The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Preston North End v Southampton

2026-11-07 15:00 UTC — Championship

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Preston North End (Local)

Prediction 18.30%5.47fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -0.572%
Kelly -0.706%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.50%18.35%18.16%19.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.955.005.3023.26%20.19%20.00%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Southampton (Visit)

Prediction 60.33%1.66fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.642%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.68%60.11%60.44%61.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.561.561.6470.42%64.27%64.10%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.37%4.68fair odd
EV -3.83%
Edge -0.851%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.84%21.55%21.40%23.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.234.224.5025.64%23.66%23.67%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Preston North End (Local): 18.30%; Southampton (Visit): 60.33%; Draw: 21.37%. For Southampton (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.66. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.64, with an expected value of -1.05%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV -3.03%E -0.572%K -0.706%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.94%EV -5.88%E -3.77%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -3.83%E -0.851%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-31 18:40
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.50%EV -3.03%E -0.572%K -0.706%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.42%EV -8.90%E -5.89%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -5.97%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 18:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -3.95%E -0.752%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%EV -5.28%E -3.36%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.83%E -0.851%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-31 18:45
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -3.95%E -0.752%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -5.88%E -3.77%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -3.83%E -0.851%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 18:40
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -3.95%E -0.752%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -5.28%E -3.36%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -5.97%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -3.95%E -0.752%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -5.28%E -3.36%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -5.97%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 18:40
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -3.95%E -0.752%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -5.28%E -3.36%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -5.97%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 18:14
BetMGM🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -3.95%E -0.752%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -5.28%E -3.36%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -5.97%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 18:14
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -3.95%E -0.752%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -5.88%E -3.77%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -5.97%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -3.95%E -0.752%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.70%EV -6.48%E -4.18%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -5.97%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -3.95%E -0.752%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -8.29%E -5.46%K -15.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.97%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 18:20
Neds🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -4.86%E -0.935%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.48%E -4.18%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -9.17%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -4.86%E -0.935%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.48%E -4.18%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -9.17%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 18:40
1xBet🎯5.16I 19.38%NM 18.10%EV -5.60%E -1.08%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.66%EV -7.09%E -4.60%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -5.97%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.98%EV -6.69%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.02%EV -1.05%E -0.642%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%EV -5.97%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-31 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.98%EV -6.69%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.02%EV -1.05%E -0.642%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%EV -5.97%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-31 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.98%EV -6.69%E -1.31%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.02%EV -1.05%E -0.642%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%EV -5.97%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-31 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.52%E -1.70%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.01%EV -6.48%E -4.18%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.04%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 17:50
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -8.52%E -1.70%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.48%E -4.18%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -7.46%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 18:55
LeoVegas🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -8.52%E -1.70%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -7.69%E -5.03%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -5.97%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 18:14
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.52%E -1.70%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.28%E -3.36%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -14.52%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 18:55
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.52%E -1.70%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.28%E -3.36%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -14.52%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.52%E -1.70%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.28%E -3.36%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -14.52%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.52%E -1.70%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.28%E -3.36%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -14.52%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 18:55
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -8.52%E -1.70%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -6.48%E -4.18%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -12.38%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 18:15
picklebet_au🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.52%E -1.70%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.69%E -5.03%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 17:50
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.52%E -1.70%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.69%E -5.03%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 18:40
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.52%E -1.70%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.50%E -6.33%K -19.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-31 18:40
Unibet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -12.18%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -3.47%E -2.17%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 18:40
Casumo🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -12.18%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -3.47%E -2.17%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -12.18%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -3.47%E -2.17%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 18:39
betPARX🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -12.18%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -3.47%E -2.17%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 18:40
Bally Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -12.18%E -2.54%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -3.47%E -2.17%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.24%E -2.44%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 18:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -13.10%E -2.76%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.21%EV -2.86%E -1.78%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -9.17%E -2.16%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -13.10%E -2.76%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.21%EV -4.67%E -2.96%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -12.38%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 18:40
Grosvenor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -13.10%E -2.76%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -5.28%E -3.36%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -12.38%E -3.02%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 18:40
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -13.10%E -2.76%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -9.50%E -6.33%K -19.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.84%EV -7.46%E -1.72%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -14.01%E -2.98%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.95%EV -9.50%E -6.33%K -19.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.91%EV -8.10%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-31 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.66%EV -14.01%E -2.98%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.68%EV -11.31%E -7.69%K -24.06%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.66%EV -13.45%E -3.32%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-31 17:49
LiveScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -15.84%E -3.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -5.28%E -3.36%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -14.52%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -15.84%E -3.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.83%EV -5.88%E -3.77%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -14.52%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 18:40
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -15.84%E -3.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.83%EV -5.88%E -3.77%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -14.52%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 18:40
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -15.84%E -3.44%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.83%EV -5.88%E -3.77%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -14.52%E -3.63%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 18.62%EV -16.76%E -3.68%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 59.66%EV -14.33%E -10.09%K -34.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.72%EV -16.65%E -4.27%K -5.74%G +0.000%18.0%2026-10-31 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -17.67%E -3.93%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -7.69%E -5.03%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -16.65%E -4.27%K -5.74%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-31 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 19.79%EV -21.33%E -4.96%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 58.68%EV -12.52%E -8.63%K -27.81%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.54%EV -15.58%E -3.95%K -5.28%G +0.000%17.5%2026-10-31 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎4.70I 21.28%NM 18.76%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%13.4%2026-10-31 17:50
Kalshi◎3.33I 30.03%NM 23.81%1.49I 67.11%NM 53.21%3.45I 28.99%NM 22.98%26.1%2026-10-31 18:55