L’École des cotes

Sheffield Wednesday v Watford

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-10 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sheffield Wednesday (Local)

Prévision 12.21%8.19cote équitable
EV +6.11%
Avantage +0.704%
Kelly +0.795%
Croissance +0.049%

avec la cote maximale 8.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.89%12.18%12.28%13.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.597.508.6915.38%13.18%13.33%11.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Watford (Visiteur)

Prévision 66.91%1.49cote équitable
EV -3.65%
Avantage -2.54%
Kelly -8.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.55%66.88%66.94%69.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.391.401.4481.97%71.74%71.43%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.88%4.79cote équitable
EV -0.812%
Avantage -0.171%
Kelly -0.217%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.63%20.94%20.78%22.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.444.504.7525.00%22.54%22.22%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet8.69I 11.51%NM 11.17%EV +6.11%E +0.704%K +0.795%G +0.049%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.90%EV -4.32%E -3.02%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.93%EV -3.11%E -0.670%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-10 19:40
Coolbet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV +3.79%E +0.446%K +0.506%G +0.019%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.12%EV -4.99%E -3.52%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -8.12%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 19:25
Bet Victor8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV +3.79%E +0.446%K +0.506%G +0.019%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.76%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 19:39
Sky Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +3.79%E +0.446%K +0.506%G +0.019%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.14%EV -9.01%E -6.62%K -25.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -0.812%E -0.171%K -0.217%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 19:20
SportsBet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +3.79%E +0.446%K +0.506%G +0.019%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -9.01%E -6.62%K -25.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -3.94%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 19:20
Caesars8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV +3.79%E +0.446%K +0.506%G +0.019%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.07%EV -7.67%E -5.56%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -12.30%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 19:33
Tipico (DE)8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV +0.131%E +0.016%K +0.018%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.96%EV -9.68%E -7.17%K -27.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -8.12%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-10 19:00
BetOnline.ag8.00I 12.50%NM 12.05%EV -2.31%E -0.289%K -0.330%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%EV -4.32%E -3.02%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.52%EV -1.86%E -0.395%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 19:20
LowVig.ag8.00I 12.50%NM 12.05%EV -2.31%E -0.289%K -0.330%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%EV -4.32%E -3.02%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.52%EV -1.86%E -0.395%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 19:20
Betr (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -2.31%E -0.289%K -0.330%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.21%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 19:25
Bet Right8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -2.31%E -0.289%K -0.330%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -11.25%E -2.65%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 19:20
theScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -2.31%E -0.289%K -0.330%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -7.67%E -5.56%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -8.12%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 19:20
Paddy Power8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -2.31%E -0.289%K -0.330%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.01%E -6.62%K -25.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-10 19:20
FanDuel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -2.31%E -0.289%K -0.330%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.84%EV -10.34%E -7.72%K -30.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -1.86%E -0.395%K -0.502%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-10 19:19
Codere (IT)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.21%EV -4.75%E -0.609%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.08%EV -4.99%E -3.52%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -3.94%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 19:20
Pinnacle7.72I 12.95%NM 12.40%EV -5.73%E -0.742%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.93%EV -4.32%E -3.02%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.67%EV -3.32%E -0.717%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 19:40
Marathon Bet7.70I 12.99%NM 12.12%EV -5.97%E -0.776%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -7.00%E -5.04%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 19:20
GTbets7.69I 13.00%NM 12.25%EV -6.10%E -0.793%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.78%EV -5.66%E -4.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 20.97%EV -6.24%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 19:30
Coral7.50I 13.33%NM 12.76%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.44%EV -3.65%E -2.54%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.80%EV -3.94%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -3.65%E -2.54%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.60%EV -4.32%E -3.02%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -3.94%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 18:50
Svenska Spel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.60%EV -4.32%E -3.02%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -3.94%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 18:50
ATG (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.60%EV -4.32%E -3.02%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -3.94%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 18:50
BetMGM7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.60%EV -4.32%E -3.02%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -3.94%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 19:25
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -4.99%E -3.52%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 19:20
Unibet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -5.66%E -4.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 18:40
Casumo7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -5.66%E -4.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 18:40
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -5.66%E -4.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 18:40
Unibet (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -5.66%E -4.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 18:40
Grosvenor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -5.66%E -4.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 18:40
betPARX7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -5.66%E -4.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 18:40
Bally Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -5.66%E -4.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 18:40
BetRivers7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 18:40
TABtouch7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 18:40
Fanatics7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 19:30
Everygame7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 19:20
TAB7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.64%EV -4.99%E -3.52%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -11.25%E -2.65%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:30
PlayUp7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.96%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -11.25%E -2.65%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-10 19:30
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -7.67%E -5.56%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -8.12%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 18:40
888sport7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.30%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 19:25
William Hill7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.30%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 19:25
888sport (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.30%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 19:25
Mr Green (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.30%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.23%EV -11.01%E -8.28%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -16.47%E -4.12%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-10 19:20
Fliff7.30I 13.70%NM 12.34%EV -10.86%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.72%EV -9.68%E -7.17%K -27.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%EV -10.21%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-10 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -11.47%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.85%EV -4.99%E -3.52%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -8.12%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:25
Neds7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -11.47%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.85%EV -4.99%E -3.52%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -8.12%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:25
Betclic (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.53%EV -11.47%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.33%EV -8.34%E -6.09%K -22.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -10.21%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-10 19:19
Unibet (FR)7.20I 13.89%NM 12.43%EV -12.08%E -1.68%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 66.77%EV -10.34%E -7.72%K -30.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -10.21%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-10 19:40
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -14.52%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-10 19:19
Bovada7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -14.52%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.12%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-10 19:25
BetUS7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -14.52%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.12%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-10 19:30
BoyleSports7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -14.52%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.58%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-10 19:25
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -14.52%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -7.67%E -5.56%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-10 18:50
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -14.52%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.19%EV -7.67%E -5.56%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -8.12%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-10 18:50
NetBet (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.42%EV -14.52%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.88%EV -13.02%E -10.02%K -43.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.70%EV -12.30%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-10 19:24
PMU (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 11.84%EV -14.52%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 67.94%EV -18.37%E -15.06%K -83.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.22%EV -14.39%E -3.51%K -4.64%G +0.000%20.6%2026-03-10 19:20
Winamax (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.72%EV -20.63%E -3.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.55%EV -9.01%E -6.62%K -25.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.73%EV -10.21%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-10 19:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.20I 10.87%NM 10.84%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.23%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94%0.3%2026-03-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)9.20I 10.87%NM 10.84%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.23%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94%0.3%2026-03-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)9.20I 10.87%NM 10.84%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.23%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94%0.3%2026-03-10 19:35
Matchbook9.20I 10.87%NM 10.84%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.23%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94%0.3%2026-03-10 19:35
Kalshi9.09I 11.00%NM 10.90%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.28%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%0.9%2026-03-10 19:30
Smarkets9.20I 10.87%NM 10.74%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.10%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.16%1.2%2026-03-10 19:35