Sheffield United v Birmingham City

2026-08-15 16:30 — Championship

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (10 in analysis)

Option 1: Sheffield United (Local)

Odds

2.2045.45%Min

2.4241.29%Mean

2.4041.67%Median

2.5539.22%Max

Consensus probabilities

36.56%2.735Min

38.32%2.610Max

37.63%2.658Mean

37.66%2.655Median

37.68%2.654IQM

37.63%2.658Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.55 under the IQM model: 37.68%

EV -3.92%Edge -1.54%Kelly -2.53%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Birmingham City (Visit)

Odds

2.5040.00%Min

2.7436.53%Mean

2.7536.36%Median

2.8535.09%Max

Consensus probabilities

32.81%3.047Min

34.88%2.867Max

33.39%2.995Mean

33.38%2.996Median

33.36%2.998IQM

33.41%2.993Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.85 under the IQM model: 33.36%

EV -4.93%Edge -1.73%Kelly -2.67%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.0033.33%Min

3.1531.75%Mean

3.1631.65%Median

3.4029.41%Max

Consensus probabilities

27.71%3.609Min

29.65%3.372Max

28.98%3.451Mean

28.96%3.453Median

28.97%3.452IQM

28.96%3.453Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.40 under the IQM model: 28.97%

EV -1.52%Edge -0.446%Kelly -0.632%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Sheffield United (Local) ▼	Birmingham City (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
SportsBet	2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -3.92% E -1.54% K -2.53% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 34.34%EV -8.27% E -3.01% K -4.73% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 28.62%EV -4.41% E -1.34% K -1.92% G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-25 21:10
FanDuel	2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -3.92% E -1.54% K -2.53% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 34.34%EV -8.27% E -3.01% K -4.73% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 28.62%EV -4.41% E -1.34% K -1.92% G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-25 21:10
Pinnacle	2.52I 39.68% NM 37.50%EV -5.05% E -2.00% K -3.32% G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09% NM 33.16%EV -4.93% E -1.73% K -2.67% G +0.000%	3.22I 31.06% NM 29.35%EV -6.73% E -2.09% K -3.03% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-01 06:39
Codere (IT)	2.50I 40.00% NM 38.12%EV -5.80% E -2.32% K -3.87% G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09% NM 33.44%EV -4.93% E -1.73% K -2.67% G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85% NM 28.45%EV -2.97% E -0.885% K -1.26% G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-26 22:09
Betr (AU)	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.82%EV -5.80% E -2.32% K -3.87% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 34.38%EV -8.27% E -3.01% K -4.73% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.81%EV -1.52% E -0.446% K -0.632% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-30 02:59
betfred_uk	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.82%EV -5.80% E -2.32% K -3.87% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 34.38%EV -8.27% E -3.01% K -4.73% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.81%EV -1.52% E -0.446% K -0.632% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-25 21:10
DraftKings	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.40%EV -5.80% E -2.32% K -3.87% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 33.39%EV -6.60% E -2.36% K -3.67% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 29.22%EV -7.31% E -2.28% K -3.32% G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-29 00:19
Sky Bet	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.10%EV -5.80% E -2.32% K -3.87% G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04% NM 34.36%EV -9.94% E -3.68% K -5.85% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.54%EV -5.86% E -1.80% K -2.61% G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-25 21:10
Paddy Power	2.50I 40.00% NM 36.56%EV -5.80% E -2.32% K -3.87% G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17% NM 34.88%EV -12.61% E -4.81% K -7.78% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.56%EV -7.31% E -2.28% K -3.32% G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-06-25 21:09
1xBet	2.48I 40.32% NM 37.58%EV -6.56% E -2.64% K -4.43% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 33.29%EV -6.60% E -2.36% K -3.67% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 29.13%EV -7.31% E -2.28% K -3.32% G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-02 17:15
Marathon Bet	2.48I 40.32% NM 37.58%EV -6.56% E -2.64% K -4.43% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 33.29%EV -6.60% E -2.36% K -3.67% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 29.13%EV -7.31% E -2.28% K -3.32% G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-02 17:09
Tipico (DE)	2.45I 40.82% NM 37.52%EV -7.69% E -3.14% K -5.30% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 32.83%EV -6.60% E -2.36% K -3.67% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 29.65%EV -10.21% E -3.29% K -4.86% G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-06-30 00:19
Unibet (UK)	2.40I 41.67% NM 38.13%EV -9.57% E -3.99% K -6.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.28%EV -8.27% E -3.01% K -4.73% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.60%EV -7.31% E -2.28% K -3.32% G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-06-26 00:40
William Hill	2.40I 41.67% NM 38.13%EV -9.57% E -3.99% K -6.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.28%EV -8.27% E -3.01% K -4.73% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.60%EV -7.31% E -2.28% K -3.32% G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-06-26 10:29
888sport	2.40I 41.67% NM 38.13%EV -9.57% E -3.99% K -6.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.28%EV -8.27% E -3.01% K -4.73% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.60%EV -7.31% E -2.28% K -3.32% G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-06-26 12:09
888sport (SE)	2.40I 41.67% NM 38.13%EV -9.57% E -3.99% K -6.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.28%EV -8.27% E -3.01% K -4.73% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.60%EV -7.31% E -2.28% K -3.32% G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-06-26 12:09
Mr Green (SE)	2.40I 41.67% NM 38.13%EV -9.57% E -3.99% K -6.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.28%EV -8.27% E -3.01% K -4.73% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.60%EV -7.31% E -2.28% K -3.32% G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-06-26 12:19
LeoVegas	2.40I 41.67% NM 38.13%EV -9.57% E -3.99% K -6.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 33.28%EV -8.27% E -3.01% K -4.73% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.60%EV -7.31% E -2.28% K -3.32% G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-07-03 10:34
