Language:English
Southampton v Bolton Wanderers
Head to Head
Southampton (Local)
Prediction 63.45%1.58fair odd
EV -6.10%
Edge -4.12%
Kelly -12.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.27%63.45%63.45%64.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.431.441.4874.63%69.73%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bolton Wanderers (Visit)
Prediction 15.99%6.26fair odd
EV +2.31%
Edge +0.362%
Kelly +0.429%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 6.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.02%15.99%15.99%17.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.876.006.4020.41%17.03%16.67%15.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.57%4.86fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.268%
Kelly -0.338%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.64%20.57%20.57%20.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.154.524.604.8024.10%22.10%21.74%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Southampton (Local): 63.45%; Bolton Wanderers (Visit): 15.99%; Draw: 20.57%. For Bolton Wanderers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.26. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.40, producing a positive expected value of +2.31%.
Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.95%EV -6.10%E -4.12%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.02%EV +2.31%E +0.362%K +0.429%G +0.010% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.03%EV -1.29%E -0.268%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.95%EV -6.10%E -4.12%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.02%EV +2.31%E +0.362%K +0.429%G +0.010% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.03%EV -1.29%E -0.268%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.95%EV -6.10%E -4.12%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.02%EV +2.31%E +0.362%K +0.429%G +0.010% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.03%EV -1.29%E -0.268%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.39%EV -8.00%E -5.52%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -2.48%E -0.407%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.55%EV -8.63%E -6.00%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.24%EV -2.48%E -0.407%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.55%EV -8.63%E -6.00%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.24%EV -2.48%E -0.407%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.55%EV -8.63%E -6.00%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.24%EV -2.48%E -0.407%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.55%EV -8.63%E -6.00%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.24%EV -2.48%E -0.407%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.55%EV -8.63%E -6.00%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.24%EV -2.48%E -0.407%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.00%E -5.52%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -4.08%E -0.680%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.63%E -6.00%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.08%E -0.680%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.63%E -6.00%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.08%E -0.680%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.78%EV -7.37%E -5.05%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.83I 17.15%NM 15.97%EV -6.80%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-10 14:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.63%EV -9.27%E -6.48%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -7.28%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.63%EV -9.27%E -6.48%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -7.28%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.63%EV -9.27%E -6.48%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -7.28%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-10 17:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.23%EV -8.63%E -6.00%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -8.08%E -1.40%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -3.34%E -0.711%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-10 14:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.96%EV -9.90%E -6.97%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -12.07%E -2.20%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.79%EV -11.57%E -2.69%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-10 14:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.63%EV -9.90%E -6.97%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -13.67%E -2.53%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-10 14:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.26%EV -11.81%E -8.49%K -30.28%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.28%EV -13.67%E -2.53%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.45%EV -11.57%E -2.69%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-10 14:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 63.27%EV -14.98%E -11.18%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.30%EV -16.87%E -3.24%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 20.43%EV -14.65%E -3.53%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-10-10 14:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 62.27%EV -13.08%E -9.54%K -35.34%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.41%EV -21.67%E -4.42%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.31%EV -13.63%E -3.24%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-10-10 14:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.79% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.28% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93% | 13.8% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 56.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.33% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 22.78% | 22.9% | 2026-10-10 18:50 |