Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Southampton v Bristol City

2026-09-12 14:00 UTC — Championship

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Southampton (Local)

Prévision 58.56%1.71cote équitable
EV -4.54%
Avantage -2.79%
Kelly -7.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.63%58.73%58.51%61.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.571.571.6366.67%63.69%63.69%61.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Bristol City (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.12%5.23cote équitable
EV +5.14%
Avantage +0.935%
Kelly +1.14%
Croissance +0.059%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.32%19.01%19.15%20.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.964.965.5024.39%20.18%20.16%18.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.32%4.48cote équitable
EV -1.79%
Avantage -0.408%
Kelly -0.528%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.99%22.26%22.33%23.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.164.204.4026.67%24.01%23.81%22.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Southampton (Local) : 58.56% ; Bristol City (Visiteur) : 19.12% ; Match nul : 22.32%. Pour Bristol City (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 5.23. 16 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 5.50, pour une espérance positive de +5.14%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.89%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV +5.14%E +0.935%K +1.14%G +0.059%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -1.79%E -0.408%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 16:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.89%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV +5.14%E +0.935%K +1.14%G +0.059%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -1.79%E -0.408%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.89%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV +5.14%E +0.935%K +1.14%G +0.059%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%EV -1.79%E -0.408%K -0.528%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 16:34
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV +5.14%E +0.935%K +1.14%G +0.059%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -3.36%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 13:20
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.65%EV -8.64%E -5.54%K -15.43%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.85%EV +1.32%E +0.249%K +0.307%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -1.79%E -0.408%K -0.528%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 13:20
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.58%EV -12.15%E -8.10%K -24.31%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.43%EV +1.32%E +0.249%K +0.307%G +0.004%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -1.79%E -0.408%K -0.528%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 13:20
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.24%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -1.79%E -0.408%K -0.528%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 18:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.94%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -4.03%E -0.936%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 13:20
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.78%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -5.14%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.15%EV -6.88%E -4.33%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -9.23%E -5.95%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 16:35
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -9.23%E -5.95%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -9.23%E -5.95%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 16:35
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -9.23%E -5.95%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 16:34
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -9.23%E -5.95%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 16:35
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -9.23%E -5.95%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV +0.365%E +0.069%K +0.086%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -9.23%E -5.95%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -2.50%E -0.491%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 16:35
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.88%E -4.33%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.41%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.03%E -0.936%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 14:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -6.88%E -4.33%K -11.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -4.41%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 16:40
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -9.23%E -5.95%K -16.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -4.41%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -3.36%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 13:25
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -10.40%E -6.80%K -19.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -4.41%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 16:35
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -10.40%E -6.80%K -19.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -4.41%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -10.40%E -6.80%K -19.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -4.41%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -10.40%E -6.80%K -19.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -4.41%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -10.40%E -6.80%K -19.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -4.41%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 16:34
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -12.15%E -8.10%K -24.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -4.41%E -0.883%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 13:25
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.01%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.19%EV -5.94%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.80%EV -3.36%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 18:18
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.01%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.19%EV -5.94%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.80%EV -3.36%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 18:20
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.14%EV -5.71%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.03%EV -5.94%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 17:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.11%EV -4.54%E -2.79%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 13:20
GTbets🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -6.33%E -1.29%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 13:35
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.44%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -7.28%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 18:19
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.78%EV -5.71%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -1.79%E -0.408%K -0.528%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 13:49
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.78%EV -5.71%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -1.79%E -0.408%K -0.528%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.73%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.36%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 13:49
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 14:09
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 14:10
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 15:33
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.24%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 15:33
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -9.19%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.26%E -1.49%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -9.19%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.14%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 13:49
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -9.19%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.14%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 13:49
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -9.19%E -1.94%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 15:35
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.06%E -5.13%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.97%E -3.11%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 13:20
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -9.23%E -5.95%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -13.97%E -3.11%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -10.72%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 18:55
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.25%EV -8.64%E -5.54%K -15.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -13.97%E -3.11%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -12.95%E -3.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 13:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.43%EV -10.40%E -6.80%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.75%EV -14.93%E -3.35%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.82%EV -14.07%E -3.65%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-06 14:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.43%EV -10.40%E -6.80%K -19.62%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.75%EV -14.93%E -3.35%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.82%EV -14.07%E -3.65%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-06 13:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.64%EV -8.64%E -5.54%K -15.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -15.88%E -3.61%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -8.49%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 13:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 56.63%EV -12.15%E -8.10%K -24.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.72%EV -21.62%E -5.27%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.65%EV -16.30%E -4.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%17.7%2026-09-06 13:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 55.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%12.9%2026-09-06 20:30
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 56.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.94%13.2%2026-09-06 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 31.78%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.61%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.61%186.1%2026-09-06 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 31.78%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.61%1.01I 99.01%NM 34.61%186.1%2026-09-06 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-06 16:05