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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Wrexham AFC v Burnley

2026-09-08 18:45 UTC — Championship

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (3 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Wrexham AFC (主队)

预测 41.47%2.41公平赔率
EV -4.21%
优势 -1.82%
Kelly -3.21%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.31

博彩公司预测分布
40.96%41.47%41.44%42.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.212.232.3148.78%45.27%44.84%43.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

Burnley (客队)

预测 32.13%3.11公平赔率
EV -2.01%
优势 -0.658%
Kelly -0.978%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.05

博彩公司预测分布
31.63%32.13%32.18%32.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.882.883.0538.46%34.73%34.66%32.79%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.40%3.79公平赔率
EV -2.31%
优势 -0.624%
Kelly -0.855%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.70

博彩公司预测分布
25.64%26.40%26.38%26.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.503.523.7030.30%28.56%28.37%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Wrexham AFC (主队)：41.47%；Burnley (客队)：32.13%；平局：26.40%。 对于“Burnley (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.11。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.05，期望值为-2.01%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Codere (IT)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.24%EV -4.21%E -1.82%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -5.22%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -4.95%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 11:24
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.01%EV -4.62%E -2.01%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.42%EV -6.50%E -2.23%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 11:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.31%EV -5.45%E -2.39%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.63%EV -2.01%E -0.658%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -2.31%E -0.624%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 11:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.31%EV -5.45%E -2.39%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.63%EV -2.01%E -0.658%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -2.31%E -0.624%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.31%EV -5.45%E -2.39%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.63%EV -2.01%E -0.658%K -0.978%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -2.31%E -0.624%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-03 11:50
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.99%EV -5.87%E -2.59%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.42%EV -7.79%E -2.71%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 11:29
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -6.70%E -2.98%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 11:20
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.22%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.22%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 11:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.22%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 11:50
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.22%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 11:50
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.22%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 11:50
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.94%EV -7.53%E -3.38%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.22%E -1.77%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.27%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 11:49
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.77%E -3.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -6.82%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 11:50
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.72%EV -9.60%E -4.40%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 11:49
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.72%EV -9.60%E -4.40%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -8.91%E -2.58%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 11:50
ReBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.96%EV -9.60%E -4.40%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.47%EV -11.64%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 26.57%EV -11.29%E -3.36%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-03 11:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -10.02%E -4.62%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 11:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -10.02%E -4.62%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 11:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.67%EV -10.02%E -4.62%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -8.43%E -2.96%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.23%E -3.01%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 11:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -10.84%E -5.04%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -11.64%E -4.23%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -7.59%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-03 11:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.44%EV -12.09%E -5.70%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.18%EV -12.29%E -4.50%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.38%EV -12.08%E -3.63%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-03 11:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -12.92%E -6.15%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -13.25%E -4.91%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -11.55%E -3.45%K -4.91%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-03 11:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.50%EV -14.99%E -7.31%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.72%EV -16.46%E -6.33%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.78%EV -12.87%E -3.90%K -5.60%G +0.000%17.5%2026-09-03 11:25
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (2)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 40.18%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.04%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.79%12.1%2026-09-03 13:55
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 40.84%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.43%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.73%13.4%2026-09-03 11:25