Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sheffield Wednesday v Charlton Athletic

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

Final: Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 Charlton Athletic

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sheffield Wednesday (Local)

Prediction 22.81%4.38fair odd
EV +4.95%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.37%
Growth +0.068%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.34%22.72%22.94%24.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.184.204.6026.67%23.91%23.81%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlton Athletic (Visit)

Prediction 48.65%2.06fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.851%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.27%48.75%48.53%52.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.901.912.0256.50%52.75%52.36%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.53%3.50fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.455%
Kelly -0.640%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.11%28.53%28.53%30.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.293.303.4532.79%30.35%30.30%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sheffield Wednesday (Local): 22.81%; Charlton Athletic (Visit): 48.65%; Draw: 28.53%. For Sheffield Wednesday (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.38. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.95%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%EV +4.95%E +1.08%K +1.37%G +0.068%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.32%EV -9.02%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.57%E -0.455%K -0.640%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%EV +4.95%E +1.08%K +1.37%G +0.068%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.32%EV -9.02%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.57%E -0.455%K -0.640%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%EV +4.95%E +1.08%K +1.37%G +0.068%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.32%EV -9.02%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.57%E -0.455%K -0.640%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 13:50
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV +4.95%E +1.08%K +1.37%G +0.068%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -13.40%E -7.53%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -1.57%E -0.455%K -0.640%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:30
Unibet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +2.67%E +0.593%K +0.762%G +0.020%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -3.00%E -0.881%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 13:50
Grosvenor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +2.67%E +0.593%K +0.762%G +0.020%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -3.00%E -0.881%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 13:49
Unibet (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +2.67%E +0.593%K +0.762%G +0.020%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -3.00%E -0.881%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 13:50
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +2.67%E +0.593%K +0.762%G +0.020%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -3.00%E -0.881%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 13:49
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +2.67%E +0.593%K +0.762%G +0.020%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -3.00%E -0.881%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 13:50
Bally Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +2.67%E +0.593%K +0.762%G +0.020%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -3.00%E -0.881%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 13:50
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +2.67%E +0.593%K +0.762%G +0.020%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -3.00%E -0.881%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 13:50
SportsBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV +0.386%E +0.088%K +0.113%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.81%EV -7.56%E -3.98%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 13:40
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV +0.386%E +0.088%K +0.113%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 13:40
TABtouch🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV +0.386%E +0.088%K +0.113%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -11.45%E -6.29%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -3.00%E -0.881%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:50
LeoVegas🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV +0.386%E +0.088%K +0.113%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -12.91%E -7.21%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -0.755%E -0.174%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.46%EV -13.88%E -7.84%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 13:50
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -1.21%E -0.280%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.51%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:39
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.64%EV -1.21%E -0.280%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.07%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:40
Coolbet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -1.90%E -0.441%K -0.574%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.72%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -3.00%E -0.881%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 13:40
LowVig.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -1.90%E -0.441%K -0.574%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.96%EV -6.10%E -3.16%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -1.90%E -0.441%K -0.574%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.96%EV -6.10%E -3.16%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.33%EV -3.04%E -0.714%K -0.934%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.21%EV -13.88%E -7.84%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 13:49
Virgin Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.33%EV -3.04%E -0.714%K -0.934%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.21%EV -13.88%E -7.84%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 13:50
Pinnacle🎯4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV -3.26%E -0.770%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.72%EV -4.15%E -2.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 13:50
1xBet🎯4.23I 23.64%NM 22.95%EV -3.49%E -0.826%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06%EV -1.72%E -0.851%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.98%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 13:50
betfred_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.72%EV -7.56%E -3.98%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -3.00%E -0.881%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 13:40
Betr (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -7.56%E -3.98%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:40
Bet Right🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -8.53%E -4.54%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:40
Caesars🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.12%E -2.63%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -11.55%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:38
theScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -9.02%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:39
Tipico (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -9.02%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:50
GTbets🎯4.14I 24.15%NM 22.80%EV -5.55%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.12%E -2.63%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.78%EV -6.42%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 13:50
Codere (IT)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -6.46%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.60%EV -5.12%E -2.63%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 13:50
Bet Victor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -6.46%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.12%E -2.63%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 13:40
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.46%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:50
Everygame🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.46%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:50
Bovada🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -7.60%E -1.88%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:48
BetUS🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -7.60%E -1.88%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:50
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -8.74%E -2.19%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -2.69%E -1.35%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 13:50
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -8.74%E -2.19%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -2.69%E -1.35%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:50
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -8.74%E -2.19%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -9.20%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.85%EV -5.12%E -2.63%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:48
Betclic (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -9.88%E -2.50%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.82%EV -9.50%E -5.11%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.20%EV -8.13%E -2.53%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 13:45
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -11.02%E -2.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -2.69%E -1.35%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -11.02%E -2.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -2.69%E -1.35%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -11.02%E -2.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -2.69%E -1.35%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:50
888sport🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.02%E -2.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.02%E -2.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.02%E -2.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:40
William Hill🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.02%E -2.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:39
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -12.16%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.26%EV -5.12%E -2.63%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -12.16%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.59%EV -8.53%E -4.54%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 13:50
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -13.30%E -3.50%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.27%EV -2.69%E -1.35%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -10.13%E -3.22%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 13:49
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -13.30%E -3.50%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -5.12%E -2.63%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 13:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -14.44%E -3.85%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.62%EV -10.48%E -5.69%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:50
NetBet (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -14.44%E -3.85%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.17%EV -11.94%E -6.59%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.58%EV -12.98%E -4.26%K -6.33%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-18 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-04-18 13:50
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-04-18 13:50
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%1.0%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-04-18 13:50
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.0%2026-04-18 13:50