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Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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Norwich City v Bolton Wanderers

2026-09-20 12:30 UTC — Championship

Testa a testa

25 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Norwich City (Casa)

Previsione 60.43%1.65quota equa
EV -3.91%
Vantaggio -2.46%
Kelly -6.63%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.59

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.88%60.61%60.32%62.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.521.531.5971.43%65.70%65.36%62.89%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Bolton Wanderers (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.70%5.65quota equa
EV +6.17%
Vantaggio +1.03%
Kelly +1.23%
Crescita +0.076%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.60%17.51%17.59%19.60%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.405.245.256.0022.73%19.10%19.05%16.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 21.87%4.57quota equa
EV -3.76%
Vantaggio -0.856%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.99%21.88%22.09%22.83%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.834.184.204.4026.11%23.95%23.81%22.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Norwich City (Casa): 60.43%; Bolton Wanderers (Trasferta): 17.70%; Pareggio: 21.87%. Per Bolton Wanderers (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 5.65. 2 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 6.00, con un valore atteso positivo del +6.17%.

Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -9.35%E -6.23%K -18.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV +6.17%E +1.03%K +1.23%G +0.076%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 19:35
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -10.56%E -7.13%K -22.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV +1.75%E +0.304%K +0.368%G +0.006%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -5.95%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-12 20:14
ReBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.67%EV -12.37%E -8.53%K -27.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV -0.904%E -0.161%K -0.197%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -12.51%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-12 19:35
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.68%EV -5.12%E -3.26%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.32%EV -2.67%E -0.486%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.00%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 20:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.97%EV -12.37%E -8.53%K -27.49%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.64%EV -4.44%E -0.823%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-12 19:35
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.81%EV -4.52%E -2.86%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.53%EV -4.62%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.66%EV -8.79%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 20:14
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.81%EV -4.52%E -2.86%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.53%EV -4.62%E -0.857%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.66%EV -8.79%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-12 20:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.37%EV -8.14%E -5.36%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -5.33%E -0.996%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -3.76%E -0.856%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 20:25
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.65%EV -5.73%E -3.67%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.85%EV -6.21%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -3.76%E -0.856%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 20:24
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.58%EV -9.35%E -6.23%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.43%EV -6.21%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -3.76%E -0.856%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-12 20:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.10%EV -14.19%E -9.99%K -33.78%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.37%EV -6.21%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.53%EV -15.79%E -4.10%K -5.54%G +0.000%15.3%2026-09-12 19:35
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.79%EV -3.91%E -2.46%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -7.10%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -5.95%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-12 20:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.94%EV -4.52%E -2.86%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -7.10%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -5.95%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-12 20:24
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -5.73%E -3.67%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -7.10%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -3.76%E -0.856%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 20:24
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.90%EV -8.14%E -5.36%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -7.10%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -12.51%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-12 20:14
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -6.33%E -4.08%K -11.51%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -7.98%E -1.54%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.54%EV -4.86%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 20:21
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.12%EV -5.73%E -3.67%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.32%EV -9.40%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.56%EV -4.86%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 20:21
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -6.33%E -4.08%K -11.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -11.52%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-12 20:24
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -6.33%E -4.08%K -11.51%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -11.52%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.51%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-12 20:24
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.52%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.51%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 20:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.52%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.51%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 20:21
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.54%E -4.93%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.52%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.51%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-12 20:24
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.35%E -6.23%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.52%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.14%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-12 20:23
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 60.63%EV -15.39%E -11.00%K -38.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.32%EV -13.29%E -2.71%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.05%EV -15.79%E -4.10%K -5.54%G +0.000%17.8%2026-09-12 19:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 57.88%EV -9.96%E -6.68%K -20.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.60%EV -22.14%E -5.03%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.52%EV -16.23%E -4.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-12 20:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 60.89%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.51%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.59%16.5%2026-09-12 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 54.17%2.60I 38.46%NM 22.92%2.60I 38.46%NM 22.92%67.8%2026-09-12 20:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 54.17%2.60I 38.46%NM 22.92%2.60I 38.46%NM 22.92%67.8%2026-09-12 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 55.56%2.60I 38.46%NM 22.22%2.60I 38.46%NM 22.22%73.1%2026-09-12 20:15