La escuela de los momios

Queens Park Rangers v Watford

Inicio: 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Queens Park Rangers (Local)

Predicción 37.41%2.67momio equitativo
EV +0.996%
Ventaja +0.369%
Kelly +0.586%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.15%37.31%37.40%38.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.542.502.7042.55%39.43%40.00%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Watford (Visitante)

Predicción 33.99%2.94momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.492%
Kelly -0.751%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.08%34.12%33.90%36.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.712.702.9040.00%36.96%37.04%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.60%3.50momio equitativo
EV -2.75%
Ventaja -0.808%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.27%28.57%28.70%29.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.263.253.4034.72%30.66%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.64%EV +0.996%E +0.369%K +0.586%G +0.006%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.64%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 13:35
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.64%EV +0.996%E +0.369%K +0.586%G +0.006%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.64%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 13:35
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.64%EV +0.996%E +0.369%K +0.586%G +0.006%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.64%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 13:35
1xBet2.69I 37.17%NM 36.03%EV +0.621%E +0.231%K +0.368%G +0.002%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -6.87%E -2.51%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.59%EV -3.03%E -0.895%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-03 13:55
Bally Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -0.875%E -0.330%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:35
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -0.875%E -0.330%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:35
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -0.875%E -0.330%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:34
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -0.875%E -0.330%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:35
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -0.875%E -0.330%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:35
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -0.875%E -0.330%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:35
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -0.875%E -0.330%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -10.60%E -4.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:35
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -0.875%E -0.330%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:35
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -0.875%E -0.330%K -0.530%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:35
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 37.06%EV -2.00%E -0.762%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.79%E -0.974%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.99%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-03 13:54
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 37.06%EV -2.00%E -0.762%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.79%E -0.974%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.99%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-03 13:55
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.59%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 13:34
Caesars2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -9.92%E -3.75%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 13:28
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -13.32%E -5.23%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:35
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -13.32%E -5.23%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:35
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -13.32%E -5.23%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:35
PMU (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.15%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.84%EV -13.32%E -5.23%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 13:35
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 37.81%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.38%EV -1.43%E -0.492%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.81%EV -3.89%E -1.16%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-03 13:55
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.69%EV -3.13%E -1.10%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 13:50
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.63%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.01%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 13:50
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.27%EV -4.62%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.94%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 13:55
GTbets2.54I 39.37%NM 37.04%EV -4.99%E -1.96%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.09%EV -6.19%E -2.24%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.86%EV -6.75%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 13:45
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.72%EV -5.74%E -2.28%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.12%EV -2.45%E -0.853%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.16%EV -6.75%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 13:49
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.72%EV -5.74%E -2.28%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.12%EV -2.45%E -0.853%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.16%EV -6.75%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 13:50
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 13:55
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 13:55
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 13:50
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 13:35
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 13:55
Marathon Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.31%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.55%EV -5.51%E -1.98%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:54
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:54
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:49
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -9.90%E -3.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:49
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -9.92%E -3.75%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -4.18%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 13:49
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 13:50
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 13:49
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 13:50
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 13:35
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 13:35
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 13:35
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.49%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.33%E -3.65%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 13:30
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 13:55
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.83%E -1.72%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 13:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 13:54
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -2.75%E -0.808%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 13:55
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.46%EV -6.19%E -2.24%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:55
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.53%E -2.37%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-03 13:49
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.36%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -9.92%E -3.75%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.61%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:40
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.23%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.55%EV -9.04%E -2.84%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 13:50
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -10.23%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -10.94%E -4.18%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.04%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-03 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -10.23%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -15.02%E -6.01%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -17.62%E -6.12%K -9.37%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-03 06:10
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -12.10%E -5.15%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -8.23%E -3.05%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-03 13:55
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -12.10%E -5.15%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.26%EV -11.62%E -4.47%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -8.47%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-03 13:49
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.07%EV -12.10%E -5.15%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.90%EV -12.64%E -4.92%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.04%EV -14.19%E -4.73%K -7.09%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-03 13:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 38.03%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.89%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.07%0.4%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.95%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01%0.6%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.95%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01%0.6%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.95%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.05%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.01%0.6%2026-04-03 13:55
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.67%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%1.0%2026-04-03 13:35
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 37.80%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.08%1.8%2026-04-03 13:55