Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Queens Park Rangers v Derby County

2026-10-14 18:45 UTC — Championship

Testa a testa

49 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Queens Park Rangers (Casa)

Previsione 53.17%1.88quota equa
EV -2.70%
Vantaggio -1.48%
Kelly -3.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.95%53.18%53.16%55.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.751.751.8362.50%57.09%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Derby County (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.67%4.61quota equa
EV +0.339%
Vantaggio +0.073%
Kelly +0.094%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.56%21.64%21.72%22.98%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.854.244.204.6325.97%23.59%23.81%21.60%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.16%3.97quota equa
EV -1.87%
Vantaggio -0.480%
Kelly -0.645%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.35%25.18%25.12%26.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.453.673.653.9028.99%27.23%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Queens Park Rangers (Casa): 53.17%; Derby County (Trasferta): 21.67%; Pareggio: 25.16%. Per Derby County (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.61. 2 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 4.63, con un valore atteso positivo del +0.339%.

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.03%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.56%EV +0.339%E +0.073%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -1.87%E -0.480%K -0.645%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.03%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.56%EV +0.339%E +0.073%K +0.094%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -1.87%E -0.480%K -0.645%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 16:50
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.89%E -3.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -2.48%E -0.551%K -0.708%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.39%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-10 20:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.48%E -0.551%K -0.708%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 20:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -2.48%E -0.551%K -0.708%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 16:00
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.92%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.25%EV -3.78%E -0.851%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.39%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 14:35
NordicBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.31%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.47%EV -4.43%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.23%EV -9.17%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.70%EV -2.70%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -4.65%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -4.39%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-10 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.70%EV -2.70%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -4.65%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -4.39%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-10 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.70%EV -2.70%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -4.65%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.38%EV -4.39%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-10 15:00
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.65%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 20:10
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.06%EV -4.83%E -2.70%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.88%EV -5.95%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.06%EV -4.64%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-10 20:20
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.33%EV -6.16%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -8.16%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 20:09
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.12%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -6.81%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -4.39%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 20:09
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.26%EV -5.89%E -3.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.81%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -4.39%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 20:20
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.12%EV -9.08%E -5.31%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -6.81%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -4.39%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 20:10
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.47%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 21.91%EV -7.46%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.39%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 15:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -5.89%E -3.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.90%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:00
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 20:10
Bet Right🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.39%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 20:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.39%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-10 20:10
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.39%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 20:09
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.16%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.16%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.16%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 15:00
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.16%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 15:01
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.16%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 15:01
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.16%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 15:01
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 20:19
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -5.89%E -3.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 14:00
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 20:09
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 20:09
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-10 20:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-10 20:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-10 20:10
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-10 20:05
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.04%EV -10.15%E -6.00%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-10 16:00
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -11.15%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -8.16%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 20:10
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.95%EV -6.43%E -3.65%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -11.15%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -10.68%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 14:55
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.95%EV -6.43%E -3.65%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -11.15%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -10.68%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -7.49%E -4.30%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -11.15%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -10.68%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-10 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.04%EV -7.49%E -4.30%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV -11.15%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -11.94%E -3.41%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.65%EV -10.68%E -6.36%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -11.15%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -6.90%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-10 16:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.40%EV -12.81%E -7.81%K -20.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.36%EV -11.15%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.24%EV -12.69%E -3.66%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-10 16:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.94%EV -14.93%E -9.33%K -24.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.05%EV -11.15%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.01%EV -13.19%E -3.82%K -5.39%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-10 18:50
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -13.31%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -5.65%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-10 20:40
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -6.96%E -3.98%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -13.31%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.42%E -2.62%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-10 20:49
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 52.74%EV -12.27%E -7.44%K -18.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.03%EV -14.40%E -3.64%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.22%EV -13.19%E -3.82%K -5.39%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-10 20:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 52.90%EV -13.87%E -8.56%K -22.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.26%EV -16.56%E -4.30%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.84%EV -13.19%E -3.82%K -5.39%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-10 16:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-10-10 20:10
Matchbook◎1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%8.6%2026-10-10 19:25
Smarkets◎1.67I 59.88%NM 52.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.54%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.59%13.3%2026-10-10 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 43.09%1.25I 80.00%NM 43.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 13.81%85.6%2026-10-10 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 43.09%1.25I 80.00%NM 43.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 13.81%85.6%2026-10-10 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.25I 80.00%NM 43.09%1.25I 80.00%NM 43.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 13.81%85.6%2026-10-10 19:25