默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Norwich City v Bolton Wanderers

2026-09-20 12:30 UTC — Championship

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Norwich City (主队)

预测 60.56%1.65公平赔率
EV -4.31%
优势 -2.73%
Kelly -7.44%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.58

博彩公司预测分布
57.88%60.70%60.84%62.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.401.521.531.5871.43%65.91%65.36%63.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

Bolton Wanderers (客队)

预测 17.72%5.64公平赔率
EV +6.33%
优势 +1.06%
Kelly +1.27%
增长率 +0.080%

假设最高赔率为 6.00

博彩公司预测分布
15.60%17.52%17.60%19.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.405.265.306.0022.73%19.03%18.87%16.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 21.72%4.60公平赔率
EV -2.27%
优势 -0.505%
Kelly -0.650%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.50

博彩公司预测分布
20.99%21.77%21.56%22.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.834.194.204.5026.11%23.84%23.81%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Norwich City (主队):60.56%;Bolton Wanderers (客队):17.72%;平局:21.72%。 对于“Bolton Wanderers (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.64。 有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为6.00,由此产生+6.33%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -9.16%E -6.11%K -18.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV +6.33%E +1.06%K +1.27%G +0.080%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.70%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 19:35
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -10.37%E -7.01%K -21.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV +1.90%E +0.331%K +0.401%G +0.008%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -6.62%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 20:14
ReBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -12.19%E -8.40%K -27.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV -0.756%E -0.135%K -0.164%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -13.13%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 19:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.20%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.25%EV -2.53%E -0.460%K -0.562%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.56%EV -4.45%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-12 20:30
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -7.34%E -4.80%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -2.53%E -0.460%K -0.562%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -2.27%E -0.505%K -0.650%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 20:30
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -6.74%E -4.37%K -12.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -2.53%E -0.460%K -0.562%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.45%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 20:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.97%EV -12.19%E -8.40%K -27.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.64%EV -4.30%E -0.796%K -0.977%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -8.79%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-12 19:35
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.81%EV -4.31%E -2.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.53%EV -4.48%E -0.831%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.66%EV -9.44%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 20:14
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.81%EV -4.31%E -2.73%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.53%EV -4.48%E -0.831%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.66%EV -9.44%E -2.26%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 20:14
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.65%EV -5.52%E -3.54%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.85%EV -6.07%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -4.45%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 20:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.96%EV -7.34%E -4.80%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -6.07%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -5.53%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 20:29
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.58%EV -9.16%E -6.11%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.43%EV -6.07%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -4.45%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 20:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.10%EV -14.00%E -9.86%K -33.34%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.37%EV -6.07%E -1.15%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.53%EV -16.39%E -4.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%15.3%2026-09-12 19:35
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.79%EV -3.71%E -2.33%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -6.96%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -6.62%E -1.54%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 20:25
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.90%EV -7.95%E -5.23%K -15.28%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -6.96%E -1.33%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.13%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 20:14
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -7.84%E -1.51%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -5.53%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 20:21
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.12%EV -5.52%E -3.54%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.32%EV -9.26%E -1.81%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV -5.53%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 20:21
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -5.97%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 20:24
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.13%E -3.96%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -13.13%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 20:24
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.34%E -4.80%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.13%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 20:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.34%E -4.80%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.13%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 20:21
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.34%E -4.80%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.13%E -3.28%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 20:24
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.16%E -6.11%K -18.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.39%E -2.28%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.79%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 20:23
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 60.63%EV -15.21%E -10.87%K -38.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.32%EV -13.16%E -2.69%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.05%EV -16.39%E -4.26%K -5.75%G +0.000%17.8%2026-09-12 19:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 57.88%EV -9.76%E -6.55%K -19.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.60%EV -22.02%E -5.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.52%EV -16.82%E -4.39%K -5.95%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-12 20:14
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 60.89%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.59%16.5%2026-09-12 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 54.17%2.60I 38.46%NM 22.92%2.60I 38.46%NM 22.92%67.8%2026-09-12 20:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 54.17%2.60I 38.46%NM 22.92%2.60I 38.46%NM 22.92%67.8%2026-09-12 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 55.56%2.60I 38.46%NM 22.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 22.22%73.1%2026-09-12 20:15