Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Middlesbrough v West Bromwich Albion

2026-08-29 11:30 UTC — Championship

Resultado del partido

36 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Middlesbrough (Local)

Predicción 55.02%1.82momio equitativo
EV -3.71%
Ventaja -2.12%
Kelly -4.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.18%55.02%54.92%56.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.561.701.711.7564.10%58.89%58.48%57.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

West Bromwich Albion (Visitante)

Predicción 19.65%5.09momio equitativo
EV +2.17%
Ventaja +0.418%
Kelly +0.517%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.36%19.63%19.70%21.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.674.605.2023.81%21.41%21.74%19.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 25.33%3.95momio equitativo
EV -2.49%
Ventaja -0.646%
Kelly -0.872%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.59%25.35%25.38%26.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.353.653.703.8529.85%27.37%27.03%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Middlesbrough (Local): 55.02%; West Bromwich Albion (Visitante): 19.65%; Empate: 25.33%. Para West Bromwich Albion (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 5.09. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 5.20, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +2.17%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Codere (IT)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.17%EV -6.46%E -3.80%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.36%EV +2.17%E +0.418%K +0.517%G +0.011%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 19:00
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -7.01%E -4.15%K -10.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.76%E -0.351%K -0.439%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -3.75%E -0.987%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -8.11%E -4.86%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -1.76%E -0.351%K -0.439%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 19:00
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.59%EV -5.91%E -3.46%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -3.72%E -0.759%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -3.75%E -0.987%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-22 19:00
GTbets🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.55%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.46%EV -4.70%E -0.970%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.00%EV -8.06%E -2.22%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 00:15
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.42%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.84%EV -5.69%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 23:48
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -8.11%E -4.86%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -5.69%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.75%E -0.987%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 18:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.53%EV -5.91%E -3.46%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -5.69%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.05%EV -9.32%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 19:00
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.19%EV -8.11%E -4.86%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -5.69%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 19:00
ReBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.44%EV -9.76%E -5.95%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -5.69%E -1.18%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -10.08%E -2.84%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -6.67%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 23:53
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -6.46%E -3.80%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.67%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 18:59
1xBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.13%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -6.67%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.16%EV -9.32%E -2.60%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 19:00
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.46%E -3.80%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -7.65%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 23:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.50%EV -13.06%E -8.27%K -22.52%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.86%EV -8.63%E -1.86%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.64%EV -13.38%E -3.91%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-22 18:58
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.93%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.41%EV -9.03%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.67%EV -2.99%E -0.781%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 23:49
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.93%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.41%EV -9.03%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.67%EV -2.99%E -0.781%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 23:50
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -9.62%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -3.75%E -0.987%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 19:00
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -9.62%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -5.02%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 18:59
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -9.62%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 23:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -9.62%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 23:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.24%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -9.62%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 23:54
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.62%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 23:54
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.62%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 23:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.62%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 23:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.62%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.35%E -3.24%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 23:54
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -8.11%E -4.86%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -9.62%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 18:58
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -8.11%E -4.86%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -9.62%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 18:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.68%EV -10.86%E -6.71%K -17.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -9.62%E -2.09%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 18:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 54.82%EV -12.51%E -7.87%K -21.21%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.16%EV -10.60%E -2.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.02%EV -15.15%E -4.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-22 18:59
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%EV -11.58%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.49%E -0.646%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 18:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -11.58%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.75%E -0.987%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 19:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -8.11%E -4.86%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.58%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 18:59
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.11%E -4.86%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -11.58%E -2.57%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.82%E -2.45%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 18:59
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -6.46%E -3.80%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -13.55%E -3.08%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -7.55%E -2.07%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 23:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 54.43%EV -14.16%E -9.08%K -25.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.22%EV -17.48%E -4.16%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.35%EV -15.15%E -4.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%17.8%2026-08-22 19:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.32%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.43%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25%2.8%2026-08-23 01:54
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 54.84%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%13.3%2026-08-22 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 33.02%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.96%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.02%177.8%2026-08-22 21:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 33.02%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.96%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.02%177.8%2026-08-22 21:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-22 19:00

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