默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fulham v Wimbledon

开赛时间: 2026-08-25 15:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

19 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fulham (主队)

预测 78.96%1.27公平赔率
EV +0.284%
优势 +0.224%
Kelly +1.05%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 1.27

博彩公司预测分布
74.73%78.45%79.35%80.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.131.181.171.2788.50%84.67%85.47%78.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

Wimbledon (客队)

预测 7.92%12.63公平赔率
EV +18.79%
优势 +1.25%
Kelly +1.34%
增长率 +0.252%

假设最高赔率为 15.00

博彩公司预测分布
6.03%8.28%7.52%10.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.5011.2310.5015.0011.76%8.90%9.52%6.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 13.12%7.62公平赔率
EV -2.93%
优势 -0.396%
Kelly -0.458%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 7.40

博彩公司预测分布
12.75%13.26%13.13%14.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.256.786.757.4016.00%14.75%14.81%13.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Fulham (主队):78.96%;Wimbledon (客队):7.92%;平局:13.12%。 对于“Wimbledon (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为12.63。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为15.00,对应+18.79%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (19 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.05%EV -10.77%E -9.53%K -82.85%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.03%EV +18.79%E +1.25%K +1.34%G +0.252%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.92%EV -14.74%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-17 11:09
1xBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.61%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000%14.20I 7.04%NM 6.64%EV +12.45%E +0.877%K +0.943%G +0.117%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.75%EV -2.93%E -0.396%K -0.458%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 09:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.90%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +10.87%E +0.776%K +0.836%G +0.091%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -8.18%E -1.17%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 07:19
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.56%EV -7.61%E -6.51%K -44.78%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV +10.87%E +0.776%K +0.836%G +0.091%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -11.46%E -1.70%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 04:10
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -9.19%E -7.99%K -61.28%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV +2.95%E +0.227%K +0.246%G +0.007%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -8.18%E -1.17%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-17 11:07
betano_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -9.98%E -8.76%K -71.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +2.95%E +0.227%K +0.246%G +0.007%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -8.18%E -1.17%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-12 09:15
Bet Victor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.96%EV -9.98%E -8.76%K -71.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.01%EV +2.95%E +0.227%K +0.246%G +0.007%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -8.18%E -1.17%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-12 09:08
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.17%EV -9.98%E -8.76%K -71.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.94%EV +2.95%E +0.227%K +0.246%G +0.007%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89%EV -14.74%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 15:04
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.24%EV -8.40%E -7.24%K -52.51%G +0.000%12.24I 8.17%NM 7.51%EV -3.07%E -0.251%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.94I 14.41%NM 13.25%EV -8.97%E -1.29%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-12 09:09
LeoVegas🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.61%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.90%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.72%EV -16.85%E -1.60%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.67%EV -12.12%E -1.81%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-12 09:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.01%EV -6.82%E -5.78%K -37.90%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.78%EV -5.56%E -0.772%K -0.896%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-12 09:18
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.32%EV -9.98%E -8.76%K -71.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -20.81%E -2.08%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -8.18%E -1.17%K -1.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-17 11:07
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.23%EV +0.284%E +0.224%K +1.05%G +0.003%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV -28.73%E -3.19%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.15%EV -11.46%E -1.70%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 09:03
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.90%EV -1.30%E -1.04%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -28.73%E -3.19%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -8.18%E -1.17%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 09:03
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -1.30%E -1.04%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -28.73%E -3.19%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -14.74%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 09:04
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.73%EV -1.30%E -1.04%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.68%EV -30.71%E -3.51%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -16.05%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 09:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.73%EV -1.30%E -1.04%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.68%EV -30.71%E -3.51%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.60%EV -16.05%E -2.51%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 09:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 76.21%EV -9.19%E -7.99%K -61.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.31%EV -32.69%E -3.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.48%EV -14.74%E -2.27%K -2.68%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-12 09:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 75.96%EV -9.98%E -8.76%K -71.30%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.19%EV -32.69%E -3.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.85%EV -18.02%E -2.88%K -3.43%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-12 09:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。