La escuela de los momios

Sheffield United v Birmingham City

2026-08-15 16:30 UTC — Championship

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sheffield United (Local)

Predicción 37.81%2.64momio equitativo
EV -3.59%
Ventaja -1.41%
Kelly -2.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.68%37.86%37.74%39.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.422.402.5545.45%41.30%41.67%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Birmingham City (Visitante)

Predicción 33.18%3.01momio equitativo
EV -3.79%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -1.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.54%33.15%33.16%33.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.772.802.9040.00%36.06%35.71%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.01%3.45momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -0.397%
Kelly -0.562%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.68%28.99%29.10%30.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.163.183.4033.90%31.62%31.45%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 37.49%EV -3.59%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.54%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-21 19:17
Pinnacle2.54I 39.37%NM 37.50%EV -3.97%E -1.56%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.19%EV -4.78%E -1.67%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 16:49
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.72%EV -4.72%E -1.87%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.12%EV -4.78%E -1.67%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.16%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 12:00
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.72%EV -4.72%E -1.87%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.12%EV -4.78%E -1.67%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.16%EV -5.41%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 12:00
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.44%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -2.80%E -0.836%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 22:09
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -3.79%E -1.31%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-19 05:55
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 19:20
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-21 19:19
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-21 19:20
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-06 11:15
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-21 19:20
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 17:35
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 17:34
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 17:35
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -5.48%E -2.19%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 17:35
1xBet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.47%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.20%EV -6.77%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.34%EV -7.73%E -2.43%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 17:14
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.47%EV -5.86%E -2.35%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.20%EV -6.77%E -2.41%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.34%EV -7.73%E -2.43%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 17:05
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -7.37%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -3.79%E -1.31%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -1.35%E -0.397%K -0.562%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-14 18:59
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.37%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 19:10
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.37%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.42%E -3.86%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-21 19:20
betano_uk2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.37%E -3.01%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -10.42%E -3.86%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-21 19:20
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -3.79%E -1.31%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -1.35%E -0.397%K -0.562%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 12:29
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -4.45%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -1.35%E -0.397%K -0.562%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 12:30
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -1.35%E -0.397%K -0.562%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 05:59
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -1.35%E -0.397%K -0.562%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 12:29
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.45%E -1.91%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -1.35%E -0.397%K -0.562%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 06:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -4.45%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 12:29
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-10 12:29
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.76%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-26 00:40
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.76%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 00:20
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.76%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.15%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-24 18:35
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.76%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-22 10:54
Bally Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.76%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -11.50%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 05:59
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.76%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -11.50%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 05:59
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.76%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -11.50%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:19
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.76%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -11.50%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.76%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -11.50%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:19
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.76%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -11.50%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.76%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -11.50%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.76%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -11.50%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.76%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -11.50%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:19
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.76%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -11.50%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:19
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.76%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -11.50%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.76%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -11.50%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:30
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.76%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -11.50%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 06:49
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.76%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -11.50%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-30 14:40
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -9.26%E -3.86%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.76%E -3.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -11.50%E -3.77%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-16 18:25
ReBet2.39I 41.84%NM 38.00%EV -9.64%E -4.03%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 33.26%EV -9.43%E -3.45%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 28.74%EV -8.31%E -2.63%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-25 21:10
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -11.15%E -4.75%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -12.08%E -4.56%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -5.70%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-25 21:09
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.10%E -2.54%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -4.25%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-10 12:28
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -13.04%E -5.67%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -13.08%E -4.99%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -10.05%E -3.24%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-08 09:00
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.24%EV -14.93%E -6.64%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.09%EV -13.74%E -5.28%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%16.2%2026-06-25 21:10
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 38.22%EV -16.07%E -7.24%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.02%EV -14.74%E -5.73%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.76%EV -14.41%E -4.88%K -7.39%G +0.000%17.9%2026-07-22 13:34
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.51%EV -16.82%E -7.65%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 32.97%EV -14.74%E -5.73%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 28.53%EV -13.83%E -4.66%K -7.02%G +0.000%18.0%2026-06-25 21:08
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.27%EV -16.82%E -7.65%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.67%EV -17.06%E -6.82%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -12.96%E -4.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%18.8%2026-06-25 21:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 37.61%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%3.8%2026-07-25 22:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 37.61%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%3.8%2026-07-25 22:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 37.61%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%3.8%2026-07-25 22:29
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 37.54%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.11%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.34%4.9%2026-07-25 22:55