Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Preston North End v Southampton

2026-11-07 15:00 UTC — Championship

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Preston North End (Local)

Predicción 18.23%5.49momio equitativo
EV -3.38%
Ventaja -0.638%
Kelly -0.787%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.50%18.28%18.15%19.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.304.975.005.3023.26%20.14%20.00%18.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Southampton (Visitante)

Predicción 60.43%1.65momio equitativo
EV -0.895%
Ventaja -0.546%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.68%60.20%60.51%61.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.551.561.6470.42%64.37%64.10%60.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 21.34%4.69momio equitativo
EV -3.97%
Ventaja -0.882%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.84%21.52%21.35%23.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.904.234.254.5025.64%23.63%23.53%22.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Preston North End (Local): 18.23%; Southampton (Visitante): 60.43%; Empate: 21.34%. Para Southampton (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.65. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.64, con un valor esperado de -0.895%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
SportsBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.94%EV -3.38%E -0.638%K -0.787%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.94%EV -5.73%E -3.67%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -3.97%E -0.882%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-31 18:40
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.50%EV -3.38%E -0.638%K -0.787%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.42%EV -8.75%E -5.80%K -17.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -6.10%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 18:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -4.29%E -0.818%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%EV -5.13%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.97%E -0.882%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-31 18:45
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -4.29%E -0.818%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -5.73%E -3.67%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -3.97%E -0.882%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 18:40
Coolbet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -4.29%E -0.818%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -5.13%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -6.10%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -4.29%E -0.818%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -5.13%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -6.10%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 18:40
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -4.29%E -0.818%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -5.13%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -6.10%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 18:14
BetMGM🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -4.29%E -0.818%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -5.13%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -6.10%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 18:14
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.29%E -0.818%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -5.73%E -3.67%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -6.10%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -4.29%E -0.818%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.70%EV -6.33%E -4.09%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -6.10%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -4.29%E -0.818%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.16%EV -8.15%E -5.36%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -6.10%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 18:20
betano_uk🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -4.29%E -0.818%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -9.36%E -6.24%K -18.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -7.60%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 19:25
Bet Victor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -4.29%E -0.818%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -9.36%E -6.24%K -18.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -7.60%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 19:23
Neds🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -5.20%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.33%E -4.09%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -9.30%E -2.19%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -5.20%E -1.00%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.33%E -4.09%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -9.30%E -2.19%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 18:40
1xBet🎯5.16I 19.38%NM 18.10%EV -5.93%E -1.15%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.66%EV -6.94%E -4.51%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -6.10%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.98%EV -7.03%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.02%EV -0.895%E -0.546%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%EV -6.10%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-31 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.98%EV -7.03%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.02%EV -0.895%E -0.546%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%EV -6.10%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-31 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.98%EV -7.03%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.02%EV -0.895%E -0.546%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.00%EV -6.10%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-31 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.85%E -1.77%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.01%EV -6.33%E -4.09%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.17%E -1.65%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 17:50
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -8.85%E -1.77%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.33%E -4.09%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -7.60%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 18:55
LeoVegas🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -8.85%E -1.77%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -6.10%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 18:14
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.85%E -1.77%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.13%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -14.64%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 18:55
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.85%E -1.77%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.13%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -14.64%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.85%E -1.77%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.13%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -14.64%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.85%E -1.77%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -5.13%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -14.64%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 18:55
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -8.85%E -1.77%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -6.33%E -4.09%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -12.50%E -3.05%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-31 18:15
picklebet_au🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.85%E -1.77%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.37%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 17:50
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.85%E -1.77%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.37%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 18:40
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.85%E -1.77%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.36%E -6.24%K -18.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.37%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-31 18:40
Unibet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -12.50%E -2.60%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.37%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 18:40
Casumo🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -12.50%E -2.60%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.37%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -12.50%E -2.60%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.37%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 18:39
betPARX🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -12.50%E -2.60%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.37%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 18:40
Bally Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -12.50%E -2.60%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -3.31%E -2.07%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.37%E -2.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 18:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -13.41%E -2.82%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.21%EV -2.71%E -1.68%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -9.30%E -2.19%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -13.41%E -2.82%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.21%EV -4.52%E -2.86%K -7.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -12.50%E -3.05%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 18:40
Grosvenor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -13.41%E -2.82%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -5.13%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -12.50%E -3.05%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 18:40
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -13.41%E -2.82%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -9.36%E -6.24%K -18.71%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.84%EV -7.60%E -1.75%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -14.32%E -3.05%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.95%EV -9.36%E -6.24%K -18.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.91%EV -8.24%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-31 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.66%EV -14.32%E -3.05%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 59.68%EV -11.17%E -7.60%K -23.76%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.66%EV -13.57%E -3.35%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-31 17:49
LiveScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -16.14%E -3.51%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -5.13%E -3.26%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -14.64%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -16.14%E -3.51%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.83%EV -5.73%E -3.67%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -14.64%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 18:40
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -16.14%E -3.51%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.83%EV -5.73%E -3.67%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -14.64%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 18:40
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -16.14%E -3.51%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.83%EV -5.73%E -3.67%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -14.64%E -3.66%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 18.62%EV -17.05%E -3.75%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 59.66%EV -14.19%E -9.99%K -33.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.72%EV -16.77%E -4.30%K -5.78%G +0.000%18.0%2026-10-31 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.63%EV -17.97%E -3.99%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.73%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.65%EV -16.77%E -4.30%K -5.78%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-31 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 19.79%EV -21.61%E -5.03%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 58.68%EV -12.38%E -8.54%K -27.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.54%EV -15.70%E -3.98%K -5.32%G +0.000%17.5%2026-10-31 17:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎4.70I 21.28%NM 18.76%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%13.4%2026-10-31 17:50
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 32.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 40.90%2.27I 44.05%NM 26.85%64.1%2026-10-31 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-10-31 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-10-31 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-10-31 19:45