The School of Odds
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Queens Park Rangers v Derby County

Kickoff: 2026-10-14 18:45 UTC

Final: Queens Park Rangers 4–1 Derby County

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Queens Park Rangers (Local)

Prediction 52.61%1.90fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -4.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.39%52.72%52.55%56.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.751.781.8361.73%57.04%56.18%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Derby County (Visit)

Prediction 21.91%4.56fair odd
EV +9.55%
Edge +1.91%
Kelly +2.39%
Growth +0.228%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.33%21.83%22.06%23.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.394.375.0025.64%22.78%22.88%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.48%3.93fair odd
EV +1.91%
Edge +0.476%
Kelly +0.635%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.87%25.45%25.39%26.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.683.704.0028.99%27.17%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Queens Park Rangers (Local): 52.61%; Derby County (Visit): 21.91%; Draw: 25.48%. For Derby County (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.56. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.20%EV -9.50%E -5.53%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33%EV +9.55%E +1.91%K +2.39%G +0.228%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +0.632%E +0.160%K +0.214%G +0.001%3.5%2026-10-13 23:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.20%EV -9.50%E -5.53%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33%EV +9.55%E +1.91%K +2.39%G +0.228%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +0.632%E +0.160%K +0.214%G +0.001%3.5%2026-10-13 23:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.20%EV -9.50%E -5.53%K -13.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33%EV +9.55%E +1.91%K +2.39%G +0.228%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +0.632%E +0.160%K +0.214%G +0.001%3.5%2026-10-13 23:34
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -12.13%E -7.27%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +4.07%E +0.857%K +1.09%G +0.044%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.19%E -0.839%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-13 23:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -12.13%E -7.27%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +4.07%E +0.857%K +1.09%G +0.044%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.19%E -0.839%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-13 23:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -12.13%E -7.27%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +4.07%E +0.857%K +1.09%G +0.044%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.19%E -0.839%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-13 23:35
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -12.13%E -7.27%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +4.07%E +0.857%K +1.09%G +0.044%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.19%E -0.839%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-13 23:34
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -12.13%E -7.27%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +4.07%E +0.857%K +1.09%G +0.044%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.19%E -0.839%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-13 23:35
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -12.13%E -7.27%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +4.07%E +0.857%K +1.09%G +0.044%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.19%E -0.839%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-13 23:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -12.13%E -7.27%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV +4.07%E +0.857%K +1.09%G +0.044%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-13 23:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -11.61%E -6.91%K -17.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV +2.97%E +0.633%K +0.804%G +0.024%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 17:53
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.54%EV -12.13%E -7.27%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV +2.97%E +0.633%K +0.804%G +0.024%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 23:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -12.13%E -7.27%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV +0.783%E +0.170%K +0.217%G +0.002%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-14 17:54
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -13.19%E -7.99%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV +0.783%E +0.170%K +0.217%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -7.01%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-14 17:55
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -13.19%E -7.99%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV +0.783%E +0.170%K +0.217%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -7.01%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-14 17:55
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.19%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.28%EV -1.41%E -0.313%K -0.402%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-14 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -6.35%E -3.57%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -1.41%E -0.313%K -0.402%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 17:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -6.35%E -3.57%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -1.41%E -0.313%K -0.402%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 17:44
BetUS🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -6.35%E -3.57%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -1.41%E -0.313%K -0.402%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 17:44
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -6.35%E -3.57%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -1.41%E -0.313%K -0.402%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 17:55
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.41%E -0.313%K -0.402%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-14 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.41%E -0.313%K -0.402%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-14 18:14
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.10%EV -6.35%E -3.57%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -1.41%E -0.313%K -0.402%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -7.01%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-14 17:55
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.45%E -4.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -1.41%E -0.313%K -0.402%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 18:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.56%E -6.21%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -1.41%E -0.313%K -0.402%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-14 17:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -14.76%E -9.11%K -23.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -1.41%E -0.313%K -0.402%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-13 23:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -8.98%E -5.19%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -2.50%E -0.563%K -0.726%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.74%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-14 17:55
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.92%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.19%EV -3.16%E -0.715%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -5.74%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-14 17:55
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.84%EV -7.92%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.37%EV -3.38%E -0.766%K -0.991%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.19%E -0.839%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-14 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -6.35%E -3.57%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.45%EV -3.60%E -0.818%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.74%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-14 17:55
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -7.92%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -3.60%E -0.818%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.74%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-14 18:19
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.92%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -3.60%E -0.818%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-14 18:15
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.76%EV -3.72%E -2.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.09%EV -4.26%E -0.974%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.14%EV -2.17%E -0.565%K -0.764%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-14 18:30
picklebet_au🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.13%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-14 17:45
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -6.87%E -3.88%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -5.13%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-14 17:55
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.43%EV -3.72%E -2.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.31%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.25%EV -3.19%E -0.839%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-14 18:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.93%EV -6.87%E -3.88%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV +1.91%E +0.476%K +0.635%G +0.012%4.8%2026-10-14 18:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.08%EV -3.72%E -2.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.16%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -5.74%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-14 17:55
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.85%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -5.79%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -3.19%E -0.839%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-14 18:19
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.68%EV -3.72%E -2.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.20%EV -6.67%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -7.78%E -2.15%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-14 18:29
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -4.24%E -2.33%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -6.89%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-14 18:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.89%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-14 18:30
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -6.89%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-14 18:29
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.62%EV -3.72%E -2.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -7.01%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-14 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-14 17:55
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-14 17:55
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.46%EV -6.87%E -3.88%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -7.01%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-14 18:29
ReBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.80%EV -5.82%E -3.25%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -9.56%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-14 17:55
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-14 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-14 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-14 18:29
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -10.83%E -3.10%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-14 18:28
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.92%E -4.53%K -10.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.98%E -1.90%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-14 18:08
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -3.72%E -2.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-14 18:29
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -6.35%E -3.57%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -5.74%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-14 17:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -6.35%E -3.57%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -5.74%E -1.55%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-14 17:44
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-14 18:28
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-14 18:28
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.39%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -9.56%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-14 18:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.17%EV -13.19%E -7.99%K -20.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -10.17%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -12.11%E -3.51%K -4.94%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-14 18:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.00%EV -9.50%E -5.53%K -13.20%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.08%EV -11.27%E -2.78%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.92%EV -12.11%E -3.51%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-14 18:20
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.29%E -2.94%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-14 18:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.84%EV -7.40%E -4.20%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.28%E -2.30%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-14 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.04%EV -13.71%E -8.36%K -21.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -12.36%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.21%EV -12.11%E -3.51%K -4.94%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-14 18:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.65%EV -8.45%E -4.86%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.04%EV -14.55%E -3.73%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -9.56%E -2.69%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-14 17:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 54.02%4.76I 21.01%NM 21.00%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98%0.1%2026-10-14 18:00
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.27%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.19%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%0.4%2026-10-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-10-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-10-14 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.13%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-10-14 18:30
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.36%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.00%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-10-14 18:30