Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fulham v Wimbledon

Kickoff: 2026-08-27 19:00 UTC

Final: Fulham 3–0 Wimbledon

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fulham (Local)

Prediction 82.62%1.21fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -13.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.42%82.38%82.63%85.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.131.131.1892.59%88.33%88.50%84.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wimbledon (Visit)

Prediction 5.87%17.02fair odd
EV +29.24%
Edge +1.33%
Kelly +1.39%
Growth +0.407%

assuming max odds 22.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.32%5.85%5.82%7.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0015.5515.0022.008.33%6.43%6.67%4.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 11.50%8.69fair odd
EV +9.28%
Edge +0.976%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.101%

assuming max odds 9.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.99%11.76%11.55%14.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.988.009.5015.38%12.53%12.50%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fulham (Local): 82.62%; Wimbledon (Visit): 5.87%; Draw: 11.50%. For Wimbledon (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 17.02. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 22.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +29.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
betano_uk🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.67%EV -8.29%E -7.47%K -75.35%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.32%EV +29.24%E +1.33%K +1.39%G +0.407%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.01%EV +9.28%E +0.976%K +1.09%G +0.101%5.2%2026-08-27 18:53
Bet Victor🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -8.29%E -7.47%K -75.35%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV +23.36%E +1.11%K +1.17%G +0.273%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV +9.28%E +0.976%K +1.09%G +0.101%5.4%2026-08-27 18:49
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.90%EV -5.81%E -5.10%K -41.50%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.50%EV +23.36%E +1.11%K +1.17%G +0.273%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 18:50
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.45%EV -6.64%E -5.87%K -51.05%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.60%EV +17.49%E +0.874%K +0.920%G +0.161%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.95%EV -24.08%E -3.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-27 18:55
Betsson🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.45%EV -6.64%E -5.87%K -51.05%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.60%EV +17.49%E +0.874%K +0.920%G +0.161%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.95%EV -24.08%E -3.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-27 18:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.22%EV -9.94%E -9.12%K -110.46%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.59%EV +17.49%E +0.874%K +0.920%G +0.161%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV -5.68%E -0.692%K -0.789%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-27 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.56%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.22%G +0.000%19.75I 5.06%NM 4.87%EV +16.02%E +0.811%K +0.854%G +0.137%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.58%EV -4.53%E -0.546%K -0.620%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-27 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -6.64%E -5.87%K -51.05%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV +5.74%E +0.319%K +0.338%G +0.019%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 18:49
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.87%EV -8.29%E -7.47%K -75.35%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.17%EV +5.74%E +0.319%K +0.338%G +0.019%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -2.23%E -0.262%K -0.297%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.53%EV -4.16%E -3.58%K -25.98%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV -0.134%E -0.008%K -0.008%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.77%EV +3.52%E +0.392%K +0.440%G +0.016%3.2%2026-08-27 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.53%EV -4.16%E -3.58%K -25.98%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV -0.134%E -0.008%K -0.008%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.77%EV +3.52%E +0.392%K +0.440%G +0.016%3.2%2026-08-27 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.52%EV -5.81%E -5.10%K -41.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.60%EV -0.134%E -0.008%K -0.008%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.88%EV +0.648%E +0.074%K +0.084%G +0.001%5.0%2026-08-27 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.52%EV -5.81%E -5.10%K -41.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.60%EV -0.134%E -0.008%K -0.008%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.88%EV +0.648%E +0.074%K +0.084%G +0.001%5.0%2026-08-27 18:50
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.97%EV -5.81%E -5.10%K -41.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -0.134%E -0.008%K -0.008%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.47%EV -5.10%E -0.619%K -0.704%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -5.81%E -5.10%K -41.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -0.134%E -0.008%K -0.008%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-27 18:50
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.05%EV -8.29%E -7.47%K -75.35%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -0.134%E -0.008%K -0.008%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-27 18:45
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.14%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.22%G +0.000%16.45I 6.08%NM 5.81%EV -3.37%E -0.205%K -0.218%G +0.000%8.65I 11.56%NM 11.05%EV -0.502%E -0.058%K -0.066%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-27 18:40
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.21%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.19%G +0.000%16.10I 6.21%NM 5.79%EV -5.42%E -0.337%K -0.359%G +0.000%8.47I 11.81%NM 11.00%EV -2.57%E -0.304%K -0.344%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-27 18:55
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.03%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.22%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -11.88%E -0.792%K -0.849%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +3.52%E +0.392%K +0.440%G +0.016%4.7%2026-08-27 18:45
LeoVegas🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.76%EV -6.64%E -5.87%K -51.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -11.88%E -0.792%K -0.849%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -2.23%E -0.262%K -0.297%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 18:50
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -6.64%E -5.87%K -51.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -11.88%E -0.792%K -0.849%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-27 18:35
