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Sheffield United v Watford

2026-11-21 15:00 UTC — Championship

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sheffield United (Local)

Prediction 56.67%1.76fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -5.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.43%56.44%56.78%57.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.641.651.7067.11%60.80%60.61%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Watford (Visit)

Prediction 19.92%5.02fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.406%
Kelly -0.509%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.19%19.95%19.85%21.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.554.604.9225.64%21.96%21.74%20.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.41%4.27fair odd
EV -4.01%
Edge -0.979%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.16%23.61%23.37%25.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.893.904.1028.99%25.72%25.64%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sheffield United (Local): 56.67%; Watford (Visit): 19.92%; Draw: 23.41%. For Watford (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.02. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.92, with an expected value of -2.00%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -3.66%E -2.15%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.37%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-07 22:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -3.66%E -2.15%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.37%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-07 20:35
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -3.66%E -2.15%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -12.21%E -3.26%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-07 20:35
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -3.66%E -2.15%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -13.38%E -3.62%K -4.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-07 20:35
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.23%E -2.50%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.29%EV -6.38%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.26%EV -4.01%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-08 00:20
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.49%EV -2.79%E -0.572%K -0.720%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.55%EV -5.42%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-07 21:30
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -4.01%E -0.979%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-07 20:35
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.37%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-08 00:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.37%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.36%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-08 00:30
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -5.36%E -3.21%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-08 00:59
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.33%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -2.39%E -0.489%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -5.18%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-08 11:55
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.64%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.38%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.48%EV -6.82%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-07 21:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-07 20:34
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.50%E -3.94%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.04%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-08 00:23
NordicBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.56%EV -7.06%E -4.31%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.19%EV -2.00%E -0.406%K -0.509%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.25%EV -4.95%E -1.22%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-08 11:55
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.19%EV -7.06%E -4.31%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -7.53%E -1.91%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-07 20:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.05%EV -7.63%E -4.68%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -5.38%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.37%EV -6.82%E -1.71%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-07 21:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -9.33%E -5.83%K -15.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -8.37%E -1.82%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -8.70%E -2.23%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-08 05:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.27%EV -11.60%E -7.43%K -20.71%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.78%EV -17.33%E -4.18%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.95%EV -15.72%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%16.0%2026-11-07 20:33
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 54.87%EV -12.73%E -8.27%K -23.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.66%EV -22.31%E -5.72%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.47%EV -15.72%E -4.37%K -6.05%G +0.000%18.4%2026-11-07 20:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 55.42%EV -15.56%E -10.44%K -31.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.64%EV -20.32%E -5.08%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 23.94%EV -19.23%E -5.57%K -7.85%G +0.000%21.1%2026-11-07 21:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 52.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.85%15.5%2026-11-08 15:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 52.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.85%15.5%2026-11-08 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 52.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.85%15.5%2026-11-08 15:45
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 52.11%3.75I 26.67%NM 21.12%2.96I 33.78%NM 26.76%26.2%2026-11-08 16:10

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