语言:简体中文
Newcastle United v West Bromwich Albion
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Newcastle United (主队)
预测 67.20%1.49公平赔率
EV -1.22%
优势 -0.831%
Kelly -2.60%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.47
博彩公司预测分布
60.83%67.28%67.30%69.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.321.391.401.4775.76%71.84%71.43%68.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
West Bromwich Albion (客队)
预测 13.55%7.38公平赔率
EV +8.41%
优势 +1.05%
Kelly +1.20%
增长率 +0.101%
假设最高赔率为 8.00
博彩公司预测分布
12.03%13.42%13.56%17.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.006.626.548.0020.00%15.11%15.30%12.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 19.25%5.19公平赔率
EV -1.81%
优势 -0.356%
Kelly -0.442%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 5.10
博彩公司预测分布
17.88%19.30%19.13%21.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.755.005.1025.00%21.05%20.00%19.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Newcastle United (主队)：67.20%；West Bromwich Albion (客队)：13.55%；平局：19.25%。 对于“West Bromwich Albion (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.38。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为8.00，对应+8.41%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (20 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.73%EV -5.93%E -4.23%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.03%EV +8.41%E +1.05%K +1.20%G +0.101% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.24%EV -3.74%E -0.748%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-14 06:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.47%EV -5.25%E -3.73%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.22%EV +7.06%E +0.893%K +1.02%G +0.072% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.31%EV -3.74%E -0.748%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-14 06:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.62%EV -5.93%E -4.23%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 13.06%EV -1.75%E -0.242%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -5.66%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-13 23:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.67%EV -9.28%E -6.88%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.79%EV -1.75%E -0.242%K -0.280%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -3.74%E -0.748%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-13 23:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -9.28%E -6.88%K -26.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -5.14%E -0.734%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.66%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-12 10:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -10.63%E -7.99%K -32.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -5.14%E -0.734%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -3.74%E -0.748%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-13 23:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -10.63%E -7.99%K -32.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -5.14%E -0.734%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -3.74%E -0.748%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-13 23:48 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -11.30%E -8.56%K -35.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -5.14%E -0.734%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -1.81%E -0.356%K -0.442%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-13 23:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.76%EV -3.91%E -2.73%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV -8.53%E -1.26%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.74%E -0.748%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 17:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.80%EV -5.25%E -3.73%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 6.57I 15.22%NM 14.12%EV -10.97%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.08%EV -11.06%E -2.39%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-12 10:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.93%E -4.23%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -11.92%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.74%E -0.748%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-12 17:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.93%E -4.23%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -11.92%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.74%E -0.748%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-12 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.93%E -4.23%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -11.92%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.74%E -0.748%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-12 17:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.93%E -4.23%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -11.92%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.74%E -0.748%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-12 17:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -5.93%E -4.23%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -11.92%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -15.29%E -3.48%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-13 12:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -5.93%E -4.23%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -11.92%E -1.83%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -15.29%E -3.48%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -3.24%E -2.25%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -18.69%E -3.12%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -17.22%E -4.00%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.62%EV -5.25%E -3.73%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.35%EV -26.82%E -4.97%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -19.14%E -4.56%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 61.93%EV -6.60%E -4.75%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.55%EV -29.53%E -5.68%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.52%EV -22.99%E -5.75%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-08-12 17:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.83%EV -1.22%E -0.831%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -32.24%E -6.45%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -19.14%E -4.56%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-12 08:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。