Language:English
Southampton v Middlesbrough
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Southampton (Local)
Prediction 38.57%2.59fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -0.803%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.05%38.58%38.55%40.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.402.402.5443.86%41.59%41.67%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Middlesbrough (Visit)
Prediction 33.25%3.01fair odd
EV +1.73%
Edge +0.566%
Kelly +0.840%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 3.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.71%33.22%33.29%34.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.822.803.0638.46%35.52%35.71%32.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.19%3.55fair odd
EV +0.064%
Edge +0.018%
Kelly +0.025%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.80%28.21%28.16%29.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.353.393.5534.72%29.86%29.50%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southampton (Local): 38.57%; Middlesbrough (Visit): 33.25%; Draw: 28.19%. For Middlesbrough (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.73%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.93%EV -6.28%E -2.58%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.71%EV +1.73%E +0.566%K +0.840%G +0.015% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.37%EV -3.60%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-12 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.19%EV -2.04%E -0.803%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -2.59%E -0.884%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.70%EV -4.73%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.28%EV -2.42%E -0.958%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.06%EV -2.59%E -0.884%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.66%EV -4.73%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-12 18:56 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -8.60%E -3.63%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-12 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 17:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-12 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -8.60%E -3.63%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 17:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.97%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.03%EV -3.92%E -1.36%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.00%EV -3.88%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-12 10:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.04%EV -2.04%E -0.803%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.55%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.04%EV -2.04%E -0.803%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.55%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -6.28%E -2.58%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.37%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV +0.064%E +0.018%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -6.28%E -2.58%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.37%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV +0.064%E +0.018%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -6.28%E -2.58%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.37%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV +0.064%E +0.018%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-12 18:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-12 18:46 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-12 18:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.72%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.12%EV -4.59%E -1.60%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.16%EV -8.11%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-12 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.45%EV -4.74%E -1.92%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.20%EV -4.92%E -1.72%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -5.57%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -2.75%E -0.798%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 16:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-12 14:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-12 18:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-12 18:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -1.35%E -0.384%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 09:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -1.35%E -0.384%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 15:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -1.35%E -0.384%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -1.35%E -0.384%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -1.35%E -0.384%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -1.35%E -0.384%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -1.35%E -0.384%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 18:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -1.35%E -0.384%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -1.35%E -0.384%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-12 18:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.57%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 18:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -2.75%E -0.798%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -2.75%E -0.798%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 18:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-12 18:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-12 18:56 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-12 18:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 18:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 18:56 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.34%EV -7.05%E -2.93%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.23%EV -7.58%E -2.73%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-12 18:56 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.18%EV -7.58%E -2.73%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-12 18:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.58%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.35%E -0.384%K -0.538%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-12 09:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.58%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 15:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -10.52%E -4.54%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -8.58%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-12 18:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -11.29%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.58%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-12 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -12.07%E -5.29%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -8.58%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-12 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -12.07%E -5.29%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -8.58%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-12 18:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.45%EV -9.57%E -3.52%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.83%EV -7.83%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-12 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.29%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -10.24%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-12 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.29%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -10.24%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-12 18:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.38%EV -10.52%E -4.54%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.35%EV -11.23%E -4.21%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-12 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -11.90%E -4.49%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -5.57%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.29%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -13.56%E -5.22%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-12 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -11.29%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -13.56%E -5.22%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -18.82%E -6.54%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-12 18:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.03% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 18:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.03% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.03% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 18:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.03% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15% | 0.9% | 2026-05-12 18:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.92% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00% | 1.4% | 2026-05-12 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13% | 3.1% | 2026-05-12 18:56 |