.39%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -10.52%E -2.63%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-27 15:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-26 15:39