L’École des cotes

Stoke City v Sheffield Wednesday

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Stoke City (Local)

Prévision 66.60%1.50cote équitable
EV -2.77%
Avantage -1.90%
Kelly -6.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.62%66.58%66.62%69.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.391.401.4675.76%71.96%71.43%68.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sheffield Wednesday (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.89%7.76cote équitable
EV +16.03%
Avantage +1.78%
Kelly +2.00%
Croissance +0.321%

avec la cote maximale 9.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.46%12.97%12.83%15.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.907.617.509.0016.95%13.15%13.33%11.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.51%4.88cote équitable
EV +2.55%
Avantage +0.510%
Kelly +0.638%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.28%20.45%20.55%23.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.604.605.0026.67%21.76%21.74%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.64%EV +16.03%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.321%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.95%EV -1.55%E -0.323%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 13:40
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.64%EV +16.03%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.321%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.95%EV -1.55%E -0.323%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 13:40
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.30%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.64%EV +16.03%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.321%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.95%EV -1.55%E -0.323%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 13:40
Bally Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -10.09%E -7.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +16.03%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.321%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -2.58%E -0.542%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 13:05
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -10.09%E -7.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +16.03%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.321%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -2.58%E -0.542%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 13:05
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -10.09%E -7.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +16.03%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.321%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -2.58%E -0.542%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 13:05
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -10.09%E -7.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +16.03%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.321%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -2.58%E -0.542%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 13:05
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -10.09%E -7.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +16.03%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.321%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -2.58%E -0.542%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 13:05
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -10.09%E -7.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +16.03%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.321%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -2.58%E -0.542%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 13:04
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -10.09%E -7.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +16.03%E +1.78%K +2.00%G +0.321%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -2.58%E -0.542%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 13:05
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -3.43%E -2.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%8.66I 11.55%NM 11.21%EV +11.64%E +1.34%K +1.52%G +0.177%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.82%EV -8.73%E -1.96%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-03 13:55
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 69.15%EV -10.09%E -7.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +9.58%E +1.13%K +1.28%G +0.122%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -3.60%E -0.766%K -0.973%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:35
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 69.15%EV -10.09%E -7.48%K -28.84%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +9.58%E +1.13%K +1.28%G +0.122%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -3.60%E -0.766%K -0.973%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:40
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -11.43%E -8.59%K -34.62%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV +9.58%E +1.13%K +1.28%G +0.122%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:40
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -11.43%E -8.59%K -34.62%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV +9.58%E +1.13%K +1.28%G +0.122%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:40
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -11.43%E -8.59%K -34.62%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV +9.58%E +1.13%K +1.28%G +0.122%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:50
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.34%EV -12.09%E -9.16%K -37.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV +9.58%E +1.13%K +1.28%G +0.122%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 13:40
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.60%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV +3.14%E +0.392%K +0.448%G +0.014%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 13:54
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +3.14%E +0.392%K +0.448%G +0.014%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 12:05
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.36%EV -6.10%E -4.32%K -14.87%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +0.557%E +0.071%K +0.082%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%EV +2.55%E +0.510%K +0.638%G +0.016%3.7%2026-04-03 13:50
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.36%EV -6.10%E -4.32%K -14.87%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +0.557%E +0.071%K +0.082%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%EV +2.55%E +0.510%K +0.638%G +0.016%3.7%2026-04-03 13:50
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.72%EV -5.43%E -3.82%K -12.93%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.22%EV -0.087%E -0.011%K -0.013%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 13:09
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 67.42%EV -5.43%E -3.82%K -12.93%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.68%EV -2.67%E -0.353%K -0.407%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.90%EV -1.35%E -0.280%K -0.353%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-03 13:55
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.31%E -0.441%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:35
Caesars1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -3.31%E -0.441%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -9.75%E -2.22%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:18
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.45%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -3.31%E -0.441%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -9.75%E -2.22%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:09
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.23%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -3.31%E -0.441%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -11.19%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 13:55
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.23%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -3.31%E -0.441%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -11.19%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 13:54
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.23%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -3.31%E -0.441%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -11.19%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 13:54
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 66.23%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -3.31%E -0.441%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.41%EV -11.19%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 13:55
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -9.43%E -6.93%K -26.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -3.31%E -0.441%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -2.58%E -0.542%K -0.687%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 13:35
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -9.43%E -6.93%K -26.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -3.31%E -0.441%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -3.60%E -0.766%K -0.973%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 13:34
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.24%EV -8.76%E -6.40%K -23.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -3.31%E -0.441%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 13:24
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -9.43%E -6.93%K -26.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV -3.31%E -0.441%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:44
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 67.37%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.30%G +0.000%7.43I 13.46%NM 12.51%EV -4.21%E -0.567%K -0.655%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.12%EV -5.24%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 13:10
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -6.53%E -0.901%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -2.58%E -0.542%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 13:50
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.60%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.13%EV -8.47%E -1.19%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:49
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.82%EV -2.77%E -1.90%K -6.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV -9.76%E -1.39%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.45%EV -3.60%E -0.766%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 13:45
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -3.43%E -2.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -9.76%E -1.39%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 13:44
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -3.43%E -2.37%K -7.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -9.76%E -1.39%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -5.65%E -1.23%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 13:45
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -9.76%E -1.39%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -2.58%E -0.542%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:34
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -5.43%E -3.82%K -12.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -9.76%E -1.39%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 13:10
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 65.71%EV -6.10%E -4.32%K -14.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -9.76%E -1.39%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.06%EV -9.75%E -2.22%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 13:10
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 66.65%EV -8.10%E -5.87%K -21.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -9.76%E -1.39%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.21%EV -6.68%E -1.47%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-03 13:48
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 65.94%EV -4.10%E -2.85%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.07%EV -12.98%E -1.92%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -2.58%E -0.542%K -0.687%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 13:25
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.23%EV -5.43%E -3.82%K -12.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -12.98%E -1.92%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -9.75%E -2.22%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 13:55
NetBet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 66.23%EV -12.09%E -9.16%K -37.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.95%EV -12.98%E -1.92%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -13.86%E -3.30%K -4.33%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-03 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -4.10%E -2.85%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -16.20%E -2.49%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -1.55%E -0.323%K -0.408%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 13:25
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -4.10%E -2.85%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -16.20%E -2.49%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -1.55%E -0.323%K -0.408%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 13:25
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -4.77%E -3.33%K -11.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -16.20%E -2.49%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:50
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.05%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -16.20%E -2.49%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -10.78%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:45
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -16.20%E -2.49%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -11.19%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-03 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.62%EV -9.43%E -6.93%K -26.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -16.20%E -2.49%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -23.09%E -6.16%K -8.39%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-03 13:49
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -4.10%E -2.85%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -19.43%E -3.11%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -2.58%E -0.542%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -4.10%E -2.85%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -19.43%E -3.11%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -2.58%E -0.542%K -0.687%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:20
Winamax (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -6.76%E -4.83%K -16.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -22.65%E -3.77%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -7.70%E -1.71%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-03 13:44
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 64.45%EV -7.43%E -5.34%K -19.05%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.18%EV -23.94%E -4.06%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -9.75%E -2.22%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-03 13:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 68.41%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98%0.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 68.41%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98%0.1%2026-04-03 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 68.41%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.61%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98%0.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 68.22%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%0.4%2026-04-03 13:55
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 68.56%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%0.6%2026-04-03 13:55
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 69.27%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.89%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.83%0.9%2026-04-03 13:50