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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Swansea City v Sheffield United

2026-08-22 14:00 UTC — Championship

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Swansea City (主队)

预测 37.83%2.64公平赔率
EV -4.67%
优势 -1.85%
Kelly -3.08%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.52

博彩公司预测分布
37.03%37.85%37.75%38.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.442.452.5245.45%40.99%40.82%39.68%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sheffield United (客队)

预测 36.03%2.78公平赔率
EV -2.71%
优势 -1.00%
Kelly -1.59%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.70

博彩公司预测分布
35.09%36.05%36.16%37.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.352.572.602.7042.55%38.96%38.46%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.14%3.83公平赔率
EV -0.672%
优势 -0.177%
Kelly -0.240%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.80

博彩公司预测分布
24.92%26.10%26.09%27.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.553.603.8030.77%28.21%27.78%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Swansea City (主队)：37.83%；Sheffield United (客队)：36.03%；平局：26.14%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.83。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.80，期望值为-0.672%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -4.67%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.31%EV -7.39%E -2.88%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 14:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -4.67%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.31%EV -7.39%E -2.88%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 14:24
NordicBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.66%EV -5.05%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.22%EV -5.95%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -5.38%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 10:59
Betsson🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.66%EV -5.05%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.22%EV -5.95%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -5.38%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 10:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -2.71%E -1.00%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -5.90%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 10:54
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -1.98%E -0.528%K -0.720%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 10:55
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -1.98%E -0.528%K -0.720%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 10:53
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -5.59%E -2.13%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.90%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 11:00
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.43%E -2.17%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -5.90%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 10:59
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -0.672%E -0.177%K -0.240%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 10:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.29%E -0.888%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 10:54
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.29%E -0.888%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 10:54
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.29%E -0.888%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.90%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.90%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:59
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.90%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:59
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.90%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:59
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -5.90%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 11:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -4.51%E -1.70%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 11:29
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 14:34
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 11:34
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 11:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -6.31%E -2.43%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 11:34
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-15 14:09
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 11:29
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.32%E -2.99%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 11:27
ReBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 37.79%EV -8.84%E -3.67%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.58%EV -7.75%E -3.03%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.63%EV -10.60%E -3.10%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 10:54
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -5.90%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 10:54
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -9.21%E -3.84%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 14:10
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -9.97%E -4.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -13.52%E -5.63%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -5.90%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.29%EV -11.10%E -4.73%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -8.51%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 10:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -13.00%E -5.65%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -13.74%E -4.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-15 10:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.48%EV -13.75%E -6.03%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.09%EV -9.92%E -3.97%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.43%EV -13.22%E -3.98%K -5.70%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-15 10:53
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.27%EV -16.78%E -7.63%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.83%EV -15.32%E -6.52%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.91%EV -15.05%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000%18.8%2026-08-15 10:54
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 37.54%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.03%13.8%2026-08-15 14:15
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 37.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 35.68%3.23I 30.96%NM 26.95%14.9%2026-08-15 14:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-15 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-15 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-15 11:30

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