Language:English
Fulham v Wimbledon
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fulham (Local)
Prediction 78.96%1.27fair odd
EV +0.284%
Edge +0.224%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.73%78.45%79.35%80.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.181.171.2788.50%84.67%85.47%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wimbledon (Visit)
Prediction 7.92%12.63fair odd
EV +18.79%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +1.34%
Growth +0.252%
assuming max odds 15.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.03%8.28%7.52%10.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5011.2310.5015.0011.76%8.90%9.52%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 13.12%7.62fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -0.396%
Kelly -0.458%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 7.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.75%13.26%13.13%14.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.256.786.757.4016.00%14.75%14.81%13.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fulham (Local): 78.96%; Wimbledon (Visit): 7.92%; Draw: 13.12%. For Wimbledon (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.63. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.05%EV -10.77%E -9.53%K -82.85%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.03%EV +18.79%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.252% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -14.74%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-17 11:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.61%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000% | 14.20I 7.04%NM 6.64%EV +12.45%E +0.877%K +0.943%G +0.117% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.75%EV -2.93%E -0.396%K -0.458%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 09:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.90%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +10.87%E +0.776%K +0.836%G +0.091% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -8.18%E -1.17%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 07:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.56%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +10.87%E +0.776%K +0.836%G +0.091% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -11.46%E -1.70%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 04:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -9.19%E -7.99%K -61.28%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV +2.95%E +0.227%K +0.246%G +0.007% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -8.18%E -1.17%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-17 11:07 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -9.98%E -8.76%K -71.30%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +2.95%E +0.227%K +0.246%G +0.007% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -8.18%E -1.17%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-12 09:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -9.98%E -8.76%K -71.30%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +2.95%E +0.227%K +0.246%G +0.007% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -8.18%E -1.17%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-12 09:08 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.17%EV -9.98%E -8.76%K -71.30%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.94%EV +2.95%E +0.227%K +0.246%G +0.007% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -14.74%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 15:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.24%EV -8.40%E -7.24%K -52.51%G +0.000% | 12.24I 8.17%NM 7.51%EV -3.07%E -0.251%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 6.94I 14.41%NM 13.25%EV -8.97%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-12 09:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.61%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.90%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.72%EV -16.85%E -1.60%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.67%EV -12.12%E -1.81%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-12 09:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.01%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.78%EV -5.56%E -0.772%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-12 09:18 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.32%EV -9.98%E -8.76%K -71.30%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -8.18%E -1.17%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-17 11:07 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.23%EV +0.284%E +0.224%K +1.05%G +0.003% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV -28.73%E -3.19%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.15%EV -11.46%E -1.70%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 09:03 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.90%EV -1.30%E -1.04%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -28.73%E -3.19%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -8.18%E -1.17%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-12 09:03 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -1.30%E -1.04%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -28.73%E -3.19%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -14.74%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-12 09:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.73%EV -1.30%E -1.04%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.68%EV -30.71%E -3.51%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -16.05%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 09:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.73%EV -1.30%E -1.04%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.68%EV -30.71%E -3.51%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -16.05%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-12 09:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 76.21%EV -9.19%E -7.99%K -61.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.31%EV -32.69%E -3.85%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.48%EV -14.74%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-12 09:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 75.96%EV -9.98%E -8.76%K -71.30%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.19%EV -32.69%E -3.85%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.85%EV -18.02%E -2.88%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-08-12 09:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.