The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Middlesbrough v West Bromwich Albion

2026-08-29 11:30 UTC — Championship

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Middlesbrough (Local)

Prediction 55.02%1.82fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -4.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.18%55.02%54.92%56.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.701.711.7564.10%58.89%58.48%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Bromwich Albion (Visit)

Prediction 19.65%5.09fair odd
EV +2.17%
Edge +0.418%
Kelly +0.517%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.36%19.63%19.70%21.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.674.605.2023.81%21.41%21.74%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.33%3.95fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -0.646%
Kelly -0.872%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.59%25.35%25.38%26.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.653.703.8529.85%27.37%27.03%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Middlesbrough (Local): 55.02%; West Bromwich Albion (Visit): 19.65%; Draw: 25.33%. For West Bromwich Albion (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.09. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.20, producing a positive expected value of +2.17%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Codere (IT)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.17%EV -6.46%E -3.80%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.36%EV +2.17%E +0.418%K +0.517%G +0.011%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 19:00
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -7.01%E -4.15%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.76%E -0.351%K -0.439%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -3.75%E -0.987%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -8.11%E -4.86%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -1.76%E -0.351%K -0.439%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 19:00
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.59%EV -5.91%E -3.46%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -3.72%E -0.759%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -3.75%E -0.987%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 19:00
GTbets🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -4.70%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.00%EV -8.06%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 00:15
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.42%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.84%EV -5.69%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 23:48
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -8.11%E -4.86%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -5.69%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.75%E -0.987%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 18:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.53%EV -5.91%E -3.46%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -5.69%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.05%EV -9.32%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 19:00
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -8.11%E -4.86%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -5.69%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 19:00
ReBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.44%EV -9.76%E -5.95%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -5.69%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -6.67%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 23:53
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -6.46%E -3.80%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.67%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 18:59
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.13%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -6.67%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.16%EV -9.32%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 19:00
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.46%E -3.80%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -7.65%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 23:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.50%EV -13.06%E -8.27%K -22.52%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.86%EV -8.63%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.64%EV -13.38%E -3.91%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-22 18:58
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.93%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.41%EV -9.03%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.67%EV -2.99%E -0.781%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 23:49
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.93%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.41%EV -9.03%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.67%EV -2.99%E -0.781%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 23:50
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -9.62%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -3.75%E -0.987%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 19:00
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -9.62%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 18:59
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -9.62%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 23:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -9.62%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 23:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -9.62%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 23:54
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.62%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 23:54
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.62%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 23:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.62%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 23:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.62%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 23:54
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -8.11%E -4.86%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -9.62%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 18:58
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -8.11%E -4.86%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -9.62%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 18:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.68%EV -10.86%E -6.71%K -17.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -9.62%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 18:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 54.82%EV -12.51%E -7.87%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.16%EV -10.60%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.02%EV -15.15%E -4.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-22 18:59
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -11.58%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.49%E -0.646%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 18:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -11.58%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.75%E -0.987%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 19:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -8.11%E -4.86%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.58%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 18:59
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.11%E -4.86%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -11.58%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 18:59
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.46%E -3.80%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -13.55%E -3.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 23:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 54.43%EV -14.16%E -9.08%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.22%EV -17.48%E -4.16%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.35%EV -15.15%E -4.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%17.8%2026-08-22 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.32%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.43%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25%2.8%2026-08-23 01:54
Smarkets◎1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%13.3%2026-08-22 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 33.02%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.96%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.02%177.8%2026-08-22 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 33.02%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.96%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.02%177.8%2026-08-22 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-22 19:00

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