赔率学院

Southampton v Middlesbrough

开赛时间: 2026-05-12 19:00 UTC

最终结果: Southampton 2–1 Middlesbrough

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

60 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Southampton (主队)

预测 38.57%2.59公平赔率
EV -2.04%
优势 -0.803%
Kelly -1.32%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.54

博彩公司预测分布
37.05%38.58%38.55%40.01%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.282.402.402.5443.86%41.59%41.67%39.37%MIN均值中位数MAX

Middlesbrough (客队)

预测 33.25%3.01公平赔率
EV +1.73%
优势 +0.566%
Kelly +0.840%
增长率 +0.015%

假设最高赔率为 3.06

博彩公司预测分布
31.71%33.22%33.29%34.27%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.602.822.803.0638.46%35.52%35.71%32.68%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 28.19%3.55公平赔率
EV +0.064%
优势 +0.018%
Kelly +0.025%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.55

博彩公司预测分布
26.80%28.21%28.16%29.88%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.883.353.393.5534.72%29.86%29.50%28.17%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (60 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.93%EV -6.28%E -2.58%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.71%EV +1.73%E +0.566%K +0.840%G +0.015%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.37%EV -3.60%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-12 18:55
Marathon Bet2.54I 39.37%NM 38.19%EV -2.04%E -0.803%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -2.59%E -0.884%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.70%EV -4.73%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-12 18:40
Pinnacle2.53I 39.53%NM 38.28%EV -2.42%E -0.958%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.06%EV -2.59%E -0.884%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.66%EV -4.73%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-12 18:56
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 17:55
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -8.60%E -3.63%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 17:55
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-12 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.44%EV -8.60%E -3.63%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.23%EV -3.59%E -1.24%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-12 17:55
GTbets2.45I 40.82%NM 38.97%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.03%EV -3.92%E -1.36%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.00%EV -3.88%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 10:29
LowVig.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 38.04%EV -2.04%E -0.803%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.55%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-12 18:00
BetOnline.ag2.54I 39.37%NM 38.04%EV -2.04%E -0.803%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.55%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.42%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-12 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -6.28%E -2.58%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.37%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV +0.064%E +0.018%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 18:05
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -6.28%E -2.58%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.37%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV +0.064%E +0.018%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 18:05
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -6.28%E -2.58%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.37%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV +0.064%E +0.018%K +0.025%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 18:05
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.56%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 18:46
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.26%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 18:49
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 18:50
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 18:50
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -4.25%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-12 18:55
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.72%EV -2.81%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.12%EV -4.59%E -1.60%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.16%EV -8.11%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 18:55
NordicBet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.45%EV -4.74%E -1.92%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.20%EV -4.92%E -1.72%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.35%EV -5.57%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 18:40
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -2.75%E -0.798%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 16:25
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 18:50
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 14:25
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.25%E -1.84%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 18:05
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-12 18:05
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -1.35%E -0.384%K -0.538%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 09:39
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -1.35%E -0.384%K -0.538%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-12 15:20
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -1.35%E -0.384%K -0.538%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 18:05
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -1.35%E -0.384%K -0.538%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 18:05
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -1.35%E -0.384%K -0.538%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 18:05
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -1.35%E -0.384%K -0.538%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 18:10
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -1.35%E -0.384%K -0.538%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 18:05
Bally Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -1.35%E -0.384%K -0.538%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 18:05
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -8.21%E -3.45%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -1.35%E -0.384%K -0.538%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 18:05
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -5.57%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 18:00
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 18:05
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 18:00
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -2.75%E -0.798%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 18:00
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -2.75%E -0.798%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 18:05
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 18:05
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -5.51%E -2.25%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.80%E -3.06%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-12 18:56
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -3.58%E -1.43%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -12.62%E -4.07%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 18:04
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 18:15
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.91%E -2.47%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 18:56
BetUS2.41I 41.49%NM 38.34%EV -7.05%E -2.93%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.23%EV -7.58%E -2.73%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-12 18:56
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.18%EV -7.58%E -2.73%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-12 18:44
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.58%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.35%E -0.384%K -0.538%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 09:39
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.44%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.58%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 15:20
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -10.52%E -4.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -8.58%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 18:05
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -11.29%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.58%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-12 18:05
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -12.07%E -5.29%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -8.58%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 18:05
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -12.07%E -5.29%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -8.58%E -3.12%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -4.16%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-12 18:05
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.45%EV -9.57%E -3.52%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.83%EV -7.83%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-12 18:30
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.29%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -10.24%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-12 18:35
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.29%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -10.24%E -3.79%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -8.39%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-12 18:49
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.38%EV -10.52%E -4.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.35%EV -11.23%E -4.21%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -11.21%E -3.56%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-12 18:20
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.37%E -3.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -11.90%E -4.49%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -5.57%E -1.66%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-12 18:00
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.29%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -13.56%E -5.22%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -6.98%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-12 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -11.29%E -4.91%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -13.56%E -5.22%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -18.82%E -6.54%K -10.01%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-12 18:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.03%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15%0.9%2026-05-12 18:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.03%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15%0.9%2026-05-12 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.03%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15%0.9%2026-05-12 18:56
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.03%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.15%0.9%2026-05-12 18:56
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.92%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.08%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00%1.4%2026-05-12 18:55
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%3.1%2026-05-12 18:56