Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cambridge United v Millwall

Início: 2026-08-25 18:45 UTC

Final: Cambridge United 0–1 Millwall

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cambridge United (Local)

Previsão 31.03%3.22odd justa
EV -0.691%
Vantagem -0.216%
Kelly -0.314%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.35%30.96%31.13%32.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.973.003.2036.36%33.64%33.33%31.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Millwall (Visitante)

Previsão 39.63%2.52odd justa
EV -2.52%
Vantagem -1.02%
Kelly -1.72%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.67%39.75%39.68%41.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.332.322.4645.45%42.96%43.10%40.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.34%3.41odd justa
EV -1.71%
Vantagem -0.512%
Kelly -0.729%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.89%29.29%29.19%30.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.193.203.3534.48%31.30%31.25%29.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cambridge United (Local): 31.03%; Millwall (Visitante): 39.63%; Empate: 29.34%. Para Cambridge United (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.22. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.20, com valor esperado de -0.691%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -0.691%E -0.216%K -0.314%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -10.84%E -4.82%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 18:29
Pinnacle🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.31%EV -1.31%E -0.412%K -0.602%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.18%EV -2.52%E -1.02%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.50%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-25 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.65%EV -2.55%E -0.813%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.28%EV -2.91%E -1.19%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.07%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-25 18:39
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.32%EV -4.90%E -2.04%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.24%EV -8.46%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 18:38
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.32%EV -4.90%E -2.04%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.24%EV -8.46%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 18:34
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -6.88%E -2.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-25 18:30
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.88%E -2.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-25 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.84%E -4.82%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-25 18:24
BetOnline.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.96%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.24%EV -3.71%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.96%EV -4.42%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.24%EV -3.71%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.80%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-25 18:30
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.69%E -2.39%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 18:39
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.88%E -2.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -3.18%E -0.964%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:39
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.88%E -2.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -3.18%E -0.964%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-25 18:39
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -8.07%E -3.48%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -1.71%E -0.512%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -8.07%E -3.48%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -1.71%E -0.512%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:38
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -8.07%E -3.48%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -1.71%E -0.512%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -8.07%E -3.48%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -1.71%E -0.512%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:35
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -8.07%E -3.48%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -1.71%E -0.512%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -8.07%E -3.48%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -1.71%E -0.512%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -8.07%E -3.48%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -1.71%E -0.512%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -8.07%E -3.48%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -1.71%E -0.512%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:35
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -8.07%E -3.48%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -1.71%E -0.512%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.55%EV -8.07%E -3.48%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -1.71%E -0.512%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.08%E -2.57%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -6.08%E -2.57%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 18:39
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -8.86%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -1.71%E -0.512%K -0.729%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-25 18:14
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.86%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-25 18:39
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.86%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-25 18:29
1xBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.36%EV -7.52%E -2.52%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -5.69%E -2.39%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.38%EV -6.70%E -2.11%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 18:39
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -6.88%E -2.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-25 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -6.88%E -2.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-25 18:39
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -6.88%E -2.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-25 18:38
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -4.90%E -2.04%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.18%E -0.964%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-25 17:50
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -6.88%E -2.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-25 18:35
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.88%E -2.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-25 17:49
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.42%EV -8.07%E -3.48%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-25 18:35
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.42%EV -8.07%E -3.48%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-25 18:34
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.84%E -4.82%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-25 18:29
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -8.86%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.92%E -5.14%K -7.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 18:39
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -8.86%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.92%E -5.14%K -7.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 18:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -8.86%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.92%E -5.14%K -7.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 18:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -8.86%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.92%E -5.14%K -7.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-25 18:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -10.93%E -3.81%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -10.84%E -4.82%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-25 18:30
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -11.55%E -4.05%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -6.88%E -2.93%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-25 17:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -13.10%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.86%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-25 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -13.10%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -12.82%E -5.83%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-25 18:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -13.10%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -12.82%E -5.83%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-25 18:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -13.10%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -12.82%E -5.83%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-25 18:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -14.66%E -5.33%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -10.84%E -4.82%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-25 17:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.13%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-08-25 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.13%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-08-25 18:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.13%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-08-25 18:35
Matchbook◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%0.9%2026-08-25 18:39