Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Fulham v Wimbledon

Início: 2026-08-27 19:00 UTC

Final: Fulham 3–0 Wimbledon

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Fulham (Local)

Previsão 82.62%1.21odd justa
EV -2.50%
Vantagem -2.12%
Kelly -13.92%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
78.42%82.38%82.63%85.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.081.131.131.1892.59%88.33%88.50%84.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Wimbledon (Visitante)

Previsão 5.87%17.02odd justa
EV +29.24%
Vantagem +1.33%
Kelly +1.39%
Crescimento +0.407%

pressupondo odds máximas de 22.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
4.32%5.85%5.82%7.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
12.0015.5515.0022.008.33%6.43%6.67%4.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 11.50%8.69odd justa
EV +9.28%
Vantagem +0.976%
Kelly +1.09%
Crescimento +0.101%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.99%11.76%11.55%14.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.507.988.009.5015.38%12.53%12.50%10.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Fulham (Local): 82.62%; Wimbledon (Visitante): 5.87%; Empate: 11.50%. Para Wimbledon (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 17.02. 9 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 22.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +29.24%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
betano_uk🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.67%EV -8.29%E -7.47%K -75.35%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.32%EV +29.24%E +1.33%K +1.39%G +0.407%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.01%EV +9.28%E +0.976%K +1.09%G +0.101%5.2%2026-08-27 18:53
Bet Victor🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -8.29%E -7.47%K -75.35%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV +23.36%E +1.11%K +1.17%G +0.273%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV +9.28%E +0.976%K +1.09%G +0.101%5.4%2026-08-27 18:49
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.90%EV -5.81%E -5.10%K -41.50%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.50%EV +23.36%E +1.11%K +1.17%G +0.273%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-27 18:50
NordicBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.45%EV -6.64%E -5.87%K -51.05%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.60%EV +17.49%E +0.874%K +0.920%G +0.161%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.95%EV -24.08%E -3.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-27 18:55
Betsson🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.45%EV -6.64%E -5.87%K -51.05%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.60%EV +17.49%E +0.874%K +0.920%G +0.161%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.95%EV -24.08%E -3.65%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-27 18:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.22%EV -9.94%E -9.12%K -110.46%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.59%EV +17.49%E +0.874%K +0.920%G +0.161%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV -5.68%E -0.692%K -0.789%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-27 18:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.56%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.22%G +0.000%19.75I 5.06%NM 4.87%EV +16.02%E +0.811%K +0.854%G +0.137%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.58%EV -4.53%E -0.546%K -0.620%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-27 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.05%EV -6.64%E -5.87%K -51.05%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV +5.74%E +0.319%K +0.338%G +0.019%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 18:49
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.87%EV -8.29%E -7.47%K -75.35%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.17%EV +5.74%E +0.319%K +0.338%G +0.019%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -2.23%E -0.262%K -0.297%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.53%EV -4.16%E -3.58%K -25.98%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV -0.134%E -0.008%K -0.008%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.77%EV +3.52%E +0.392%K +0.440%G +0.016%3.2%2026-08-27 18:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.53%EV -4.16%E -3.58%K -25.98%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.70%EV -0.134%E -0.008%K -0.008%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.77%EV +3.52%E +0.392%K +0.440%G +0.016%3.2%2026-08-27 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.52%EV -5.81%E -5.10%K -41.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.60%EV -0.134%E -0.008%K -0.008%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.88%EV +0.648%E +0.074%K +0.084%G +0.001%5.0%2026-08-27 18:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.52%EV -5.81%E -5.10%K -41.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.60%EV -0.134%E -0.008%K -0.008%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.88%EV +0.648%E +0.074%K +0.084%G +0.001%5.0%2026-08-27 18:50
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.97%EV -5.81%E -5.10%K -41.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -0.134%E -0.008%K -0.008%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.47%EV -5.10%E -0.619%K -0.704%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-27 18:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -5.81%E -5.10%K -41.50%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV -0.134%E -0.008%K -0.008%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-27 18:50
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.05%EV -8.29%E -7.47%K -75.35%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -0.134%E -0.008%K -0.008%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-27 18:45
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.14%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.22%G +0.000%16.45I 6.08%NM 5.81%EV -3.37%E -0.205%K -0.218%G +0.000%8.65I 11.56%NM 11.05%EV -0.502%E -0.058%K -0.066%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-27 18:40
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.21%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.19%G +0.000%16.10I 6.21%NM 5.79%EV -5.42%E -0.337%K -0.359%G +0.000%8.47I 11.81%NM 11.00%EV -2.57%E -0.304%K -0.344%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-27 18:55
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.03%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.22%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -11.88%E -0.792%K -0.849%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.61%EV +3.52%E +0.392%K +0.440%G +0.016%4.7%2026-08-27 18:45
LeoVegas🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.76%EV -6.64%E -5.87%K -51.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -11.88%E -0.792%K -0.849%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -2.23%E -0.262%K -0.297%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 18:50
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -6.64%E -5.87%K -51.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -11.88%E -0.792%K -0.849%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-27 18:35
