默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Southampton v Bristol City

2026-09-12 14:00 UTC — Championship

胜负盘

52 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Southampton (主队)

预测 58.56%1.71公平赔率
EV -4.54%
优势 -2.79%
Kelly -7.21%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.63

博彩公司预测分布
56.63%58.73%58.51%61.58%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.571.571.6366.67%63.69%63.69%61.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

Bristol City (客队)

预测 19.12%5.23公平赔率
EV +5.14%
优势 +0.935%
Kelly +1.14%
增长率 +0.059%

假设最高赔率为 5.50

博彩公司预测分布
17.32%19.01%19.15%20.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.104.964.965.5024.39%20.18%20.16%18.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 22.32%4.48公平赔率
EV -1.79%
优势 -0.408%
Kelly -0.528%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.40

博彩公司预测分布
20.99%22.26%22.33%23.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.754.164.204.4026.67%24.01%23.81%22.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Southampton (主队):58.56%;Bristol City (客队):19.12%;平局:22.32%。 对于“Bristol City (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.23。 有16家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为5.50,由此产生+5.14%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.89%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV +5.14%E +0.935%K +1.14%G +0.059%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -1.79%E -0.408%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 16:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.89%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV +5.14%E +0.935%K +1.14%G +0.059%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -1.79%E -0.408%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.89%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV +5.14%E +0.935%K +1.14%G +0.059%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -1.79%E -0.408%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 16:34
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV +5.14%E +0.935%K +1.14%G +0.059%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -3.36%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 13:20
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.65%EV -8.64%E -5.54%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.85%EV +1.32%E +0.249%K +0.307%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -1.79%E -0.408%K -0.528%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 13:20
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.58%EV -12.15%E -8.10%K -24.31%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.43%EV +1.32%E +0.249%K +0.307%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -1.79%E -0.408%K -0.528%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 13:20
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.24%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -1.79%E -0.408%K -0.528%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 18:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.94%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -4.03%E -0.936%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 13:20
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.78%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -5.14%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -6.88%E -4.33%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -9.23%E -5.95%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 16:35
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -9.23%E -5.95%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -9.23%E -5.95%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 16:35
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -9.23%E -5.95%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 16:34
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -9.23%E -5.95%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 16:35
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -9.23%E -5.95%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -9.23%E -5.95%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -2.50%E -0.491%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 16:35
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.88%E -4.33%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.41%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.03%E -0.936%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 14:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -6.88%E -4.33%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.41%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 16:40
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -9.23%E -5.95%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -4.41%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -3.36%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 13:25
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -10.40%E -6.80%K -19.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -4.41%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 16:35
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -10.40%E -6.80%K -19.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -4.41%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -10.40%E -6.80%K -19.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -4.41%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -10.40%E -6.80%K -19.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -4.41%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -10.40%E -6.80%K -19.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -4.41%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 16:34
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -12.15%E -8.10%K -24.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -4.41%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 13:25
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.01%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.19%EV -5.94%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.80%EV -3.36%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 18:18
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.01%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.19%EV -5.94%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.80%EV -3.36%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 18:20
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.14%EV -5.71%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.03%EV -5.94%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 17:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.11%EV -4.54%E -2.79%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 13:20
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 13:35
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.44%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -7.28%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 18:19
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.78%EV -5.71%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -1.79%E -0.408%K -0.528%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 13:49
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.78%EV -5.71%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -1.79%E -0.408%K -0.528%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.73%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.36%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 13:49
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 14:09
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 14:10
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 15:33
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 15:33
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -9.19%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -9.19%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.14%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 13:49
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -9.19%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.14%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 13:49
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -9.19%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 15:35
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.97%E -3.11%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 13:20
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.23%E -5.95%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -13.97%E -3.11%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 18:55
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.25%EV -8.64%E -5.54%K -15.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -13.97%E -3.11%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -12.95%E -3.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 13:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.43%EV -10.40%E -6.80%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.75%EV -14.93%E -3.35%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.82%EV -14.07%E -3.65%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-06 14:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.43%EV -10.40%E -6.80%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.75%EV -14.93%E -3.35%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.82%EV -14.07%E -3.65%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-06 13:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.64%EV -8.64%E -5.54%K -15.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -15.88%E -3.61%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 13:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 56.63%EV -12.15%E -8.10%K -24.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.72%EV -21.62%E -5.27%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.65%EV -16.30%E -4.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%17.7%2026-09-06 13:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 55.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%12.9%2026-09-06 20:30
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 56.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.94%13.2%2026-09-06 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 31.78%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.61%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.61%186.1%2026-09-06 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 31.78%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.61%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.61%186.1%2026-09-06 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-06 16:05