Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wrexham AFC v Burnley

2026-09-08 18:45 UTC — Championship

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wrexham AFC (Local)

Prediction 41.47%2.41fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -3.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.96%41.47%41.44%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.212.232.3148.78%45.27%44.84%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Burnley (Visit)

Prediction 32.13%3.11fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.658%
Kelly -0.978%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.63%32.13%32.18%32.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.882.883.0538.46%34.73%34.66%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.40%3.79fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -0.624%
Kelly -0.855%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.64%26.40%26.38%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.503.523.7030.30%28.56%28.37%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Wrexham AFC (Local): 41.47%; Burnley (Visit): 32.13%; Draw: 26.40%. For Burnley (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.11. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.05, with an expected value of -2.01%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Codere (IT)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.24%EV -4.21%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -5.22%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.95%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 11:24
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.01%EV -4.62%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.42%EV -6.50%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 11:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.31%EV -5.45%E -2.39%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.63%EV -2.01%E -0.658%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -2.31%E -0.624%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 11:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.31%EV -5.45%E -2.39%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.63%EV -2.01%E -0.658%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -2.31%E -0.624%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.31%EV -5.45%E -2.39%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.63%EV -2.01%E -0.658%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -2.31%E -0.624%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 11:50
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.99%EV -5.87%E -2.59%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.42%EV -7.79%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 11:29
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 11:20
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.22%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.22%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 11:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.22%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 11:50
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.22%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 11:50
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.22%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 11:50
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.22%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 11:49
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.77%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 11:50
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.72%EV -9.60%E -4.40%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 11:49
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.72%EV -9.60%E -4.40%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 11:50
ReBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.96%EV -9.60%E -4.40%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.47%EV -11.64%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 26.57%EV -11.29%E -3.36%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-03 11:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -10.02%E -4.62%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 11:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -10.02%E -4.62%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 11:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -10.02%E -4.62%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 11:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -10.84%E -5.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -11.64%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-03 11:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.44%EV -12.09%E -5.70%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.18%EV -12.29%E -4.50%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.38%EV -12.08%E -3.63%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-03 11:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -12.92%E -6.15%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -13.25%E -4.91%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -11.55%E -3.45%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-03 11:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.50%EV -14.99%E -7.31%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.72%EV -16.46%E -6.33%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.78%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%17.5%2026-09-03 11:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 40.84%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.43%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.73%13.4%2026-09-03 11:25
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 40.83%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.67%3.03I 33.00%NM 27.49%20.0%2026-09-03 13:25