A Escola das Odds

Queens Park Rangers v Watford

Início: 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Queens Park Rangers (Local)

Previsão 37.41%2.67odd justa
EV +0.996%
Vantagem +0.369%
Kelly +0.586%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.15%37.31%37.40%38.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.352.542.502.7042.55%39.43%40.00%37.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Watford (Visitante)

Previsão 33.99%2.94odd justa
EV -1.43%
Vantagem -0.492%
Kelly -0.751%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.08%34.12%33.90%36.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.712.702.9040.00%36.96%37.04%34.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.60%3.50odd justa
EV -2.75%
Vantagem -0.808%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.27%28.57%28.70%29.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.263.253.4034.72%30.66%30.77%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.64%EV +0.996%E +0.369%K +0.586%G +0.006%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.64%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 13:35
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.64%EV +0.996%E +0.369%K +0.586%G +0.006%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.64%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 13:35
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.64%EV +0.996%E +0.369%K +0.586%G +0.006%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.64%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 13:35
1xBet2.69I 37.17%NM 36.03%EV +0.621%E +0.231%K +0.368%G +0.002%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -6.87%E -2.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.59%EV -3.03%E -0.895%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-03 13:55
Bally Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -0.875%E -0.330%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:35
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -0.875%E -0.330%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:35
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -0.875%E -0.330%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:34
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -0.875%E -0.330%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:35
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -0.875%E -0.330%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:35
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -0.875%E -0.330%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:35
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -0.875%E -0.330%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:35
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -0.875%E -0.330%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:35
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -0.875%E -0.330%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:35
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 37.06%EV -2.00%E -0.762%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.79%E -0.974%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.99%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-03 13:54
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 37.06%EV -2.00%E -0.762%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.79%E -0.974%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.99%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-03 13:55
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 13:34
Caesars2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -9.92%E -3.75%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:28
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -13.32%E -5.23%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:35
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -13.32%E -5.23%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:35
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -13.32%E -5.23%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:35
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -13.32%E -5.23%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 13:35
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 37.81%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.38%EV -1.43%E -0.492%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.81%EV -3.89%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-03 13:55
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.69%EV -3.13%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 13:50
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 13:50
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 13:55
GTbets2.54I 39.37%NM 37.04%EV -4.99%E -1.96%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.09%EV -6.19%E -2.24%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.86%EV -6.75%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 13:45
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.72%EV -5.74%E -2.28%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.12%EV -2.45%E -0.853%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.16%EV -6.75%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 13:49
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.72%EV -5.74%E -2.28%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.12%EV -2.45%E -0.853%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.16%EV -6.75%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 13:50
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 13:55
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 13:55
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:50
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 13:35
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Marathon Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.31%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.55%EV -5.51%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:54
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:54
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:49
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:49
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -9.92%E -3.75%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 13:49
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 13:50
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 13:49
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 13:50
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 13:35
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 13:35
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 13:35
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 13:30
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 13:55
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 13:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 13:54
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 13:55
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.46%EV -6.19%E -2.24%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:55
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 13:49
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.92%E -3.75%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:40
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.23%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.55%EV -9.04%E -2.84%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 13:50
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -10.23%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -10.94%E -4.18%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-03 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -10.23%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -17.62%E -6.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-03 06:10
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -12.10%E -5.15%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 13:55
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -12.10%E -5.15%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.26%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-03 13:49
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.07%EV -12.10%E -5.15%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.90%EV -12.64%E -4.92%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.04%EV -14.19%E -4.73%K -7.09%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-03 13:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 38.03%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07%0.4%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.95%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01%0.6%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.95%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01%0.6%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.95%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01%0.6%2026-04-03 13:55
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-04-03 13:35
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.08%1.8%2026-04-03 13:55