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -6.64%E -5.87%K -51.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -11.88%E -0.792%K -0.849%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-27 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -6.64%E -5.87%K -51.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -11.88%E -0.792%K -0.849%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-27 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -6.64%E -5.87%K -51.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -11.88%E -0.792%K -0.849%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-27 18:35
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.20%EV -6.64%E -5.87%K -51.05%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -11.88%E -0.792%K -0.849%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-27 18:35
BoyleSports🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -7.46%E -6.66%K -62.19%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -11.88%E -0.792%K -0.849%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-27 18:50
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -8.29%E -7.47%K -75.35%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -11.88%E -0.792%K -0.849%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-27 18:54
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 82.85%EV -10.77%E -9.97%K -134.59%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.97%EV -11.88%E -0.792%K -0.849%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-27 18:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 82.24%EV -10.77%E -9.97%K -134.59%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.92%EV -11.88%E -0.792%K -0.849%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.84%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-27 18:50
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.47%EV -4.16%E -3.58%K -25.98%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.60%EV -14.82%E -1.02%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.93%EV +0.648%E +0.074%K +0.084%G +0.001%4.5%2026-08-27 18:45
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.40%EV -6.64%E -5.87%K -51.05%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV -17.76%E -1.27%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -2.23%E -0.262%K -0.297%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 18:50
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -6.64%E -5.87%K -51.05%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -17.76%E -1.27%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-27 18:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -6.64%E -5.87%K -51.05%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -17.76%E -1.27%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -7.98%E -0.997%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-27 18:35
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.21%EV -6.64%E -5.87%K -51.05%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -17.76%E -1.27%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-27 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.72%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.22%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -23.63%E -1.82%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -2.23%E -0.262%K -0.297%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-27 18:45
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -2.50%E -2.12%K -13.92%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -23.63%E -1.82%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -19.48%E -2.78%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-27 18:50
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -3.33%E -2.85%K -19.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -23.63%E -1.82%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -19.48%E -2.78%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-27 18:45
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -3.33%E -2.85%K -19.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -23.63%E -1.82%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -25.23%E -3.88%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-27 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -3.33%E -2.85%K -19.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -23.63%E -1.82%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -25.23%E -3.88%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-27 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -3.33%E -2.85%K -19.60%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -23.63%E -1.82%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -25.23%E -3.88%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-27 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 82.24%EV -8.29%E -7.47%K -75.35%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.02%EV -23.63%E -1.82%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -2.23%E -0.262%K -0.297%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-27 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.22%EV -9.11%E -8.29%K -91.15%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -23.63%E -1.82%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-27 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.22%EV -9.11%E -8.29%K -91.15%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -23.63%E -1.82%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-27 18:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.22%EV -9.11%E -8.29%K -91.15%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -23.63%E -1.82%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -13.73%E -1.83%K -2.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-27 18:35
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.21%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.22%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV -26.57%E -2.13%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.32%EV -5.10%E -0.619%K -0.704%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-27 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.21%EV -4.98%E -4.33%K -33.22%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV -26.57%E -2.13%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.32%EV -5.10%E -0.619%K -0.704%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-27 18:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.31%EV -9.11%E -8.29%K -91.15%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.15%EV -26.57%E -2.13%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.54%EV -10.85%E -1.40%K -1.61%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-27 18:50
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.42%EV -4.16%E -3.58%K -25.98%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV -29.51%E -2.46%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -25.23%E -3.88%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-27 18:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 86.03%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.99%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.98%0.2%2026-08-27 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.85%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.98%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.16%0.4%2026-08-27 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.85%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.98%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.16%0.4%2026-08-27 18:56
Matchbook◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.26%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.82%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.92%0.8%2026-08-27 18:55