The School of Odds
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Swansea City v Sheffield United

2026-08-22 14:00 UTC — Championship

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Swansea City (Local)

Prediction 37.83%2.64fair odd
EV -5.04%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -3.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.03%37.86%37.80%38.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.442.452.5145.45%40.98%40.82%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sheffield United (Visit)

Prediction 35.99%2.78fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.09%36.03%36.12%37.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.572.602.7042.55%38.93%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.18%3.82fair odd
EV -0.533%
Edge -0.140%
Kelly -0.190%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.92%26.10%26.08%27.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.543.603.8030.77%28.22%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Swansea City (Local): 37.83%; Sheffield United (Visit): 35.99%; Draw: 26.18%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.80, with an expected value of -0.533%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.66%EV -5.04%E -2.01%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.22%EV -6.06%E -2.32%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -5.24%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 10:59
Betsson🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.66%EV -5.04%E -2.01%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.22%EV -6.06%E -2.32%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -5.24%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 10:59
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.18%EV -5.04%E -2.01%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.31%EV -7.50%E -2.92%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.86%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 11:33
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.18%EV -5.04%E -2.01%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.31%EV -7.50%E -2.92%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.86%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 11:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -2.82%E -1.05%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 10:54
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.42%E -2.47%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -1.84%E -0.491%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 10:55
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.42%E -2.47%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -1.84%E -0.491%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 10:53
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -5.70%E -2.18%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 11:00
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.42%E -2.47%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 10:59
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -6.42%E -2.47%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -0.533%E -0.140%K -0.190%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 10:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -6.42%E -2.47%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.15%E -0.851%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 10:54
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -6.42%E -2.47%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.15%E -0.851%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 10:54
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -6.42%E -2.47%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.15%E -0.851%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.42%E -2.47%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.42%E -2.47%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:59
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.42%E -2.47%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:59
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.42%E -2.47%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:59
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.42%E -2.47%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 11:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -4.62%E -1.74%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 11:29
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.42%E -2.47%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:54
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.42%E -2.47%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 11:34
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.42%E -2.47%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.42%E -2.47%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 11:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.42%E -2.47%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 11:34
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -10.02%E -4.01%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 11:29
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -10.02%E -4.01%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 11:27
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.02%E -4.01%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.00%E -3.24%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 11:00
ReBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 37.79%EV -8.82%E -3.66%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.58%EV -7.86%E -3.07%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.63%EV -10.48%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 10:54
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.20%E -3.83%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.02%E -4.01%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 10:54
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -9.96%E -4.18%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -13.62%E -5.67%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -5.77%E -1.60%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.29%EV -11.09%E -4.72%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -10.02%E -4.01%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -8.39%E -2.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 10:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -12.98%E -5.65%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -10.02%E -4.01%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -13.62%E -4.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-15 10:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.48%EV -13.74%E -6.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.09%EV -10.02%E -4.01%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.43%EV -13.10%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-15 10:53
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.27%EV -16.77%E -7.62%K -13.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.83%EV -15.42%E -6.56%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.91%EV -14.93%E -4.59%K -6.64%G +0.000%18.8%2026-08-15 10:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 37.36%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.16%7.1%2026-08-15 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-15 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-15 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-15 11:30

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