النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Southampton v Bristol City

2026-09-12 14:00 UTC — Championship

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Southampton (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.56%1.71السعر العادل
EV -4.54%
الأفضلية -2.79%
Kelly -7.21%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.63

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.63%58.73%58.51%61.58%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.571.571.6366.67%63.69%63.69%61.35%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Bristol City (الضيف)

التنبؤ 19.12%5.23السعر العادل
EV +5.14%
الأفضلية +0.935%
Kelly +1.14%
النمو +0.059%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.32%19.01%19.15%20.72%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
4.104.964.965.5024.39%20.18%20.16%18.18%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.32%4.48السعر العادل
EV -1.79%
الأفضلية -0.408%
Kelly -0.528%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.99%22.26%22.33%23.20%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.164.204.4026.67%24.01%23.81%22.73%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

بالنسبة إلى سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩، يقدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ الاحتمالات الآتية: ⁨Southampton (المضيف)⁩: ⁨58.56%⁩؛ ⁨Bristol City (الضيف)⁩: ⁨19.12%⁩؛ ⁨تعادل⁩: ⁨22.32%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Bristol City (الضيف)⁩، يعادل هذا التقدير سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨5.23⁩. تعرض 16 شركة مراهنات أسعارًا أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وأفضل سعر متاح هو ⁨5.50⁩، ما ينتج قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+5.14%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.89%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV +5.14%E +0.935%K +1.14%G +0.059%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -1.79%E -0.408%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 16:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.89%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV +5.14%E +0.935%K +1.14%G +0.059%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -1.79%E -0.408%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.89%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV +5.14%E +0.935%K +1.14%G +0.059%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -1.79%E -0.408%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 16:34
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV +5.14%E +0.935%K +1.14%G +0.059%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -3.36%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 13:20
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.65%EV -8.64%E -5.54%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.85%EV +1.32%E +0.249%K +0.307%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -1.79%E -0.408%K -0.528%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 13:20
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.58%EV -12.15%E -8.10%K -24.31%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.43%EV +1.32%E +0.249%K +0.307%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -1.79%E -0.408%K -0.528%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 13:20
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.24%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -1.79%E -0.408%K -0.528%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 18:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.94%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -4.03%E -0.936%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 13:20
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.78%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -5.14%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -6.88%E -4.33%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -9.23%E -5.95%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 16:35
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -9.23%E -5.95%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -9.23%E -5.95%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 16:35
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -9.23%E -5.95%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 16:34
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -9.23%E -5.95%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 16:35
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -9.23%E -5.95%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -9.23%E -5.95%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -2.50%E -0.491%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 16:35
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.88%E -4.33%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.41%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.03%E -0.936%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 14:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -6.88%E -4.33%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.41%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 16:40
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -9.23%E -5.95%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -4.41%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -3.36%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 13:25
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -10.40%E -6.80%K -19.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -4.41%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 16:35
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -10.40%E -6.80%K -19.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -4.41%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -10.40%E -6.80%K -19.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -4.41%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -10.40%E -6.80%K -19.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -4.41%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -10.40%E -6.80%K -19.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -4.41%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 16:34
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -12.15%E -8.10%K -24.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -4.41%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 13:25
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.01%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.19%EV -5.94%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.80%EV -3.36%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 18:18
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.01%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.19%EV -5.94%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.80%EV -3.36%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 18:20
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.14%EV -5.71%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.03%EV -5.94%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 17:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.11%EV -4.54%E -2.79%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 13:20
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 13:35
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.44%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -7.28%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 18:19
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.78%EV -5.71%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -1.79%E -0.408%K -0.528%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 13:49
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.78%EV -5.71%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -1.79%E -0.408%K -0.528%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.73%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.36%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 13:49
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 14:09
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 14:10
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 15:33
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 15:33
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -9.19%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -9.19%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.14%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 13:49
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -9.19%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.14%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 13:49
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -9.19%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 15:35
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.97%E -3.11%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 13:20
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.23%E -5.95%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -13.97%E -3.11%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 18:55
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.25%EV -8.64%E -5.54%K -15.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -13.97%E -3.11%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -12.95%E -3.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 13:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.43%EV -10.40%E -6.80%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.75%EV -14.93%E -3.35%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.82%EV -14.07%E -3.65%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-06 14:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.43%EV -10.40%E -6.80%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.75%EV -14.93%E -3.35%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.82%EV -14.07%E -3.65%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-06 13:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.64%EV -8.64%E -5.54%K -15.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -15.88%E -3.61%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 13:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 56.63%EV -12.15%E -8.10%K -24.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.72%EV -21.62%E -5.27%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.65%EV -16.30%E -4.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%17.7%2026-09-06 13:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 55.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%12.9%2026-09-06 20:30
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 56.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.94%13.2%2026-09-06 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 31.78%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.61%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.61%186.1%2026-09-06 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 31.78%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.61%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.61%186.1%2026-09-06 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-06 16:05