Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mansfield Town v Sheffield United

Kickoff: 2026-08-09 15:00 UTC

Final: Mansfield Town 0–3 Sheffield United

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mansfield Town (Local)

Prediction 24.13%4.14fair odd
EV +1.35%
Edge +0.322%
Kelly +0.422%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.03%23.94%24.16%25.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.913.904.2028.57%25.59%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sheffield United (Visit)

Prediction 50.34%1.99fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.940%
Kelly -1.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.61%50.49%50.29%52.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.831.831.9558.14%54.71%54.50%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.53%3.92fair odd
EV -0.445%
Edge -0.114%
Kelly -0.153%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.36%25.57%25.55%27.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.583.603.9029.41%27.91%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mansfield Town (Local): 24.13%; Sheffield United (Visit): 50.34%; Draw: 25.53%. For Mansfield Town (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.14. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV +1.35%E +0.322%K +0.422%G +0.006%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -10.90%E -6.16%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV -1.06%E -0.259%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.37%EV -5.36%E -2.85%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -1.72%E -0.447%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 14:34
BetOnline.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV -1.06%E -0.259%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.37%EV -5.36%E -2.85%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.08%EV -1.72%E -0.447%K -0.604%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-09 14:35
SportsBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.06%E -0.259%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -8.38%E -4.60%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.55%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 14:45
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -1.06%E -0.259%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -9.38%E -5.21%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -5.55%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 14:49
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -1.06%E -0.259%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.71%EV -9.89%E -5.52%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -1.06%E -0.259%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.71%EV -9.89%E -5.52%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 14:55
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -1.06%E -0.259%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.71%EV -9.89%E -5.52%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 14:54
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -1.06%E -0.259%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.71%EV -9.89%E -5.52%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 14:54
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -1.06%E -0.259%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.71%EV -9.89%E -5.52%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 14:54
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -1.06%E -0.259%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.71%EV -9.89%E -5.52%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -1.06%E -0.259%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.71%EV -9.89%E -5.52%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -1.06%E -0.259%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.71%EV -9.89%E -5.52%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -1.06%E -0.259%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.71%EV -9.89%E -5.52%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 14:55
betPARX🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -1.06%E -0.259%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.71%EV -9.89%E -5.52%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -1.06%E -0.259%K -0.343%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -10.90%E -6.16%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 14:45
Marathon Bet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -2.27%E -0.560%K -0.744%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.10%EV -9.89%E -5.52%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -4.27%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 14:44
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -3.48%E -0.869%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.69%EV -5.86%E -3.13%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.55%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 14:54
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -3.48%E -0.869%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.69%EV -5.86%E -3.13%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.55%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 14:53
Pinnacle🎯3.91I 25.58%NM 24.29%EV -5.65%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.35%EV -6.87%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.36%EV -0.445%E -0.114%K -0.153%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 14:55
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.89%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -1.83%E -0.940%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -10.66%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.89%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -5.36%E -2.85%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.55%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 14:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.89%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -3.85%E -2.01%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -10.66%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 14:40
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.89%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -3.85%E -2.01%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -10.66%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.89%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -4.35%E -2.29%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -10.66%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 14:40
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.89%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -4.35%E -2.29%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -10.66%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -5.89%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -11.90%E -6.80%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -10.66%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 14:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -5.89%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.56%EV -13.41%E -7.80%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -11.93%E -3.46%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -5.89%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.56%EV -13.41%E -7.80%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -11.93%E -3.46%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 14:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -5.89%E -1.51%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.56%EV -13.41%E -7.80%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -11.93%E -3.46%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-09 14:55
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.09%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.39%EV -5.86%E -3.13%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -4.27%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 14:34
Bovada🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -7.09%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -10.66%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 14:48
1xBet🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.34%EV -7.34%E -1.91%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.98%EV -5.86%E -3.13%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.68%EV -7.08%E -1.95%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 14:50
William Hill🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.30%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -3.85%E -2.01%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -10.66%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 11:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.30%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -5.36%E -2.85%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 14:45
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.30%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -5.86%E -3.13%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 13:45
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -8.30%E -2.18%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -11.90%E -6.80%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-09 14:55
theScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -9.51%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -5.86%E -3.13%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 14:45
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.51%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -6.87%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 14:45
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.51%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -6.87%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.21%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 11:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.51%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -6.87%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.21%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 11:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.51%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -6.87%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -13.21%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 11:39
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -9.51%E -2.54%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -11.90%E -6.80%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -10.66%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-09 14:55
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -10.71%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.36%E -2.85%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -9.38%E -2.64%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 04:20
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -10.71%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -5.36%E -2.85%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.99%EV -9.38%E -2.64%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 04:19
PlayUp🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -10.71%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -6.87%E -3.71%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -13.21%E -3.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-09 14:35
NetBet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -10.71%E -2.90%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -11.90%E -6.80%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -10.66%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-09 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -11.92%E -3.27%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.62%EV -7.37%E -4.01%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.10%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 14:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.17%EV -14.33%E -4.04%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.38%E -5.21%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.17%EV -9.38%E -2.64%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 14:45
LeoVegas🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -15.54%E -4.44%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -7.87%E -4.30%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.66%E -3.04%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-09 14:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.70%1.92I 52.08%NM 52.02%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.28%0.1%2026-08-09 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-08-09 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-08-09 14:55
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-08-09 14:55

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