L’École des cotes

Queens Park Rangers v Watford

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Queens Park Rangers (Local)

Prévision 37.41%2.67cote équitable
EV +0.996%
Avantage +0.369%
Kelly +0.586%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.15%37.31%37.40%38.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.542.502.7042.55%39.43%40.00%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Watford (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.99%2.94cote équitable
EV -1.43%
Avantage -0.492%
Kelly -0.751%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.08%34.12%33.90%36.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.712.702.9040.00%36.96%37.04%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.60%3.50cote équitable
EV -2.75%
Avantage -0.808%
Kelly -1.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.27%28.57%28.70%29.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.263.253.4034.72%30.66%30.77%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.64%EV +0.996%E +0.369%K +0.586%G +0.006%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.64%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 13:35
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.64%EV +0.996%E +0.369%K +0.586%G +0.006%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.64%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 13:35
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.64%EV +0.996%E +0.369%K +0.586%G +0.006%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.64%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 13:35
1xBet2.69I 37.17%NM 36.03%EV +0.621%E +0.231%K +0.368%G +0.002%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -6.87%E -2.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.59%EV -3.03%E -0.895%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-03 13:55
Bally Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -0.875%E -0.330%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:35
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -0.875%E -0.330%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:35
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -0.875%E -0.330%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:34
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -0.875%E -0.330%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:35
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -0.875%E -0.330%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:35
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -0.875%E -0.330%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:35
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -0.875%E -0.330%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:35
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -0.875%E -0.330%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:35
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -0.875%E -0.330%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:35
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 37.06%EV -2.00%E -0.762%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.79%E -0.974%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.99%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-03 13:54
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 37.06%EV -2.00%E -0.762%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.79%E -0.974%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.99%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-03 13:55
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 13:34
Caesars2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -9.92%E -3.75%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:28
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -13.32%E -5.23%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:35
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -13.32%E -5.23%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:35
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -13.32%E -5.23%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:35
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -13.32%E -5.23%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 13:35
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 37.81%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.38%EV -1.43%E -0.492%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.81%EV -3.89%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-03 13:55
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.69%EV -3.13%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 13:50
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 13:50
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 13:55
GTbets2.54I 39.37%NM 37.04%EV -4.99%E -1.96%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.09%EV -6.19%E -2.24%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.86%EV -6.75%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 13:45
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.72%EV -5.74%E -2.28%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.12%EV -2.45%E -0.853%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.16%EV -6.75%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 13:49
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.72%EV -5.74%E -2.28%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.12%EV -2.45%E -0.853%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.16%EV -6.75%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 13:50
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 13:55
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 13:55
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:50
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 13:35
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Marathon Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.31%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.55%EV -5.51%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:54
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:54
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:49
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:49
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -9.92%E -3.75%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 13:49
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 13:50
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 13:49
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 13:50
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 13:35
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 13:35
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 13:35
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 13:30
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 13:55
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 13:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 13:54
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 13:55
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.46%EV -6.19%E -2.24%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:55
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 13:49
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.92%E -3.75%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:40
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.23%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.55%EV -9.04%E -2.84%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 13:50
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -10.23%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -10.94%E -4.18%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-03 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -10.23%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -17.62%E -6.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-03 06:10
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -12.10%E -5.15%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 13:55
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -12.10%E -5.15%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.26%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-03 13:49
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.07%EV -12.10%E -5.15%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.90%EV -12.64%E -4.92%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.04%EV -14.19%E -4.73%K -7.09%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-03 13:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 38.03%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07%0.4%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.95%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01%0.6%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.95%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01%0.6%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.95%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01%0.6%2026-04-03 13:55
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-04-03 13:35
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.08%1.8%2026-04-03 13:55