Bally Bet	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.60%EV -9.57% E -3.99% K -6.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.81%EV -8.27% E -3.01% K -4.73% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.59%EV -11.66% E -3.82% K -5.69% G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 05:59
betPARX	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.60%EV -9.57% E -3.99% K -6.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.81%EV -8.27% E -3.01% K -4.73% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.59%EV -11.66% E -3.82% K -5.69% G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 05:59
Virgin Bet	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.60%EV -9.57% E -3.99% K -6.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.81%EV -8.27% E -3.01% K -4.73% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.59%EV -11.66% E -3.82% K -5.69% G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 06:19
Grosvenor	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.60%EV -9.57% E -3.99% K -6.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.81%EV -8.27% E -3.01% K -4.73% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.59%EV -11.66% E -3.82% K -5.69% G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 06:19
LeoVegas (SE)	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.60%EV -9.57% E -3.99% K -6.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.81%EV -8.27% E -3.01% K -4.73% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.59%EV -11.66% E -3.82% K -5.69% G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 06:19
LiveScore Bet	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.60%EV -9.57% E -3.99% K -6.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.81%EV -8.27% E -3.01% K -4.73% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.59%EV -11.66% E -3.82% K -5.69% G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.60%EV -9.57% E -3.99% K -6.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.81%EV -8.27% E -3.01% K -4.73% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.59%EV -11.66% E -3.82% K -5.69% G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (SE)	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.60%EV -9.57% E -3.99% K -6.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.81%EV -8.27% E -3.01% K -4.73% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.59%EV -11.66% E -3.82% K -5.69% G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.60%EV -9.57% E -3.99% K -6.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.81%EV -8.27% E -3.01% K -4.73% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.59%EV -11.66% E -3.82% K -5.69% G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 06:19
Svenska Spel	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.60%EV -9.57% E -3.99% K -6.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.81%EV -8.27% E -3.01% K -4.73% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.59%EV -11.66% E -3.82% K -5.69% G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 06:19
ATG (SE)	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.60%EV -9.57% E -3.99% K -6.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.81%EV -8.27% E -3.01% K -4.73% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.59%EV -11.66% E -3.82% K -5.69% G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.60%EV -9.57% E -3.99% K -6.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.81%EV -8.27% E -3.01% K -4.73% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.59%EV -11.66% E -3.82% K -5.69% G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 06:30
Unibet	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.60%EV -9.57% E -3.99% K -6.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.81%EV -8.27% E -3.01% K -4.73% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.59%EV -11.66% E -3.82% K -5.69% G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 06:49
BetRivers	2.40I 41.67% NM 37.60%EV -9.57% E -3.99% K -6.84% G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36% NM 32.81%EV -8.27% E -3.01% K -4.73% G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79% NM 29.59%EV -11.66% E -3.82% K -5.69% G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-06-30 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.40I 41.67% NM 35.97%EV -9.57% E -3.99% K -6.84% G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46% NM 33.20%EV -13.27% E -5.11% K -8.30% G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71% NM 30.83%EV -18.90% E -6.75% K -10.50% G +0.000%	15.8%	2026-06-25 21:19
ReBet	2.39I 41.84% NM 38.00%EV -9.95% E -4.16% K -7.16% G +0.000%	2.73I 36.63% NM 33.26%EV -8.94% E -3.27% K -5.17% G +0.000%	3.16I 31.65% NM 28.74%EV -8.47% E -2.68% K -3.92% G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-06-25 21:10
BoyleSports	2.38I 42.02% NM 37.27%EV -10.33% E -4.34% K -7.48% G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46% NM 34.12%EV -13.27% E -5.11% K -8.30% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 28.61%EV -10.21% E -3.29% K -4.86% G +0.000%	12.7%	2026-06-26 13:49
Winamax (DE)	2.35I 42.55% NM 38.32%EV -11.46% E -4.87% K -8.49% G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74% NM 33.98%EV -11.61% E -4.38% K -7.03% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 27.71%EV -5.86% E -1.80% K -2.61% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-06-25 21:09
Unibet (FR)	2.25I 44.44% NM 38.24%EV -15.22% E -6.77% K -12.18% G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46% NM 33.09%EV -13.27% E -5.11% K -8.30% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 28.68%EV -13.10% E -4.37% K -6.55% G +0.000%	16.2%	2026-06-25 21:10
Betclic (FR)	2.20I 45.45% NM 38.51%EV -17.11% E -7.78% K -14.26% G +0.000%	2.57I 38.91% NM 32.97%EV -14.27% E -5.55% K -9.09% G +0.000%	2.97I 33.67% NM 28.53%EV -13.97% E -4.70% K -7.09% G +0.000%	18.0%	2026-06-25 21:08
Winamax (FR)	2.20I 45.45% NM 38.27%EV -17.11% E -7.78% K -14.26% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 33.67%EV -16.61% E -6.64% K -11.07% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 28.06%EV -13.10% E -4.37% K -6.55% G +0.000%	18.8%	2026-06-25 21:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Sheffield United (Local)	Birmingham City (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)	2.52I 39.68%	2.86I 34.97%	2.90I 34.48%	9.1%	2026-07-05 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)	2.52I 39.68%	2.86I 34.97%	2.90I 34.48%	9.1%	2026-07-05 10:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.52I 39.68%	2.50I 40.00%	2.90I 34.48%	14.2%	2026-07-05 10:10
Smarkets	2.28I 43.86%	2.58I 38.76%	2.98I 33.56%	16.2%	2026-06-25 21:10