Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.46
assuming max odds 9.00
assuming max odds 5.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stoke City (Local): 66.60%; Sheffield Wednesday (Visit): 12.89%; Draw: 20.51%. For Sheffield Wednesday (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.76. 21 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.03%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.64%EV +16.03%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.321% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.95%EV -1.55%E -0.323%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.64%EV +16.03%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.321% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.95%EV -1.55%E -0.323%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.64%EV +16.03%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.321% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.95%EV -1.55%E -0.323%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -10.09%E -7.48%K -28.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +16.03%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.321% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -2.58%E -0.542%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 13:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -10.09%E -7.48%K -28.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +16.03%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.321% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -2.58%E -0.542%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 13:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -10.09%E -7.48%K -28.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +16.03%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.321% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -2.58%E -0.542%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -10.09%E -7.48%K -28.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +16.03%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.321% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -2.58%E -0.542%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 13:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -10.09%E -7.48%K -28.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +16.03%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.321% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -2.58%E -0.542%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 13:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -10.09%E -7.48%K -28.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +16.03%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.321% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -2.58%E -0.542%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 13:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -10.09%E -7.48%K -28.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +16.03%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.321% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -2.58%E -0.542%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 13:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -3.43%E -2.37%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 8.66I 11.55%NM 11.21%EV +11.64%E +1.34%K +1.52%G +0.177% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.82%EV -8.73%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.15%EV -10.09%E -7.48%K -28.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +9.58%E +1.13%K +1.28%G +0.122% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -3.60%E -0.766%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.15%EV -10.09%E -7.48%K -28.84%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +9.58%E +1.13%K +1.28%G +0.122% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -3.60%E -0.766%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -11.43%E -8.59%K -34.62%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV +9.58%E +1.13%K +1.28%G +0.122% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -11.43%E -8.59%K -34.62%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV +9.58%E +1.13%K +1.28%G +0.122% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -11.43%E -8.59%K -34.62%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV +9.58%E +1.13%K +1.28%G +0.122% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.34%EV -12.09%E -9.16%K -37.78%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV +9.58%E +1.13%K +1.28%G +0.122% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.60%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV +3.14%E +0.392%K +0.448%G +0.014% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +3.14%E +0.392%K +0.448%G +0.014% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-03 12:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.36%EV -6.10%E -4.32%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +0.557%E +0.071%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%EV +2.55%E +0.510%K +0.638%G +0.016% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.36%EV -6.10%E -4.32%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +0.557%E +0.071%K +0.082%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%EV +2.55%E +0.510%K +0.638%G +0.016% | 3.7% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.72%EV -5.43%E -3.82%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.22%EV -0.087%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-03 13:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.42%EV -5.43%E -3.82%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.68%EV -2.67%E -0.353%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 4.81I 20.79%NM 19.90%EV -1.35%E -0.280%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.31%E -0.441%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -3.31%E -0.441%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -9.75%E -2.22%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 13:18 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -3.31%E -0.441%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -9.75%E -2.22%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 13:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.23%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -3.31%E -0.441%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -11.19%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.23%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -3.31%E -0.441%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -11.19%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.23%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -3.31%E -0.441%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -11.19%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.23%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -3.31%E -0.441%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -11.19%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -9.43%E -6.93%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -3.31%E -0.441%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -2.58%E -0.542%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -9.43%E -6.93%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -3.31%E -0.441%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -3.60%E -0.766%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -8.76%E -6.40%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -3.31%E -0.441%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 13:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -9.43%E -6.93%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -3.31%E -0.441%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-03 13:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.37%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 7.43I 13.46%NM 12.51%EV -4.21%E -0.567%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.12%EV -5.24%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 13:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -6.53%E -0.901%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -2.58%E -0.542%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.60%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.13%EV -8.47%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.82%EV -2.77%E -1.90%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV -9.76%E -1.39%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.45%EV -3.60%E -0.766%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -3.43%E -2.37%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -9.76%E -1.39%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 13:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -3.43%E -2.37%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -9.76%E -1.39%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -9.76%E -1.39%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -2.58%E -0.542%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -5.43%E -3.82%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -9.76%E -1.39%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 13:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.10%E -4.32%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -9.76%E -1.39%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -9.75%E -2.22%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 13:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.65%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -9.76%E -1.39%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.21%EV -6.68%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-03 13:48 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.94%EV -4.10%E -2.85%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.07%EV -12.98%E -1.92%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -2.58%E -0.542%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 13:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -5.43%E -3.82%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -12.98%E -1.92%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -9.75%E -2.22%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.23%EV -12.09%E -9.16%K -37.78%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.95%EV -12.98%E -1.92%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -13.86%E -3.30%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -4.10%E -2.85%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -16.20%E -2.49%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -1.55%E -0.323%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-03 13:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -4.10%E -2.85%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -16.20%E -2.49%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -1.55%E -0.323%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-03 13:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -4.77%E -3.33%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -16.20%E -2.49%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.05%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -16.20%E -2.49%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -10.78%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -16.20%E -2.49%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -11.19%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.62%EV -9.43%E -6.93%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -16.20%E -2.49%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -23.09%E -6.16%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -4.10%E -2.85%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -19.43%E -3.11%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -2.58%E -0.542%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -4.10%E -2.85%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -19.43%E -3.11%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -2.58%E -0.542%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -22.65%E -3.77%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-03 13:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.45%EV -7.43%E -5.34%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -23.94%E -4.06%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -9.75%E -2.22%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.41% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98% | 0.1% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.41% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98% | 0.1% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.41% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98% | 0.1% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.22% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92% | 0.4% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.56% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 0.6% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.27% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.89% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |