The School of Odds

Mansfield Town v Sheffield United

2026-08-09 15:00 — EFL Cup

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Mansfield Town (Local)

Odds
4.7521.05%Min
5.0719.74%Mean
5.0020.00%Median
5.5018.18%Max
Consensus probabilities
17.20%5.813Min
18.82%5.315Max
18.12%5.519Mean
18.00%5.554Median
18.00%5.554IQM
18.03%5.546Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.50 under the IQM model: 18.00%

EV -0.973%Edge -0.177%Kelly -0.216%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Sheffield United (Visit)

Odds
1.5564.52%Min
1.5863.14%Mean
1.5962.89%Median
1.6162.11%Max
Consensus probabilities
57.66%1.734Min
59.25%1.688Max
58.32%1.715Mean
58.36%1.714Median
58.36%1.714IQM
58.47%1.710Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.61 under the IQM model: 58.36%

EV -6.04%Edge -3.75%Kelly -9.90%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.7526.67%Min
3.9025.62%Mean
3.9525.32%Median
4.1024.39%Max
Consensus probabilities
22.98%4.352Min
24.16%4.139Max
23.57%4.243Mean
23.64%4.231Median
23.64%4.231IQM
23.50%4.256Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.10 under the IQM model: 23.64%

EV -3.09%Edge -0.754%Kelly -0.997%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

BookmakerMansfield Town (Local) ▼Sheffield United (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)5.50I 18.18% NM 17.20%EV -0.973% E -0.177% K -0.216% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 59.14%EV -6.63% E -4.14% K -11.04% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.66%EV -5.46% E -1.36% K -1.82% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-02 21:25
FanDuel5.30I 18.87% NM 17.77%EV -4.57% E -0.863% K -1.06% G +0.000%1.59I 62.89% NM 59.25%EV -7.21% E -4.53% K -12.22% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.98%EV -3.09% E -0.754% K -0.997% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-02 21:25
Marathon Bet5.25I 19.05% NM 17.76%EV -5.47% E -1.04% K -1.29% G +0.000%1.59I 62.89% NM 58.64%EV -7.21% E -4.53% K -12.22% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 23.60%EV -6.64% E -1.68% K -2.25% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 21:25
1xBet5.17I 19.34% NM 18.12%EV -6.91% E -1.34% K -1.66% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 58.17%EV -6.04% E -3.75% K -9.90% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 23.71%EV -6.64% E -1.68% K -2.25% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-02 21:39
SportsBet5.00I 20.00% NM 18.60%EV -9.98% E -2.00% K -2.49% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 58.14%EV -6.63% E -4.14% K -11.04% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.26%EV -5.46% E -1.36% K -1.82% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 21:25
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00% NM 18.60%EV -9.98% E -2.00% K -2.49% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 58.14%EV -6.63% E -4.14% K -11.04% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.26%EV -5.46% E -1.36% K -1.82% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 21:24
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00% NM 18.60%EV -9.98% E -2.00% K -2.49% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 58.14%EV -6.63% E -4.14% K -11.04% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.26%EV -5.46% E -1.36% K -1.82% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-02 21:25
888sport5.00I 20.00% NM 18.12%EV -9.98% E -2.00% K -2.49% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 57.71%EV -8.38% E -5.34% K -14.70% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.16%EV -11.36% E -3.03% K -4.13% G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-02 21:25
William Hill5.00I 20.00% NM 18.12%EV -9.98% E -2.00% K -2.49% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 57.71%EV -8.38% E -5.34% K -14.70% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.16%EV -11.36% E -3.03% K -4.13% G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-02 21:25
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00% NM 18.12%EV -9.98% E -2.00% K -2.49% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 57.71%EV -8.38% E -5.34% K -14.70% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.16%EV -11.36% E -3.03% K -4.13% G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-02 21:25
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00% NM 18.12%EV -9.98% E -2.00% K -2.49% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 57.71%EV -8.38% E -5.34% K -14.70% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.16%EV -11.36% E -3.03% K -4.13% G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-02 21:25
LeoVegas4.90I 20.41% NM 18.65%EV -11.78% E -2.40% K -3.02% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 58.21%EV -8.38% E -5.34% K -14.70% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 23.14%EV -6.64% E -1.68% K -2.25% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-02 21:24
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05% NM 18.82%EV -14.48% E -3.05% K -3.86% G +0.000%1.55I 64.52% NM 57.66%EV -9.54% E -6.16% K -17.35% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 23.52%EV -10.18% E -2.68% K -3.64% G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-02 21:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerMansfield Town (Local)Sheffield United (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-07-02 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-07-02 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-07-02 21:25