La escuela de los momios

Sheffield United v Sheffield Wednesday

Inicio: 2026-02-22 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sheffield United (Local)

Predicción 81.82%1.22momio equitativo
EV -4.27%
Ventaja -3.65%
Kelly -25.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.13%81.68%81.66%83.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.061.141.141.1794.34%88.02%87.72%85.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sheffield Wednesday (Visitante)

Predicción 6.01%16.63momio equitativo
EV +14.26%
Ventaja +0.750%
Kelly +0.792%
Crecimiento +0.113%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 19.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
4.91%6.04%6.16%7.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
11.5016.1417.0019.008.70%6.20%5.88%5.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 12.17%8.22momio equitativo
EV +3.41%
Ventaja +0.401%
Kelly +0.454%
Crecimiento +0.015%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.15%12.28%12.18%14.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.777.758.5016.67%12.88%12.90%11.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.62%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.37%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.06%EV +14.26%E +0.750%K +0.792%G +0.113%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.31%EV +3.41%E +0.401%K +0.454%G +0.015%4.0%2026-02-21 16:55
Svenska Spel1.15I 86.96%NM 83.62%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.37%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.06%EV +14.26%E +0.750%K +0.792%G +0.113%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.31%EV +3.41%E +0.401%K +0.454%G +0.015%4.0%2026-02-21 16:55
ATG (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 83.62%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.37%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.06%EV +14.26%E +0.750%K +0.792%G +0.113%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.31%EV +3.41%E +0.401%K +0.454%G +0.015%4.0%2026-02-21 16:50
Coolbet1.15I 86.96%NM 83.04%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.37%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.03%EV +14.26%E +0.750%K +0.792%G +0.113%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.94%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 14:29
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.86%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +14.26%E +0.750%K +0.792%G +0.113%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.15%EV +3.41%E +0.401%K +0.454%G +0.015%5.5%2026-02-21 16:55
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.86%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +14.26%E +0.750%K +0.792%G +0.113%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.15%EV +3.41%E +0.401%K +0.454%G +0.015%5.5%2026-02-21 16:50
Grosvenor1.13I 88.50%NM 83.86%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +14.26%E +0.750%K +0.792%G +0.113%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.15%EV +3.41%E +0.401%K +0.454%G +0.015%5.5%2026-02-21 16:50
Casumo1.13I 88.50%NM 83.86%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +14.26%E +0.750%K +0.792%G +0.113%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.15%EV +3.41%E +0.401%K +0.454%G +0.015%5.5%2026-02-21 16:50
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.86%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +14.26%E +0.750%K +0.792%G +0.113%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.15%EV +3.41%E +0.401%K +0.454%G +0.015%5.5%2026-02-21 16:50
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.86%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +14.26%E +0.750%K +0.792%G +0.113%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.15%EV +3.41%E +0.401%K +0.454%G +0.015%5.5%2026-02-21 16:50
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 83.86%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.99%EV +14.26%E +0.750%K +0.792%G +0.113%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.15%EV +3.41%E +0.401%K +0.454%G +0.015%5.5%2026-02-21 16:55
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.78%EV -6.72%E -5.90%K -48.03%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV +14.26%E +0.750%K +0.792%G +0.113%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -14.84%E -2.12%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 02:39
BetRivers1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -8.36%E -7.46%K -69.67%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +8.24%E +0.458%K +0.485%G +0.040%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 16:50
TABtouch1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -8.36%E -7.46%K -69.67%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV +8.24%E +0.458%K +0.485%G +0.040%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 16:50
LiveScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 83.43%EV -10.00%E -9.09%K -99.97%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV +8.24%E +0.458%K +0.485%G +0.040%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 16:50
Virgin Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 83.43%EV -10.00%E -9.09%K -99.97%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV +8.24%E +0.458%K +0.485%G +0.040%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 16:50
LeoVegas1.10I 90.91%NM 83.43%EV -10.00%E -9.09%K -99.97%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV +8.24%E +0.458%K +0.485%G +0.040%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.47%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 16:50
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.37%G +0.000%17.86I 5.60%NM 5.36%EV +7.40%E +0.414%K +0.439%G +0.032%8.37I 11.95%NM 11.43%EV +1.83%E +0.218%K +0.248%G +0.005%4.5%2026-02-22 02:10
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 83.01%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.80%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +2.23%E +0.131%K +0.139%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.33%EV +3.41%E +0.401%K +0.454%G +0.015%3.9%2026-02-21 06:09
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 83.01%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.80%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +2.23%E +0.131%K +0.139%G +0.003%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.33%EV +3.41%E +0.401%K +0.454%G +0.015%3.9%2026-02-21 06:09
TAB1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -6.72%E -5.90%K -48.03%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +2.23%E +0.131%K +0.139%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 14:00
SportsBet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.37%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +2.23%E +0.131%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -8.76%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 17:54
Unibet (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.90%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.37%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +2.23%E +0.131%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -8.76%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 08:24
PlayUp1.13I 88.50%NM 82.80%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.23%E +0.131%K +0.139%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 13:59
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 82.03%EV -6.72%E -5.90%K -48.03%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV +2.23%E +0.131%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -8.76%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 22:19
Betr (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.49%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +2.23%E +0.131%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -5.72%E -0.738%K -0.847%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:30
Marathon Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +2.23%E +0.131%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.10%EV -6.32%E -0.821%K -0.944%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 03:20
1xBet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +2.23%E +0.131%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.10%EV -6.32%E -0.821%K -0.944%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 03:30
