Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Newcastle United v West Bromwich Albion

2026-08-25 15:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Newcastle United (Local)

Prediction 66.41%1.51fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -8.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.93%66.36%66.51%68.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.411.411.4574.07%70.70%70.92%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Bromwich Albion (Visit)

Prediction 14.14%7.07fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.148%
Kelly -0.173%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.13%14.11%14.23%16.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.206.276.507.0019.23%15.96%15.38%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.45%5.14fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -0.552%
Kelly -0.690%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.76%19.53%19.26%21.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.654.755.0025.00%21.53%21.05%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Newcastle United (Local): 66.41%; West Bromwich Albion (Visit): 14.14%; Draw: 19.45%. For West Bromwich Albion (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.07. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 7.00, with an expected value of -1.04%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.36%EV -3.70%E -2.55%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.04%EV -4.57%E -0.677%K -0.795%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -10.54%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 10:24
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.00%EV -3.70%E -2.55%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -18.00%E -3.10%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -16.37%E -3.81%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-12 10:19
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.86%EV -4.36%E -3.03%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.17%EV -11.64%E -1.86%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -2.76%E -0.552%K -0.690%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 10:29
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -4.36%E -3.03%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -15.18%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -2.76%E -0.552%K -0.690%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -4.36%E -3.03%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -15.18%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -6.65%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-12 10:30
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -4.36%E -3.03%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -15.18%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -6.65%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-12 10:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.94%EV -4.36%E -3.03%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -15.18%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -6.65%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-12 10:29
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.37%EV -5.69%E -4.01%K -13.55%G +0.000%6.94I 14.41%NM 13.58%EV -1.89%E -0.272%K -0.317%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -8.59%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 10:09
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.20%EV -6.36%E -4.51%K -15.50%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -8.11%E -1.25%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -6.65%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 10:10
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.80%EV -6.36%E -4.51%K -15.50%G +0.000%6.57I 15.22%NM 14.12%EV -7.12%E -1.08%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.08%EV -10.15%E -2.20%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-12 10:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.43%EV -6.36%E -4.51%K -15.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.61%EV -25.07%E -4.73%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -18.32%E -4.36%K -5.72%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-12 10:19
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.02%E -5.01%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.11%E -1.25%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.62%E -1.60%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-12 10:10
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.02%E -5.01%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -8.11%E -1.25%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.62%E -1.60%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-12 10:10
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.02%E -5.01%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -8.11%E -1.25%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -14.43%E -3.28%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-12 14:03
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -7.02%E -5.01%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -8.11%E -1.25%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -14.43%E -3.28%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-12 14:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 61.93%EV -7.68%E -5.53%K -19.70%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.55%EV -26.49%E -5.09%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.52%EV -22.21%E -5.55%K -7.40%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-12 10:19
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 66.84%EV -9.01%E -6.58%K -24.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -8.11%E -1.25%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -6.65%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-12 10:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -10.34%E -7.66%K -29.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -1.04%E -0.148%K -0.173%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -4.70%E -0.960%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-12 10:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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