La escuela de los momios

Sheffield Wednesday v Watford

Inicio: 2026-03-10 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sheffield Wednesday (Local)

Predicción 12.21%8.19momio equitativo
EV +6.11%
Ventaja +0.704%
Kelly +0.795%
Crecimiento +0.049%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.89%12.18%12.28%13.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.597.508.6915.38%13.18%13.33%11.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Watford (Visitante)

Predicción 66.91%1.49momio equitativo
EV -3.65%
Ventaja -2.54%
Kelly -8.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.55%66.88%66.94%69.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.391.401.4481.97%71.74%71.43%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.88%4.79momio equitativo
EV -0.812%
Ventaja -0.171%
Kelly -0.217%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.63%20.94%20.78%22.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.444.504.7525.00%22.54%22.22%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet8.69I 11.51%NM 11.17%EV +6.11%E +0.704%K +0.795%G +0.049%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.90%EV -4.32%E -3.02%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.93%EV -3.11%E -0.670%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-10 19:40
Coolbet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.21%EV +3.79%E +0.446%K +0.506%G +0.019%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.12%EV -4.99%E -3.52%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -8.12%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 19:25
Bet Victor8.50I 11.76%NM 11.16%EV +3.79%E +0.446%K +0.506%G +0.019%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.76%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 19:39
Sky Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +3.79%E +0.446%K +0.506%G +0.019%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.14%EV -9.01%E -6.62%K -25.02%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -0.812%E -0.171%K -0.217%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 19:20
SportsBet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV +3.79%E +0.446%K +0.506%G +0.019%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.70%EV -9.01%E -6.62%K -25.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -3.94%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 19:20
Caesars8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV +3.79%E +0.446%K +0.506%G +0.019%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.07%EV -7.67%E -5.56%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -12.30%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-10 19:33
Tipico (DE)8.20I 12.20%NM 11.19%EV +0.131%E +0.016%K +0.018%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.96%EV -9.68%E -7.17%K -27.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -8.12%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-10 19:00
BetOnline.ag8.00I 12.50%NM 12.05%EV -2.31%E -0.289%K -0.330%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%EV -4.32%E -3.02%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.52%EV -1.86%E -0.395%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 19:20
LowVig.ag8.00I 12.50%NM 12.05%EV -2.31%E -0.289%K -0.330%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.43%EV -4.32%E -3.02%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.52%EV -1.86%E -0.395%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 19:20
Betr (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -2.31%E -0.289%K -0.330%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -10.21%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 19:25
Bet Right8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -2.31%E -0.289%K -0.330%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -11.25%E -2.65%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 19:20
theScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -2.31%E -0.289%K -0.330%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -7.67%E -5.56%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -8.12%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 19:20
Paddy Power8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -2.31%E -0.289%K -0.330%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.01%E -6.62%K -25.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-10 19:20
FanDuel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -2.31%E -0.289%K -0.330%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.84%EV -10.34%E -7.72%K -30.42%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -1.86%E -0.395%K -0.502%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-10 19:19
Codere (IT)7.80I 12.82%NM 12.21%EV -4.75%E -0.609%K -0.699%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.08%EV -4.99%E -3.52%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.71%EV -3.94%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 19:20
Pinnacle7.72I 12.95%NM 12.40%EV -5.73%E -0.742%K -0.853%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.93%EV -4.32%E -3.02%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.67%EV -3.32%E -0.717%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 19:40
Marathon Bet7.70I 12.99%NM 12.12%EV -5.97%E -0.776%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.14%EV -7.00%E -5.04%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 19:20
GTbets7.69I 13.00%NM 12.25%EV -6.10%E -0.793%K -0.911%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.78%EV -5.66%E -4.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 20.97%EV -6.24%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 19:30
Coral7.50I 13.33%NM 12.76%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.44%EV -3.65%E -2.54%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.80%EV -3.94%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.14%EV -3.65%E -2.54%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.60%EV -4.32%E -3.02%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -3.94%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 18:50
Svenska Spel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.60%EV -4.32%E -3.02%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -3.94%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 18:50
ATG (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.60%EV -4.32%E -3.02%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -3.94%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 18:50
BetMGM7.50I 13.33%NM 12.70%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.60%EV -4.32%E -3.02%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.70%EV -3.94%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 19:25
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.45%EV -4.99%E -3.52%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 19:20
Unibet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -5.66%E -4.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 18:40
Casumo7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -5.66%E -4.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 18:40
Unibet (NL)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -5.66%E -4.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 18:40
Unibet (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -5.66%E -4.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 18:40
Grosvenor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -5.66%E -4.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 18:40
betPARX7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -5.66%E -4.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 18:40
Bally Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.61%EV -5.66%E -4.01%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 18:40
BetRivers7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 18:40
TABtouch7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 18:40
Fanatics7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 19:30
Everygame7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 19:20
TAB7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.64%EV -4.99%E -3.52%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -11.25%E -2.65%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:30
PlayUp7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.96%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -11.25%E -2.65%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-10 19:30
LeoVegas7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.77%EV -7.67%E -5.56%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -8.12%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 18:40
888sport7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.30%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 19:25
William Hill7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.30%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 19:25
888sport (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.30%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 19:25
Mr Green (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.79%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.30%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -8.42%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.23%EV -11.01%E -8.28%K -33.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -16.47%E -4.12%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-10 19:20
Fliff7.30I 13.70%NM 12.34%EV -10.86%E -1.49%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.72%EV -9.68%E -7.17%K -27.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%EV -10.21%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-10 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -11.47%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.85%EV -4.99%E -3.52%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -8.12%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:25
Neds7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -11.47%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.85%EV -4.99%E -3.52%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -8.12%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:25
Betclic (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.53%EV -11.47%E -1.58%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.33%EV -8.34%E -6.09%K -22.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -10.21%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-10 19:19
Unibet (FR)7.20I 13.89%NM 12.43%EV -12.08%E -1.68%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 66.77%EV -10.34%E -7.72%K -30.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -10.21%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-10 19:40
Betway7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -14.52%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-10 19:19
Bovada7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -14.52%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.12%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-10 19:25
BetUS7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -14.52%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.12%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-10 19:30
BoyleSports7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -14.52%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -6.33%E -4.52%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.58%E -2.21%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-10 19:25
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -14.52%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.50%EV -7.67%E -5.56%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -6.03%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-10 18:50
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -14.52%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.19%EV -7.67%E -5.56%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -8.12%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-10 18:50
NetBet (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.42%EV -14.52%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.88%EV -13.02%E -10.02%K -43.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.70%EV -12.30%E -2.93%K -3.84%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-10 19:24
PMU (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 11.84%EV -14.52%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 67.94%EV -18.37%E -15.06%K -83.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.22%EV -14.39%E -3.51%K -4.64%G +0.000%20.6%2026-03-10 19:20
Winamax (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.72%EV -20.63%E -3.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.55%EV -9.01%E -6.62%K -25.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.73%EV -10.21%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-10 19:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.20I 10.87%NM 10.84%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.23%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94%0.3%2026-03-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)9.20I 10.87%NM 10.84%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.23%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94%0.3%2026-03-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)9.20I 10.87%NM 10.84%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.23%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94%0.3%2026-03-10 19:35
Matchbook9.20I 10.87%NM 10.84%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.23%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.94%0.3%2026-03-10 19:35
Kalshi9.09I 11.00%NM 10.90%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.28%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%0.9%2026-03-10 19:30
Smarkets9.20I 10.87%NM 10.74%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.10%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.16%1.2%2026-03-10 19:35