默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Southampton v Bolton Wanderers

2026-10-17 14:00 UTC — Championship

胜负盘

22 家博彩公司 (2 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Southampton (主队)

预测 63.45%1.58公平赔率
EV -6.10%
优势 -4.12%
Kelly -12.70%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.48

博彩公司预测分布
62.27%63.45%63.45%64.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.341.431.441.4874.63%69.73%69.44%67.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

Bolton Wanderers (客队)

预测 15.99%6.26公平赔率
EV +2.31%
优势 +0.362%
Kelly +0.429%
增长率 +0.010%

假设最高赔率为 6.40

博彩公司预测分布
15.02%15.99%15.99%17.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.905.876.006.4020.41%17.03%16.67%15.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 20.57%4.86公平赔率
EV -1.29%
优势 -0.268%
Kelly -0.338%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.80

博彩公司预测分布
19.64%20.57%20.57%20.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.154.524.604.8024.10%22.10%21.74%20.83%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Southampton (主队):63.45%;Bolton Wanderers (客队):15.99%;平局:20.57%。 对于“Bolton Wanderers (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.26。 有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为6.40,由此产生+2.31%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.95%EV -6.10%E -4.12%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.02%EV +2.31%E +0.362%K +0.429%G +0.010%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.03%EV -1.29%E -0.268%K -0.338%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-10 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.95%EV -6.10%E -4.12%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.02%EV +2.31%E +0.362%K +0.429%G +0.010%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.03%EV -1.29%E -0.268%K -0.338%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-10 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.95%EV -6.10%E -4.12%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.02%EV +2.31%E +0.362%K +0.429%G +0.010%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.03%EV -1.29%E -0.268%K -0.338%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-10 15:40
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.39%EV -8.00%E -5.52%K -17.78%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -2.48%E -0.407%K -0.487%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 15:40
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.55%EV -8.63%E -6.00%K -19.62%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.24%EV -2.48%E -0.407%K -0.487%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 15:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.55%EV -8.63%E -6.00%K -19.62%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.24%EV -2.48%E -0.407%K -0.487%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.55%EV -8.63%E -6.00%K -19.62%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.24%EV -2.48%E -0.407%K -0.487%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 15:40
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.55%EV -8.63%E -6.00%K -19.62%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.24%EV -2.48%E -0.407%K -0.487%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 15:40
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.55%EV -8.63%E -6.00%K -19.62%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.24%EV -2.48%E -0.407%K -0.487%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 15:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -8.00%E -5.52%K -17.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -4.08%E -0.680%K -0.816%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-10 15:40
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.63%E -6.00%K -19.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.08%E -0.680%K -0.816%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 15:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.63%E -6.00%K -19.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.08%E -0.680%K -0.816%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -7.46%E -1.66%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 17:30
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.78%EV -7.37%E -5.05%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 15.97%EV -6.80%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.24%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 14:14
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.63%EV -9.27%E -6.48%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -7.28%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-10 15:40
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.63%EV -9.27%E -6.48%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -7.28%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-10 15:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.63%EV -9.27%E -6.48%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.69%EV -7.28%E -1.25%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -9.51%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-10 17:30
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.23%EV -8.63%E -6.00%K -19.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -8.08%E -1.40%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -3.34%E -0.711%K -0.903%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 14:15
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.96%EV -9.90%E -6.97%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -12.07%E -2.20%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.79%EV -11.57%E -2.69%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-10 14:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.63%EV -9.90%E -6.97%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -13.67%E -2.53%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -5.40%E -1.17%K -1.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-10 14:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.26%EV -11.81%E -8.49%K -30.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.28%EV -13.67%E -2.53%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.45%EV -11.57%E -2.69%K -3.51%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-10 14:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 63.27%EV -14.98%E -11.18%K -44.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.30%EV -16.87%E -3.24%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.43%EV -14.65%E -3.53%K -4.65%G +0.000%18.0%2026-10-10 14:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 62.27%EV -13.08%E -9.54%K -35.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.41%EV -21.67%E -4.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.31%EV -13.63%E -3.24%K -4.26%G +0.000%17.2%2026-10-10 14:15
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (2)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.40I 71.43%NM 62.79%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.28%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%13.8%2026-10-10 15:40
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 56.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.33%3.57I 28.01%NM 22.78%22.9%2026-10-10 18:50