L’École des cotes

Mansfield Town v Sheffield United

2026-08-09 15:00 UTC — EFL Cup

Résultat du match

28 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mansfield Town (Local)

Prévision 23.42%4.27cote équitable
EV -1.63%
Avantage -0.388%
Kelly -0.510%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.87%23.40%23.50%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.924.004.2029.41%25.49%25.00%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sheffield United (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.66%1.97cote équitable
EV -4.76%
Avantage -2.53%
Kelly -5.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.43%50.71%50.66%51.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.821.831.8858.82%54.98%54.64%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.92%3.86cote équitable
EV -3.84%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -1.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.00%25.90%25.83%27.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.523.583.7130.77%28.41%27.97%26.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (28 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -1.63%E -0.388%K -0.510%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 22:55
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -1.63%E -0.388%K -0.510%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 01:00
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -1.63%E -0.388%K -0.510%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.89%EV -10.33%E -5.84%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-15 08:44
1xBet4.17I 23.98%NM 22.47%EV -2.33%E -0.559%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.49%EV -7.80%E -4.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 22:59
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -3.97%E -0.969%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-22 02:39
Betr (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-10 21:35
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 21:30
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 21:30
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 21:33
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 21:55
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 21:55
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.29%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-10 21:35
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.29%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-14 07:29
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.29%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 01:00
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.29%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 01:00
Bovada3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -7.49%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -7.80%E -4.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.99%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 22:59
Pinnacle3.92I 25.51%NM 23.82%EV -8.19%E -2.09%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.02%EV -7.29%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.17%EV -3.84%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 15:09
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -8.66%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.06%EV -6.79%E -3.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-21 14:30
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.00%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.29%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-22 12:14
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.17%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -11.35%E -6.48%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -9.28%E -2.65%K -3.71%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-10 21:30
LowVig.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -13.34%E -3.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -7.80%E -4.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -10.58%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-13 17:30
BetOnline.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -13.34%E -3.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.52%EV -7.80%E -4.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -10.58%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-13 17:30
NetBet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.59%EV -13.34%E -3.61%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.74%EV -12.87%E -7.48%K -17.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -11.87%E -3.49%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-22 23:59
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.68%E -4.36%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -6.69%E -1.86%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-23 14:35
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.53%EV -16.85%E -4.75%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.48%EV -10.84%E -6.16%K -14.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.99%EV -13.17%E -3.93%K -5.60%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-22 15:39
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 24.71%EV -20.37%E -5.99%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 49.43%EV -13.88%E -8.16%K -19.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.86%EV -15.76%E -4.85%K -7.01%G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-22 15:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%6.8%2026-07-25 23:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%6.8%2026-07-25 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.16%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%6.8%2026-07-25 23:30