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -8.36%E -7.46%K -69.67%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +2.23%E +0.131%K +0.139%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 02:30
Bet Right1.13I 88.50%NM 82.16%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +2.23%E +0.131%K +0.139%G +0.003%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -8.76%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:30
Codere (IT)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.37%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.80%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.97%EV -3.78%E -0.237%K -0.252%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.65%EV -0.242%E -0.029%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 13:55
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.39%EV -6.72%E -5.90%K -48.03%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV -3.78%E -0.237%K -0.252%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 17:54
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.75%EV -6.72%E -5.90%K -48.03%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV -3.78%E -0.237%K -0.252%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -8.76%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 17:54
Coral1.17I 85.47%NM 81.68%EV -4.27%E -3.65%K -25.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -9.80%E -0.653%K -0.700%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.95%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-20 12:05
Fanatics1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -6.72%E -5.90%K -48.03%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -9.80%E -0.653%K -0.700%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 22:20
William Hill1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -9.80%E -0.653%K -0.700%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -8.76%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 00:05
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.72%E -5.90%K -48.03%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -9.80%E -0.653%K -0.700%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -8.76%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 17:55
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -9.80%E -0.653%K -0.700%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -14.84%E -2.12%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 22:20
BoyleSports1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -9.80%E -0.653%K -0.700%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -14.84%E -2.12%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 13:50
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -9.80%E -0.653%K -0.700%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -14.84%E -2.12%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 22:20
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -9.80%E -0.653%K -0.700%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -14.84%E -2.12%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 22:20
Bet Victor1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV -9.80%E -0.653%K -0.700%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.76%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 03:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 79.13%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.96%EV -9.80%E -0.653%K -0.700%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -27.01%E -4.50%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 17:55
BetMGM1.17I 85.47%NM 81.50%EV -4.27%E -3.65%K -25.11%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.58%EV -12.80%E -0.883%K -0.949%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.92%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 17:00
Unibet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 81.22%EV -9.18%E -8.27%K -83.44%G +0.000%14.20I 7.04%NM 6.35%EV -14.61%E -1.03%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.43%EV -11.80%E -1.63%K -1.89%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-21 13:59
GTbets1.16I 86.21%NM 81.32%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.80%G +0.000%14.02I 7.13%NM 6.73%EV -15.69%E -1.12%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.89I 12.67%NM 11.96%EV -4.01%E -0.509%K -0.582%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 03:30
Bovada1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -6.72%E -5.90%K -48.03%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV -15.81%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.76%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 02:09
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 81.07%EV -6.72%E -5.90%K -48.03%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV -15.81%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -8.76%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 00:05
Tipico (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.21%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV -15.81%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -8.76%E -1.17%K -1.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 23:10
PMU (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 81.12%EV -13.27%E -12.52%K -221.16%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.14%EV -15.81%E -1.13%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.74%EV -17.88%E -2.65%K -3.11%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-21 17:55
Fliff1.11I 90.09%NM 81.53%EV -9.18%E -8.27%K -83.44%G +0.000%13.95I 7.17%NM 6.49%EV -16.11%E -1.15%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 11.99%EV -8.15%E -1.08%K -1.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-22 03:29
NetBet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 81.37%EV -11.63%E -10.77%K -145.42%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.51%EV -18.82%E -1.39%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.12%EV -11.80%E -1.63%K -1.89%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-22 00:24
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 80.11%EV -9.18%E -8.27%K -83.44%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 6.71%EV -20.32%E -1.53%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.17%EV -17.88%E -2.65%K -3.11%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-21 14:23
Ladbrokes (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.89%EV -4.27%E -3.65%K -25.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -21.82%E -1.68%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -2.68%E -0.334%K -0.382%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 20:05
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -4.27%E -3.65%K -25.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -21.82%E -1.68%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -14.84%E -2.12%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 09:25
Neds1.16I 86.21%NM 80.48%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.80%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV -24.83%E -1.99%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.05%EV -5.72%E -0.738%K -0.847%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 80.48%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.80%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.47%EV -24.83%E -1.99%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.05%EV -5.72%E -0.738%K -0.847%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 20:05
Winamax (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 80.89%EV -7.54%E -6.67%K -58.02%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.31%EV -24.83%E -1.99%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.79%EV -5.72%E -0.738%K -0.847%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 13:55
Winamax (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 79.88%EV -8.36%E -7.46%K -69.67%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.78%EV -30.85%E -2.68%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.34%EV -11.80%E -1.63%K -1.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 13:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27%0.9%2026-02-22 03:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27%0.9%2026-02-22 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27%0.9%2026-02-22 03:05
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.27%0.9%2026-02-22 03:05
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 83.80%21.01I 4.76%NM 4.71%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.50%1.1%2026-02-22 03:30