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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Sheffield United v Watford

2026-11-21 15:00 UTC — Championship

胜负盘

26 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sheffield United (主队)

预测 56.51%1.77公平赔率
EV -3.93%
优势 -2.31%
Kelly -5.62%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.70

博彩公司预测分布
54.43%56.31%56.69%57.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.491.641.661.7067.11%60.80%60.24%58.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

Watford (客队)

预测 20.03%4.99公平赔率
EV -1.44%
优势 -0.292%
Kelly -0.367%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.92

博彩公司预测分布
19.05%20.01%19.93%21.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.904.554.554.9225.64%21.97%21.98%20.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.46%4.26公平赔率
EV -3.83%
优势 -0.934%
Kelly -1.23%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.10

博彩公司预测分布
23.16%23.68%23.38%25.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.453.863.904.1028.99%25.88%25.64%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Sheffield United (主队)：56.51%；Watford (客队)：20.03%；平局：23.46%。 对于“Watford (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.99。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为4.92，期望值为-1.44%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -3.93%E -2.31%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -7.85%E -1.71%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.52%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-07 22:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -3.93%E -2.31%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -7.85%E -1.71%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -8.52%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-07 20:35
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -3.93%E -2.31%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.85%E -2.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -12.04%E -3.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-07 20:35
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -3.93%E -2.31%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -9.85%E -2.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -13.21%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-07 20:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -3.93%E -2.31%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -9.85%E -2.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -13.21%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-07 20:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -3.93%E -2.31%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -9.85%E -2.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -13.21%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-07 20:34
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.50%E -2.66%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.29%EV -5.85%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.26%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-08 00:20
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -5.63%E -3.37%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.49%EV -2.24%E -0.459%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.55%EV -5.24%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-07 21:30
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.63%E -3.37%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -4.84%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -3.83%E -0.934%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-07 20:35
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.63%E -3.37%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -7.85%E -1.71%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-08 00:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.63%E -3.37%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -7.85%E -1.71%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-08 00:30
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -5.63%E -3.37%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.85%E -2.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.52%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-08 00:59
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -5.63%E -3.37%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -9.85%E -2.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-08 14:35
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.33%EV -6.76%E -4.10%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -1.84%E -0.375%K -0.471%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -5.00%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-08 11:55
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.64%EV -6.76%E -4.10%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -5.85%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.48%EV -6.64%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-07 21:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -6.76%E -4.10%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -9.85%E -2.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.52%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-07 20:34
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.76%E -4.10%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.85%E -2.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -10.86%E -2.86%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-08 00:23
NordicBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.56%EV -7.32%E -4.47%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.19%EV -1.44%E -0.292%K -0.367%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.25%EV -4.77%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-08 11:55
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.19%EV -7.32%E -4.47%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -9.85%E -2.19%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -7.35%E -1.86%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-07 20:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.05%EV -7.89%E -4.84%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -4.84%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.37%EV -6.64%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-07 21:00
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -8.45%E -5.22%K -13.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -1.84%E -0.375%K -0.471%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.17%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-08 16:51
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -9.58%E -5.99%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -7.85%E -1.71%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -8.52%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-08 05:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.27%EV -11.84%E -7.59%K -21.15%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.78%EV -16.86%E -4.06%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.95%EV -15.56%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%16.0%2026-11-07 20:33
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 54.87%EV -12.97%E -8.42%K -24.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.66%EV -21.87%E -5.61%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.47%EV -15.56%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%18.4%2026-11-07 20:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.15%EV -13.54%E -8.85%K -25.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.98%EV -13.86%E -3.22%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.87%EV -15.56%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000%16.4%2026-11-08 08:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 55.42%EV -15.80%E -10.60%K -32.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.64%EV -19.87%E -4.97%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 23.94%EV -19.07%E -5.53%K -7.79%G +0.000%21.1%2026-11-07 21:00
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 52.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.85%15.5%2026-11-08 15:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 52.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.85%15.5%2026-11-08 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 52.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.85%15.5%2026-11-08 15:45
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 52.11%3.75I 26.67%NM 21.12%2.96I 33.78%NM 26.76%26.2%2026-11-08 16:10

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