La escuela de los momios

Sheffield Wednesday v Charlton Athletic

Inicio: 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

Final: Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 Charlton Athletic

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sheffield Wednesday (Local)

Predicción 22.81%4.38momio equitativo
EV +4.95%
Ventaja +1.08%
Kelly +1.37%
Crecimiento +0.068%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.34%22.72%22.94%24.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.184.204.6026.67%23.91%23.81%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Charlton Athletic (Visitante)

Predicción 48.65%2.06momio equitativo
EV -1.72%
Ventaja -0.851%
Kelly -1.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.27%48.75%48.53%52.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.771.901.912.0256.50%52.75%52.36%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.53%3.50momio equitativo
EV -1.57%
Ventaja -0.455%
Kelly -0.640%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.11%28.53%28.53%30.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.293.303.4532.79%30.35%30.30%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%EV +4.95%E +1.08%K +1.37%G +0.068%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.32%EV -9.02%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.57%E -0.455%K -0.640%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 13:50
Svenska Spel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%EV +4.95%E +1.08%K +1.37%G +0.068%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.32%EV -9.02%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.57%E -0.455%K -0.640%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.86%EV +4.95%E +1.08%K +1.37%G +0.068%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.32%EV -9.02%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -1.57%E -0.455%K -0.640%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 13:50
BetRivers4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV +4.95%E +1.08%K +1.37%G +0.068%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.55%EV -13.40%E -7.53%K -17.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -1.57%E -0.455%K -0.640%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:30
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +2.67%E +0.593%K +0.762%G +0.020%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -3.00%E -0.881%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 13:50
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +2.67%E +0.593%K +0.762%G +0.020%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -3.00%E -0.881%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 13:49
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +2.67%E +0.593%K +0.762%G +0.020%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -3.00%E -0.881%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 13:50
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +2.67%E +0.593%K +0.762%G +0.020%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -3.00%E -0.881%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 13:49
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +2.67%E +0.593%K +0.762%G +0.020%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -3.00%E -0.881%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 13:50
Bally Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +2.67%E +0.593%K +0.762%G +0.020%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -3.00%E -0.881%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 13:50
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +2.67%E +0.593%K +0.762%G +0.020%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -3.00%E -0.881%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 13:50
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV +0.386%E +0.088%K +0.113%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.81%EV -7.56%E -3.98%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 13:40
FanDuel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV +0.386%E +0.088%K +0.113%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.24%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 13:40
TABtouch4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV +0.386%E +0.088%K +0.113%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.31%EV -11.45%E -6.29%K -13.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -3.00%E -0.881%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:50
LeoVegas4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV +0.386%E +0.088%K +0.113%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -12.91%E -7.21%K -16.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 13:50
PMU (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.94%EV -0.755%E -0.174%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.46%EV -13.88%E -7.84%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 13:50
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -1.21%E -0.280%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.51%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:39
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.64%EV -1.21%E -0.280%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.07%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:40
Coolbet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -1.90%E -0.441%K -0.574%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.72%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -3.00%E -0.881%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 13:40
LowVig.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -1.90%E -0.441%K -0.574%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.96%EV -6.10%E -3.16%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:50
BetOnline.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -1.90%E -0.441%K -0.574%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.96%EV -6.10%E -3.16%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:50
LiveScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.33%EV -3.04%E -0.714%K -0.934%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.21%EV -13.88%E -7.84%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 13:49
Virgin Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.33%EV -3.04%E -0.714%K -0.934%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.21%EV -13.88%E -7.84%K -18.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 13:50
Pinnacle4.24I 23.58%NM 22.63%EV -3.26%E -0.770%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.72%EV -4.15%E -2.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-18 13:50
1xBet4.23I 23.64%NM 22.95%EV -3.49%E -0.826%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.06%EV -1.72%E -0.851%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.98%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-18 13:50
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.72%EV -7.56%E -3.98%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.79%EV -3.00%E -0.881%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 13:40
Betr (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -7.56%E -3.98%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 13:40
Bet Right4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -8.53%E -4.54%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:40
Caesars4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.12%E -2.63%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -11.55%E -3.73%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:38
theScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -9.02%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:39
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -9.02%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:50
GTbets4.14I 24.15%NM 22.80%EV -5.55%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.12%E -2.63%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.78%EV -6.42%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 13:50
Codere (IT)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -6.46%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.60%EV -5.12%E -2.63%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.29%EV -4.42%E -1.32%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 13:50
Bet Victor4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -6.46%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.12%E -2.63%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 13:40
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.46%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:50
Everygame4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.46%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.70%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:50
Bovada4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -7.60%E -1.88%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:48
BetUS4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -7.60%E -1.88%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:50
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -8.74%E -2.19%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -2.69%E -1.35%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 13:50
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -8.74%E -2.19%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -2.69%E -1.35%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:50
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -8.74%E -2.19%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 13:50
Marathon Bet3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -9.20%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.85%EV -5.12%E -2.63%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:48
Betclic (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.99%EV -9.88%E -2.50%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.82%EV -9.50%E -5.11%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.20%EV -8.13%E -2.53%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 13:45
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -11.02%E -2.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -2.69%E -1.35%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:49
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -11.02%E -2.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -2.69%E -1.35%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -11.02%E -2.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -2.69%E -1.35%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:50
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.02%E -2.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:40
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.02%E -2.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:40
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.02%E -2.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:40
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.02%E -2.83%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:39
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -12.16%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.26%EV -5.12%E -2.63%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -8.70%E -2.72%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:50
Winamax (DE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -12.16%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.59%EV -8.53%E -4.54%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 13:50
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -13.30%E -3.50%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.27%EV -2.69%E -1.35%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -10.13%E -3.22%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 13:49
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -13.30%E -3.50%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -5.12%E -2.63%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 13:50
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -14.44%E -3.85%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.62%EV -10.48%E -5.69%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-18 13:50
NetBet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -14.44%E -3.85%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.17%EV -11.94%E -6.59%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.58%EV -12.98%E -4.26%K -6.33%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-18 13:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-04-18 13:50
Matchbook4.60I 21.74%NM 21.58%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.64%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%0.7%2026-04-18 13:50
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%1.0%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.64%1.2%2026-04-18 13:50
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.0%2026-04-18 13:50