The School of Odds
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Swansea City v Norwich City

2026-10-10 11:30 UTC — Championship

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Swansea City (Local)

Prediction 37.89%2.64fair odd
EV -4.91%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -3.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.88%37.78%38.01%38.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.432.452.5145.45%41.23%40.82%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Norwich City (Visit)

Prediction 35.52%2.82fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.86%35.49%35.49%36.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.592.622.7042.55%38.68%38.17%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.60%3.76fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.432%
Kelly -0.592%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.60%26.73%26.50%27.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.183.453.503.7031.45%29.02%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Swansea City (Local): 37.89%; Norwich City (Visit): 35.52%; Draw: 26.60%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.70, with an expected value of -1.60%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.05%EV -4.91%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.76%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.19%EV -9.04%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 18:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.05%EV -4.91%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.76%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.19%EV -9.04%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 18:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 16:15
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 16:24
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 17:39
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 17:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 17:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 17:39
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -5.88%E -2.22%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -1.60%E -0.432%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 16:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.88%E -2.22%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:59
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.88%E -2.22%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:59
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.88%E -2.22%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:59
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -6.59%E -2.50%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:59
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 16:14
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.07%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 17:00
ReBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 37.89%EV -10.59%E -4.49%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 35.34%EV -10.14%E -4.01%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 26.77%EV -11.17%E -3.35%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 16:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.29%EV -10.97%E -4.67%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.30%EV -14.76%E -6.56%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.18%EV -12.98%E -5.30%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.52%EV -13.57%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-19 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.50%EV -16.65%E -7.57%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 34.86%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 26.64%EV -15.43%E -4.85%K -7.08%G +0.000%18.1%2026-09-19 16:13
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.27%EV -16.65%E -7.57%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.83%EV -16.53%E -7.03%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.91%EV -13.57%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%18.8%2026-09-19 16:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-19 17:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-19 17:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-19 17:24