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -6.64%E -5.87%K -51.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -11.88%E -0.792%K -0.849%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-27 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -6.64%E -5.87%K -51.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -11.88%E -0.792%K -0.849%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-27 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -6.64%E -5.87%K -51.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -11.88%E -0.792%K -0.849%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-27 18:35
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -6.64%E -5.87%K -51.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -11.88%E -0.792%K -0.849%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-27 18:35
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -11.88%E -0.792%K -0.849%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-27 18:50
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -8.29%E -7.47%K -75.35%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -11.88%E -0.792%K -0.849%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-27 18:54
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 82.85%EV -10.77%E -9.97%K -134.59%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.97%EV -11.88%E -0.792%K -0.849%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-27 18:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 82.24%EV -10.77%E -9.97%K -134.59%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.92%EV -11.88%E -0.792%K -0.849%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.84%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-27 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.47%EV -4.16%E -3.58%K -25.98%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.60%EV -14.82%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.93%EV +0.648%E +0.074%K +0.084%G +0.001%4.5%2026-08-27 18:45
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.40%EV -6.64%E -5.87%K -51.05%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV -17.76%E -1.27%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -2.23%E -0.262%K -0.297%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 18:50
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -6.64%E -5.87%K -51.05%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -17.76%E -1.27%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-27 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -6.64%E -5.87%K -51.05%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -17.76%E -1.27%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-27 18:35
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.21%EV -6.64%E -5.87%K -51.05%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -17.76%E -1.27%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-27 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.72%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.22%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -23.63%E -1.82%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -2.23%E -0.262%K -0.297%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-27 18:45
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -2.50%E -2.12%K -13.92%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -23.63%E -1.82%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -19.48%E -2.78%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-27 18:50
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -3.33%E -2.85%K -19.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -23.63%E -1.82%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -19.48%E -2.78%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 18:45
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -3.33%E -2.85%K -19.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -23.63%E -1.82%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -25.23%E -3.88%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-27 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -3.33%E -2.85%K -19.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -23.63%E -1.82%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -25.23%E -3.88%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-27 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -3.33%E -2.85%K -19.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -23.63%E -1.82%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -25.23%E -3.88%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-27 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -8.29%E -7.47%K -75.35%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -23.63%E -1.82%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -2.23%E -0.262%K -0.297%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-27 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.22%EV -9.11%E -8.29%K -91.15%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -23.63%E -1.82%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-27 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.22%EV -9.11%E -8.29%K -91.15%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -23.63%E -1.82%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-27 18:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.22%EV -9.11%E -8.29%K -91.15%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -23.63%E -1.82%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-27 18:35
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.21%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.22%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV -26.57%E -2.13%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.32%EV -5.10%E -0.619%K -0.704%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-27 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.21%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.22%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV -26.57%E -2.13%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.32%EV -5.10%E -0.619%K -0.704%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-27 18:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.31%EV -9.11%E -8.29%K -91.15%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.15%EV -26.57%E -2.13%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.54%EV -10.85%E -1.40%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-27 18:50
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.42%EV -4.16%E -3.58%K -25.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV -29.51%E -2.46%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -25.23%E -3.88%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-27 18:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 86.03%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.99%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.98%0.2%2026-08-27 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.85%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.98%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.16%0.4%2026-08-27 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.85%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.98%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.16%0.4%2026-08-27 18:56
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 86.26%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.82%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%0.8%2026-08-27 18:55