Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cambridge United v Millwall

Kickoff: 2026-08-25 18:45 UTC

Final: Cambridge United 0–1 Millwall

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cambridge United (Local)

Prediction 31.03%3.22fair odd
EV -0.691%
Edge -0.216%
Kelly -0.314%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.35%30.96%31.13%32.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.973.003.2036.36%33.64%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Millwall (Visit)

Prediction 39.63%2.52fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.67%39.75%39.68%41.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.332.322.4645.45%42.96%43.10%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.34%3.41fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.512%
Kelly -0.729%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.89%29.29%29.19%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.193.203.3534.48%31.30%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cambridge United (Local): 31.03%; Millwall (Visit): 39.63%; Draw: 29.34%. For Cambridge United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -0.691%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -10.84%E -4.82%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:29
Pinnacle🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.31%EV -1.31%E -0.412%K -0.602%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.18%EV -2.52%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.50%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-25 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.65%EV -2.55%E -0.813%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.28%EV -2.91%E -1.19%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.07%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 18:39
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.32%EV -4.90%E -2.04%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.24%EV -8.46%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 18:38
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.32%EV -4.90%E -2.04%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.24%EV -8.46%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 18:34
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -6.88%E -2.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 18:30
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.88%E -2.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.84%E -4.82%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-25 18:24
BetOnline.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.96%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.24%EV -3.71%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.96%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.24%EV -3.71%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 18:30
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.69%E -2.39%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:39
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.88%E -2.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -3.18%E -0.964%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:39
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.88%E -2.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -3.18%E -0.964%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:39
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -8.07%E -3.48%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -1.71%E -0.512%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -8.07%E -3.48%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -1.71%E -0.512%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:38
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -8.07%E -3.48%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -1.71%E -0.512%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -8.07%E -3.48%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -1.71%E -0.512%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:35
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -8.07%E -3.48%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -1.71%E -0.512%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -8.07%E -3.48%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -1.71%E -0.512%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -8.07%E -3.48%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -1.71%E -0.512%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -8.07%E -3.48%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -1.71%E -0.512%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:35
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -8.07%E -3.48%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -1.71%E -0.512%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -8.07%E -3.48%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -1.71%E -0.512%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.08%E -2.57%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.08%E -2.57%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -8.86%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -1.71%E -0.512%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-25 18:14
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.86%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-25 18:39
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.86%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-25 18:29
1xBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.36%EV -7.52%E -2.52%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -5.69%E -2.39%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.38%EV -6.70%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:39
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -6.88%E -2.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-25 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -6.88%E -2.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-25 18:39
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -6.88%E -2.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-25 18:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.90%E -2.04%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.18%E -0.964%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 17:50
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.88%E -2.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-25 18:35
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.88%E -2.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-25 17:49
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.42%EV -8.07%E -3.48%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-25 18:35
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.42%EV -8.07%E -3.48%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-25 18:34
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.84%E -4.82%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-25 18:29
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -8.86%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.92%E -5.14%K -7.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 18:39
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -8.86%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.92%E -5.14%K -7.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 18:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -8.86%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.92%E -5.14%K -7.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 18:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -8.86%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.92%E -5.14%K -7.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 18:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -10.93%E -3.81%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -10.84%E -4.82%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-25 18:30
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -11.55%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -6.88%E -2.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-25 17:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -13.10%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.86%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-25 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -13.10%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -12.82%E -5.83%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-25 18:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -13.10%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -12.82%E -5.83%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-25 18:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -13.10%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -12.82%E -5.83%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-25 18:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -10.84%E -4.82%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-25 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.13%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-08-25 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.13%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-08-25 18:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.13%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-08-25 18:35
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-08-25 18:39