Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Swansea City v Norwich City

2026-10-10 11:30 UTC — Championship

Testa a testa

21 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Swansea City (Casa)

Previsione 37.89%2.64quota equa
EV -4.91%
Vantaggio -1.95%
Kelly -3.25%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.88%37.78%38.01%38.66%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.432.452.5145.45%41.23%40.82%39.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Norwich City (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.52%2.82quota equa
EV -4.10%
Vantaggio -1.52%
Kelly -2.41%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.86%35.49%35.49%36.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.592.622.7042.55%38.68%38.17%37.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 26.60%3.76quota equa
EV -1.60%
Vantaggio -0.432%
Kelly -0.592%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.60%26.73%26.50%27.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.183.453.503.7031.45%29.02%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Swansea City (Casa): 37.89%; Norwich City (Trasferta): 35.52%; Pareggio: 26.60%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.76. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.70, con un valore atteso del -1.60%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (21 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.05%EV -4.91%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.76%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.19%EV -9.04%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 18:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.05%EV -4.91%E -1.95%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.76%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.19%EV -9.04%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 18:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -4.10%E -1.52%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 16:15
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.76%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.03%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 16:24
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 17:39
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 17:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 17:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -5.28%E -2.11%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -6.94%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -12.24%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 17:39
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -5.88%E -2.22%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -1.60%E -0.432%K -0.592%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 16:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.88%E -2.22%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:59
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.88%E -2.22%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:59
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.88%E -2.22%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:59
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -6.59%E -2.50%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.26%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 16:59
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.18%E -2.93%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 16:14
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.07%E -3.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.65%E -2.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 17:00
ReBet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 37.89%EV -10.59%E -4.49%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 35.34%EV -10.14%E -4.01%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 26.77%EV -11.17%E -3.35%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 16:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.29%EV -10.97%E -4.67%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.20%E -4.48%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -6.92%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.30%EV -14.76%E -6.56%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.18%EV -12.98%E -5.30%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.52%EV -13.57%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-19 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.50%EV -16.65%E -7.57%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 34.86%EV -13.69%E -5.63%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 26.64%EV -15.43%E -4.85%K -7.08%G +0.000%18.1%2026-09-19 16:13
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.27%EV -16.65%E -7.57%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.83%EV -16.53%E -7.03%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.91%EV -13.57%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%18.8%2026-09-19 16:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 42.86%1.65I 60.61%NM 28.57%1.65I 60.61%NM 28.57%112.1%2026-09-19 20:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 42.86%1.65I 60.61%NM 28.57%1.65I 60.61%NM 28.57%112.1%2026-09-19 20:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 42.86%1.65I 60.61%NM 28.57%1.65I 60.61%NM 28.57%112.1%2026-09-19 20:30
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 42.30%1.51I 66.23%NM 28.85%1.51I 66.23%NM 28.85%129.5%2026-09-19 20:30