Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sheffield United v Sheffield Wednesday

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sheffield United (Local)

Prediction 81.82%1.22fair odd
EV -4.27%
Edge -3.65%
Kelly -25.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.13%81.68%81.66%83.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.141.141.1794.34%88.02%87.72%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sheffield Wednesday (Visit)

Prediction 6.01%16.63fair odd
EV +14.26%
Edge +0.750%
Kelly +0.792%
Growth +0.113%

assuming max odds 19.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.91%6.04%6.16%7.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.5016.1417.0019.008.70%6.20%5.88%5.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 12.17%8.22fair odd
EV +3.41%
Edge +0.401%
Kelly +0.454%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.15%12.28%12.18%14.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.777.758.5016.67%12.88%12.90%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sheffield United (Local): 81.82%; Sheffield Wednesday (Visit): 6.01%; Draw: 12.17%. For Sheffield Wednesday (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 16.63. 30 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 19.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.26%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.62%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.37%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.06%EV +14.26%E +0.750%K +0.792%G +0.113%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.31%EV +3.41%E +0.401%K +0.454%G +0.015%4.0%2026-02-21 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.62%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.37%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.06%EV +14.26%E +0.750%K +0.792%G +0.113%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.31%EV +3.41%E +0.401%K +0.454%G +0.015%4.0%2026-02-21 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.62%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.37%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.06%EV +14.26%E +0.750%K +0.792%G +0.113%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.31%EV +3.41%E +0.401%K +0.454%G +0.015%4.0%2026-02-21 16:50
Coolbet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.04%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.37%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.03%EV +14.26%E +0.750%K +0.792%G +0.113%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.94%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 14:29
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.86%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +14.26%E +0.750%K +0.792%G +0.113%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.15%EV +3.41%E +0.401%K +0.454%G +0.015%5.5%2026-02-21 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.86%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +14.26%E +0.750%K +0.792%G +0.113%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.15%EV +3.41%E +0.401%K +0.454%G +0.015%5.5%2026-02-21 16:50
Grosvenor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.86%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +14.26%E +0.750%K +0.792%G +0.113%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.15%EV +3.41%E +0.401%K +0.454%G +0.015%5.5%2026-02-21 16:50
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.86%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +14.26%E +0.750%K +0.792%G +0.113%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.15%EV +3.41%E +0.401%K +0.454%G +0.015%5.5%2026-02-21 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.86%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +14.26%E +0.750%K +0.792%G +0.113%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.15%EV +3.41%E +0.401%K +0.454%G +0.015%5.5%2026-02-21 16:50
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.86%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +14.26%E +0.750%K +0.792%G +0.113%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.15%EV +3.41%E +0.401%K +0.454%G +0.015%5.5%2026-02-21 16:50
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.86%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +14.26%E +0.750%K +0.792%G +0.113%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.15%EV +3.41%E +0.401%K +0.454%G +0.015%5.5%2026-02-21 16:55
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.78%EV -6.72%E -5.90%K -48.03%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV +14.26%E +0.750%K +0.792%G +0.113%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -14.84%E -2.12%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 02:39
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -8.36%E -7.46%K -69.67%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +8.24%E +0.458%K +0.485%G +0.040%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -8.36%E -7.46%K -69.67%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +8.24%E +0.458%K +0.485%G +0.040%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.43%EV -10.00%E -9.09%K -99.97%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV +8.24%E +0.458%K +0.485%G +0.040%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.43%EV -10.00%E -9.09%K -99.97%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV +8.24%E +0.458%K +0.485%G +0.040%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 16:50
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.43%EV -10.00%E -9.09%K -99.97%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV +8.24%E +0.458%K +0.485%G +0.040%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 16:50
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.37%G +0.000%17.86I 5.60%NM 5.36%EV +7.40%E +0.414%K +0.439%G +0.032%8.37I 11.95%NM 11.43%EV +1.83%E +0.218%K +0.248%G +0.005%4.5%2026-02-22 02:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.01%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.80%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +2.23%E +0.131%K +0.139%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.33%EV +3.41%E +0.401%K +0.454%G +0.015%3.9%2026-02-21 06:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.01%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.80%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +2.23%E +0.131%K +0.139%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.33%EV +3.41%E +0.401%K +0.454%G +0.015%3.9%2026-02-21 06:09
TAB🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -6.72%E -5.90%K -48.03%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +2.23%E +0.131%K +0.139%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 14:00
SportsBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.37%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +2.23%E +0.131%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -8.76%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 17:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.37%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +2.23%E +0.131%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -8.76%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 08:24
PlayUp🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.80%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.23%E +0.131%K +0.139%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 13:59
Everygame🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -6.72%E -5.90%K -48.03%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.23%E +0.131%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -8.76%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 22:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.49%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +2.23%E +0.131%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -5.72%E -0.738%K -0.847%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +2.23%E +0.131%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.10%EV -6.32%E -0.821%K -0.944%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 03:20
1xBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +2.23%E +0.131%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.10%EV -6.32%E -0.821%K -0.944%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 03:30
theScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -8.36%E -7.46%K -69.67%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +2.23%E +0.131%K +0.139%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 02:30
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.16%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +2.23%E +0.131%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -8.76%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.37%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.80%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.97%EV -3.78%E -0.237%K -0.252%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.65%EV -0.242%E -0.029%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 13:55
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.39%EV -6.72%E -5.90%K -48.03%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -3.78%E -0.237%K -0.252%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 17:54
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.75%EV -6.72%E -5.90%K -48.03%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV -3.78%E -0.237%K -0.252%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -8.76%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 17:54
Coral🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.68%EV -4.27%E -3.65%K -25.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -9.80%E -0.653%K -0.700%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-20 12:05
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -6.72%E -5.90%K -48.03%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -9.80%E -0.653%K -0.700%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 22:20
William Hill🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -9.80%E -0.653%K -0.700%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -8.76%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 00:05
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.72%E -5.90%K -48.03%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -9.80%E -0.653%K -0.700%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -8.76%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 17:55
888sport🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -9.80%E -0.653%K -0.700%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -14.84%E -2.12%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 22:20
BoyleSports🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -9.80%E -0.653%K -0.700%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -14.84%E -2.12%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -9.80%E -0.653%K -0.700%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -14.84%E -2.12%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -9.80%E -0.653%K -0.700%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -14.84%E -2.12%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 22:20
Bet Victor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -9.80%E -0.653%K -0.700%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.76%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 03:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.13%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -9.80%E -0.653%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -27.01%E -4.50%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 17:55
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.50%EV -4.27%E -3.65%K -25.11%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.58%EV -12.80%E -0.883%K -0.949%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.92%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 17:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.22%EV -9.18%E -8.27%K -83.44%G +0.000%14.20I 7.04%NM 6.35%EV -14.61%E -1.03%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.43%EV -11.80%E -1.63%K -1.89%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-21 13:59
GTbets🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.32%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.80%G +0.000%14.02I 7.13%NM 6.73%EV -15.69%E -1.12%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.89I 12.67%NM 11.96%EV -4.01%E -0.509%K -0.582%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 03:30
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -6.72%E -5.90%K -48.03%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV -15.81%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.76%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 02:09
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -6.72%E -5.90%K -48.03%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV -15.81%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.76%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 00:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.21%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -15.81%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -8.76%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 23:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 81.12%EV -13.27%E -12.52%K -221.16%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.14%EV -15.81%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.74%EV -17.88%E -2.65%K -3.11%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-21 17:55
Fliff🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 81.53%EV -9.18%E -8.27%K -83.44%G +0.000%13.95I 7.17%NM 6.49%EV -16.11%E -1.15%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 11.99%EV -8.15%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-22 03:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 81.37%EV -11.63%E -10.77%K -145.42%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.51%EV -18.82%E -1.39%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.12%EV -11.80%E -1.63%K -1.89%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-22 00:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.11%EV -9.18%E -8.27%K -83.44%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 6.71%EV -20.32%E -1.53%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.17%EV -17.88%E -2.65%K -3.11%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-21 14:23
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.89%EV -4.27%E -3.65%K -25.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -21.82%E -1.68%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 20:05
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -4.27%E -3.65%K -25.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -21.82%E -1.68%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -14.84%E -2.12%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 09:25
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.48%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.80%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV -24.83%E -1.99%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.05%EV -5.72%E -0.738%K -0.847%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.48%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.80%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV -24.83%E -1.99%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.05%EV -5.72%E -0.738%K -0.847%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.89%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV -24.83%E -1.99%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.79%EV -5.72%E -0.738%K -0.847%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 13:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 79.88%EV -8.36%E -7.46%K -69.67%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.78%EV -30.85%E -2.68%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.34%EV -11.80%E -1.63%K -1.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 13:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27%0.9%2026-02-22 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27%0.9%2026-02-22 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27%0.9%2026-02-22 03:05
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27%0.9%2026-02-22 03:05
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 83.80%21.01I 4.76%NM 4.71%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.50%1.1%2026-02-22 03:30